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  1. 16 points
    Photos from a RAF reconnaissance patrol
  2. 16 points
    I arrived at Miramar Yacht Club, Brooklyn, this morning at 3 am. Tracker was off for some reason. Sorry about that.
  3. 16 points
    Weather update So Dalin and Ruyant took both a more northerly route away from the AEZ that Bestaven is still hugging. All as projected yesterday. Seguin who has been hugging the AEZ too sailed into the third ranking last night. That was not in the books. Bestaven looks good with a DTL on 2nd Dalin of 126 NM this morning and 300+ NM on 3rd Seguin and 380+ NM on Ruyant. But that LP I wrote about in the past 2 days could change this in the coming two days when I fast forward the windy plugin. These projections indicate that Dalin could Pacman away his DTL quickly. And possibly overtake Bestaven at Saturday 2nd of January. Let's have a look in detail. The overall situation is in pics 1 to 3. The fleet is in between two LPs. Light winds in between them impacting a large part of the top-10 boats. Ruyant was doing 2 kts.. But not the two most easterly boats. Blasting away at 20+ kts. AFAIK I could make out two fronts, one far to the north and the one that passed, going east, yesterday. Set the polars for Herrmann to 103% as his 2015 boat got a nice overhaul in 2020. Set max swell to 5 meters for all boats in order to circumvent a very bad sea state building up west of the Chilean coast. Weather routing table in pic 4. The projections by windy and Kevin's plugin do not align with mine for Bestaven and Dalin. The ETA for Dalin as 2nd behind Bestaven at Cape Horn is a couple of hours later. A projected DTL of +/- 130 NM, the same as now. The difference could be in the polars used, as we both route with GFS wind and WW3 waves. Rounding CH will be very though though for the first two boats, as winds up to the 40s are expected, wind gusts up to the 50s, when the LP has moved southwest below Cape Horn. Bestaven projected to round CH around Saturday 2nd, around lunchtime (12 UTC). I expect no selfies with CH in the background with these expected conditions. But a triple reefed main, and a quick exit into the southern Atlantic ocean. Which provides better weather, as South America acts a shelter / high shore. And the SACZ and St Helena HP await them. Finally, the boats behind the first two will have completely different weather, see pic 6 for JLC's routing with very moderate winds. So that DTL-gap will grow behind Bestaven and Dalin into an abyss worthy of a Lord of the Rings film. The projected DTL is almost to double (from +/- 450 nm to 800 nm) for The King. That will be hard to claw back imho in the relative foiler-friendly South Atlantic conditions. I wish you all reading this a good 2021 with lots of anti-corona vaccinations. They start in 2 weeks time here in The Netherlands on a small scale, but that could be for me in the summer or even later. Nasty times but following the VG keeps me happy.
  4. 16 points
    New interview with Max Sirena and Francesco "Checco" Bruni by Bacci del Buono and Mauro Giuffrè for Giornale della Vela - Asked by Baci about this ACWS, Max says this racing days were really important, it was the first time they lined up with other competitors. They're analyzing all the data and meanwhile shore team is doing "little big" mods to the boat. Some mods were already planned, some are new, based on what they saw in the races. 25 and 26 are free days, 27 back in the water - Bacci talks about his high heart rate watching the races, and Max joking adds that during a reunion with Bertelli, some months ago (an agitated reunion), someone's watch rang the heart rate alarm, and Max told him that it was better if he turned off the clock, since for another hour at least his heart rate was going to speed up (edit: Max is joking, so there wasn't any real danger, but that's a fun story). Anyway, he says he feels a lot more stressed watching the regatta from the chase boat than being onboard, 'cause you're not in control of anything, you can only watch powerless. - Checco Bruni joins the interview, Max jokingly scold him for being late (it was scheduled for 9:30, Checco says, defending himself. It's 9:33 now, Max answers) but they're clearly joking (Edit: now I'll say when Max is answering and when Checco is answering) - Question for Max by Mauro: is it settled thet he'll never be on board on LR ? Max says that they tried to convince him, asking to add his name to the crew list for the doping controls, saying that if a lot of people got injured maybe he was needed onboard, but he said no. He adds that he stays on the boat two time each day: in the morning, when he go from one side of the boat to the other, going on the chase boat, and in the evening, doing the opposite. - Asked about B2, Max says that they're ready to race both with B1 and B2. They're happy about B2, that of course have better performances than B1. They'll apply some mods to B2 along the way in the Prada Cup, some of them will be clearly visible the next time they'll go in the water. They chose to sail with B2 because is a great innovation of B1. This boats need time, there's more cutting edge technology on an AC75 than a F1 car in some departments, every hour of sailing gets better performances, even without any mod to the boat. That was easy to see during this ACWS: they badly lost to ETNZ the first race but they got better and better the other days, and in the end they could have won the Event. Last day they got a 10% better performance from Day 1. LR is the only team at the second stage of foils, and they used training sails for the ACWS. They have a lot in the pocket, but they'll know if it's enough only at the end. - Question for Francesco by Mauro: were they worried after the first race vs ETNZ ? Checco first says that they weren't happy, because they had three minutes gap with the Kiwis. They knew it was gonna be hard, 'cause they suspected ETNZ was really good in the upper wind range. He adds that half of that gap was LR fault, cause they drop off the foils at the first mark and doing this you can easily loose one minute to your opponent. They made also some tactical errors, in the first upwind leg they were 2 boat lengths behind and then suddenly after few seconds 20 boat lengths behind. They weren't happy at all, but at the same time their main focus right now is to win the Prada Cup, they'll sail against ETNZ maybe in a two months time. He adds that right now ETNZ is set for the upper wind range, while LR for the lower wind range, and that's why LR had a little speed edge in the last day. - Asked about his sensations in the first pre-start, and if it's scary drive an AC75 so close to another one, Checco says that's not scary at all, the problem is the other way around, you have to be really focused and not boasting around. He's really happy about the team's pre-start training, they sailed vs a chase boat that can go up to 40 knots and simulate to be an opponent AC75. it works pretty well, the downside is that it' a double risk for the team, since if you have a collision, you risk two great assets, the boat and te chase boat. They're the team that trained the most for the pre-start. They trained a lot also in the simulator, so they got pretty clear ideas of what to do in the pre-start. - Asked by Bacci about who call the shots in the double helmsman configuration, Checco says that's really easy: whoever is helming at the moment makes the call. It can't be different since the flight controller must be really focused on what he's doing, so he can't think at much else than that. When one between him and JS is at the helm, he have to paint the picture in the comms, describing the tactical situation, so when the other one take the helm he has a good picture of the current situation. The double helm configuration is a great plus for the maneuvers, since they have a lot less transitions than the others. He speaks about AM, they have to move someone to the windward side of the boat before they can tack or gybe, and doing so they reveal their move to the opponents. Having three people switching side is also bad for windage and also bad for maneuvers, since in that 4,5,6 seconds people switching side can't control anything on the boat. There are also some downsides of course, but the most important thing for this double configuration to work is that each helmsman trust the other one, and that's the case with he and Jimmy. - Asked by Bacci about Ineos FCS issues, Max says every team has had some problems with FCS and the software. They had some issues some months ago, right now they have some smaller ones but anything bad enough to compromise a race. AM had some little problems and Ineos some bigger problems, but in the end it's a one design element, so every team has to work out the solution. Speaking about Ineos, he says that he doesn't like to speak about other teams. What he can say is that they have some problems in the take off. The Ineos hull could be a reason, since it's radically designed more for the aero than for the hydro, and there's some rumors about systems issues, but AC75 are so complex that small changes can bring really different performances. - Max continues speaking about AC75. He disagree with people saying that America's Cup is not a sailing competition anymore, and that pre-start or tactics are not important as before. The first race, when the Kiwis gave them 3 minutes (Edit: he swears speaking of this) is a clear example of this. ETNZ has a speed edge with strong winds, but you can't win a race if you don't sail well. The first upwind leg they were in reversed phase, they lost a lot of ground. First downwind leg, second upwind leg, third downwind leg they had a 5 seconds difference each. With these boats going to the wrong side means going really fast to the wrong part of the course, and that's why there's a lot more covering and close racing with the AC75 then with the IACC, with much more tacking duels. - Asked by Mauro about how much they can change for the Prada Cup, Max says that every hull can be mod by 12.5%, which is a pretty big part. You can build three pairs of foils. LR is the only challenger (edit: so maybe he was speaking about challengers only before) using their second pair, UK and AM are at their last foils configuration. You can build 4 rudders, Ineos is the only team using the last one. Every competitor can build 10 pairs of flaps. So the three foil pairs have three pairs of flaps, leaving you with four additional flaps, that you can make bigger or smaller in order to target the boat for high, medium or low wind range. Sails are limited to 50, mainsails to 10. You can build only three masts (they made 2) and he thinks limitations are good, 'cause without them you can go crazy testing an infinite number of different conponents. (Edit: now they're gonna talk about the races, watching the videos. First one is the second race between LR and AM) - Checco talks about the first penalty. There were some issues with the map the commitee boat send to each boat, so they messed up with the timing. This ACWS, Checco adds, was a general test also for the commitee. Sometimes it was wrong the LR system , sometimes was the Committe's system to fail. Speaking about the first AM penalty, he said that his move was good, but he should have lowered the other arm while doing that. - Checco talks about the last race of the Event. He gave JS an imput about how to start, JS agreed and put the boat exactly where they wanted, on the same tack of ETNZ, trying to disturb them with bad air. They wanted to make them falling from the foils, since they were flying in what is called a marginal foiling condition. This good starts are a result of the great work they did in the training sessions. Checco adds that there aren't as much schemes as a traditional match race prestart, here you can do 3-4, but it's important to know what you want to do and doing it well. -Asked about what he expect from the Prada Cup, Max says that - unlike in the ACWS - errors in the Prada Cup will have consequences. Speaking about the boats, differently from the IACC Version 5 of Valencia, it's really difficult to make an AC75 set for all-around wind conditions. You have to stick to your boat declaration for every race blocks, and you can change only sails. Every team designed the boat for a wind range that they think/hope to find in the Prada Cup, the prada Cup Finals or The Match. Statistics for this first summer period is medium to light breeze. The'll decide later about the final set of foils, looking at the wind conditions and the opponents, hopefully for the Prada Cup Final or for the Cup. Ineos didn't show his real strenght, they have the highest number of Olympics winners in the sailing team, the biggest budget, great designers, he expect them to be really strong in the Prada Cup. Whoever will win the Prada Cup will be a strong opponent for ETNZ, also because racing against other boats is different than sailing alone. When you sail alone you always think you're the fastest, but you know the truth only lining up with a real opponent. Anyway, every Challenger must continue to watch them, spy them, see how they change the boat, what foil they'll use. -Checco thinks that every team, ETNZ included, raced at 100% of their capacity, but every team has a lot of aces in the hole.
  5. 15 points
    Hobot, this thread was a series of bright spots throughout the last less than stellar year. Thank you and a Happy New Year
  6. 14 points
    Jim Wright put it succinctly: Joe Biden needs to drop this reconciliation bullshit. When he and Democrats take office on the 20th, THAT DAY they need to cease negotiation with Republicans and just start ramming through their agenda. Expand SCOTUS, stack the courts. Universal healthcare. Tax the rich, tax the corporations, tax the goddamned churches, make these sons of bitches pay their fair share. Take the goddamned guns, impose sane gun laws, hunt down the militias and pull their fangs. Defund the police, reform the police, whatever it takes. Regulate the shit out of the banks. Free college for every student. Make DC and Puerto Rico states. Do it. Feed the hungry, clothe the poor, heal the sick, all of it. ALL OF IT. Drop the goddamn hammer on these people and if Republicans don't like it, well, too damn bad. They didn't give a shit what any of us thought, fuck your feelings, right? What goes around damned well comes around. Trump cost them the White House, the House, The Senate, all of it. That's on THEM, let them reap the consequences. We're not going to save The Republic by negotiating with seditionists, insurrectionists, terrorists, and motherfuckers who think the rest of us aren't human. These people should be in prison and their leaders along with them, including Donald Trump and his rotten miserable family of criminals. We can't treat insurrectionists who are right now LITERALLY trying to burn down our country, we can't treat these people as if they are reasonable responsible citizens. Because they AREN'T. They tried to stage a coup. They tried to stage a coup marching under the flags of Nazi Germany and the goddamn Confederacy. That's who they are. Fascists. Traitors. Racists. They should be treated accordingly. Don't negotiate with terrorists. Ram through the progressive agenda. All of it. Shitcan the filibuster, expand SCOTUS, whatever it takes, and get it done. Isolate these bastards, render them powerless, save the Republic. The time for half measures has passed.
  7. 14 points
    One of Roland Barth's "Cruising Rules" is, "Who ever uses the paint brush chooses the color." Stated another way, It's David's money and time he so gets to develop the boat as he sees fit. If Martin Snyder thinks he is missing the target, it is probably because David was aiming at a different target. I can attest that David isn't stupid, and has done enough market research and product development to explain every decision that he has made. I manufactured 10, 000 Sunfish along with about 20,000 other boats, so I might be credited with knowing just a little bit about it. I disagree with the assertion that adjustable sail area and auxiliary power are essential for success. Or maybe I have a different vision of success. The boat business is not a high flying home run kind of racket. The market has been shrinking along with middle class disposable income ever since Ronald Reagan. It is a business where you succeed by hitting singles and "manufacturing runs." You have to set and meet realistic targets week after month after year after year. The immediate definition of success for the Rocket is less than what you might think simply because the market is so small and Fulcrum Speedworks is so young. It might grow into something much bigger, but David isn't banking the whole company on a home run. I have known Gary Hoyt for 50 years and have first hand knowledge of many of his projects. He has asked me to manufacture and or invest in his ideas. I have not and I have not lost a penny by passing up on those opportunities. There is a mythic American Market for some sort of sailboat that we haven't thought up yet. But to "manufacture runs" you have to work in the world as it is and not in the world as you hope it will become. I learned this the hard way more than once. The most successful sailboat in the world was the Sunfish, it was a kind of boat businesses that sell boats know how top sell. Many have stated that they want to have such a product on their show room floor. Unfortunately the manufacturer of the Sunfish has demonstrated little interest in doing business with these dealers. That is an opportunity. They didn't say, " That would be great, but what we really want is a different Hobie Adventure Island." Because this isn't "Boat Dealer Anarchy" we discuss the things we have done to make the boat sail better, more convenient to use and in line with the expectations of a 21st century customer. If this all counts as "attitude," so be it. We don't think our shit smells good. A 30 yard dumpster is showing up this week to cart away the 400 block of the Avenue of Broken Dreams. Happy New Year SHC
  8. 13 points
    Sorry, I'm a bit lost in this thread. Is Trump for or against foiling?
  9. 13 points
  10. 13 points
    A short video by Romain Attanasio explaining his troubles with his mainsail hook... I like the guy; he is explaining to you all the shit he has to deal with, but always with a smile, a twinkle in the eye, and always upbeat! "Hello my friends! Let me tell you about my day; it was sick! Everything started well, but around noon, I tried to take a second reef in the main, and impossible to hook the sail. You remember, I had a problem with that already at the start of the race; and I still have a car stuck on the track up there... So I tried 10 times, 20 times, did not work. I lowered the sail, check the cars, did not find anything wrong, raised the sail again, still did not work, so I lowered the sail again, thought maybe I did not check it right, raised the sail again... Right there, it is three hours gone already. After that, I call Bernard Pointé (spelling???) who built the system and he tells me "we have to take it apart". So I removed a small piece of the track, so I can remove the car. So you have to climb on the lowered main sail, on top of the boom, to reach that part of the track, with the swell; let me tell you, there is still 25 knots of wind! 4 to 5 meters of swell! So I remove the lashings on the car, the sail, the halyard; I take it off and bring it here, inside. There, with the help of Bernard, for 1 to 2 hours, I file tiny-tiny bits of titanium, nothing, really, because the piece is a bit twisted, most likely a consequence of my unintentional jibe three days ago... Then put everything back together, raise the sail; and it works! Put the car back, put the lashings back, put the track back in place, attach the halyard and raise the sail again; then clean up everything... 8 hours total... I looked at the ranking, it is great; I did not lose too much against Clarisse. I sailed dead down wind, so I could workd without too much boat speed, and since we are supposed to go South, I did not lose to much. Eh, my diner is ready, my water is hot. I am so hungry. I have not eaten since this morning... And I am dead-tired... So one more lesson today. At noon, I thought it was game over. I could do nothing... If I cannot hook the mainsail, it's over... The halyard is not sized for that. I have to hook. But here we go, there is always a solution, there is always a solution! Fuck... (wispered) Oh, SORRY!!! I remove that word! (he said in a previous video that his son's teacher asked him NOT to use vulgar words, because they are watching the videos at school...) I am so happy! We are back on track!!! Pedal to the metal on Best Western! And on top of that, there is wind coming! There is a jibe tonight, and a lot of wind tomorrow. Yeah, I did not make any video or take pictures, because, quite frankly, I had other things in mind. And I tell you all of that, so I do not have to write an email to the Race Direction so I do not have to explain everything. By the way, if you could tell them, it woud be good. Hey, the water is hot!!! Woohoo!!!"
  11. 12 points
    Hi Torrid, yes, it's 50year old legacy fiberglass, but there are a multitude of nuances, that Turner has alluded to in his video, that we have heard from just about everyone one of the new builders and also the likes of Caldecott. Sure Caldecott no longer works for PSA, but probably the reason the PSA (& PSJ) boats were deemed better than LP was that Caldecott was on the floor probably ½ the time. When I was in their factory, which was quite often, he would always be looking over laminators shoulders, showing them how he wanted it consolidated, the mast jig always went in, it was always bonded for the right period of time and the boat stayed in the mould for the prescribe time at the prescribe temp. Caldecott was a avid Laser, Finn, A-Class and Capricorn sailor. His daughter is one of Australia’s best Radial sailors so he knew what each bit of glass did, and he knew the difference between a full consolidation and a partial consolidation of a bit of CSM. Turner is presently the Flying Fifteen World Champion, I think he is going for his 4 title this year, also sails OK dinghies, Lasers and has a PoW so he also knows where each piece of CSM should go and what it’s there for. Pom Green (Element 6) is a TP52 sailor, also ex I14. Santi Ziggy very accomplished, Alberto Portiglia (Nautivela) 470, 420 champion, George Zou, very accomplished of-course Devoit is a Bronze medallist (Finn). And Takao is just a legend, period! So you will be going from PSA/PSJ boats that where run by very accomplished sailors who were often on the floor with a motivated work force so no wonder their boats where better. Now you have 6 builders, all expecting to be making 300-400 boats per year, all of whom have great factory floors and have figure heads overseeing the process. You have to be willing to get your hands dirty! So the issue was to find that person, and that’s far from easy! Last time I saw the build manual was 1979, but even without knowing what's in it, and I know it a substaintially different doc now to the one I saw in 79, I can guess probably 3/4 of the tweaks. What order and which way, would take 20 boats, but these guys are all accomplised sailors and they will all get it. BTW, you can’t employ minimum wages people because you then get minimum wages boats. And that is especially true because its 50year old legacy fiberglass ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Another interesting tid-bit, I am of the understanding that there are more boats (ILCA’s) on order in Asia right now, than are ever likely to be sold into America. ZOU and Element 6 order books are very likely to be fully committed, so how many you may or may not get into the US is questionable. If you had a spare $2m and you had the choice of setting up in NA (probably Mexico) or Asia, I doubt there would be a milli-second of thought. 1/3rd of the world population is in Asia and they sail and they sail a lot, so again Usher and Roy and ILCA very probably have a vison past the present and into the future.
  12. 12 points
    Merry Christmas to all you argumentative, bastards. Hope you have a relaxing day with friends and family tomorrow. Best regards and take care out there.
  13. 12 points
    Found this on a German site: https://segelreporter.com/regatta/vendee-globe-studenten-meister-dutreux-mischt-auf-13-jahre-altem-imoca-vorne-mit-portraet/?fbclid=IwAR13zOei5Sl71ztnNgiwM7QYsQIPOIHQ-p2ikG5SaKUPsPqHK5nmgxOsB2I Vendée Globe: "Student champion" Dutreux in top group with old IMOCA - Portrait Young Rookie on Old Racer 18.12.2020 by Michael Kunst Benjamin Dutreux has been sailing his old non-foiler OMIA/Water Family at the Vendée Globe for the past 14 days almost on par with Boris Herrmann. What kind of guy is he? The other day, on the edge of the Vendée Globe. For lack of open pubs, the (self-proclaimed) very best ocean sailors of this planet, training world champions and born all-rounders meet at aperitif time on the IMOCA jetty of La Base in Lorient. There, where now there is a yawning emptiness, because most of the 60-foot racers with their skippers are currently sailing through the Indian and Southern Oceans. Bravely behind the mask the news about the top ten of the regatta are exchanged, last damages on the boats are analyzed from a distance and of course verbally repaired in no time, the sensitivities of the skippers are discussed and smiled at. There is something to say and to smile about each and every one: Dalin, Ruyant, Bestaven, Herrmann, Joschke, etc. And then someone mentions that this Dutreux has been sailing along on his old box for a long time now - silence in the round. Dutreux? Benjamin? Rarely heard of*) In fact, the only 30-year-old Benjamin Dutreux is rather unknown even among the young, supposed scene connoisseurs. Which may be because he has spent little to no time in the training centers of Lorient or Port la Foret. Moreover, he has left no scent marks in the minis and has not yet made any mark in Class 40 or IMOCA. Only those who have been following the Figaro scene for years can relate to the name: "That's right, one Dutreux, he used to be fifth in the Solitaire du Figaro, in 2018 or so. But other than that?" Of course, Benjamin Dutreux has more "up his sleeve" than the all-knowing scene attests to him here. Because the skipper from the north of France - a Sch'ti, which is roughly equivalent to the East Frisians in Germany (German rednecks*) - has chosen a different course than most of his competitors in the current Vendée Globe. Although born in the north, Benjamin spent his childhood in his grandmother's small cottage on the island of Yeu, 20 km off the French Atlantic coast of the department of Vendée. Living "in the middle of the Atlantic" inevitably exposes you to sailing - and Benjamin was a particularly inquisitive and studious student. Sailing dinghy and beach cat, he was considered a sporty and particularly ambitious sailor. Student World Champion As a student of materials engineering, he participates in the university sailing championships, becomes French, European and world champion of sailing students and makes his first Figaro experiences on old, rocked boats. In 2015, as a 25-year-old, Dutreux finishes (disappointed) 29th in the Solitaire du Figaro. At first, things went better professionally. Towards the end of his studies, Dutreux received his first tempting offers in the automotive and yacht building industries. It was logical that Benjamin Dutreux would remain true to his sport. At the end of his twenties, he was already technical director at the Sirena Voile catamaran shipyard, and as a sideline he threw himself into ocean sailing. In the meantime he had joined the Figaro circus, the "big names" became aware of him, gave him hints*), lent him equipment and Benjamin sailed his own campaign for three years. What follows is a rise in small steps: in 2016 Dutreux finishes 14th in the Solitaire, in 2017 12th, and in 2018 - surprisingly even for him - fifth. Committed environmental activist Digression. In addition to his job and sailing, Dutreux is committed to environmental and marine protection, calls for tougher measures in the fight against climate change and distinguishes himself as a competent activist. Consequently, in 2018 he ended up with the environmental protection association "Water Family," which brings together many companies, groups, cities and departments in France in the fight against environmental pollution, especially water pollution. So unlike some of the other skippers in the Vendée Globe family, Benjamin Dutreux didn't get this sponsor like the "Virgin got the Child*)." Speaking of sponsors. In 2018, when France's leading automotive and yacht paint booth manufacturing company OMIA (key words: master of materials engineering) also began to take an interest in the young sailor, Benjamin's dream of participating in the Vendée Globe (the realization of which he had actually only planned for the second half of his life) suddenly came within reach. The budgets of the sponsors were added up and after a few meetings it was clear: financially it should be enough, if not a brand new foiler is built for the campaign. So: Buy a boat yes, but at a ridiculous price. Finally an affordable IMOCA So in 2019, Benjamin Dutreux traveled to... Japan! Because in the land of the rising sun, FRA 09 was up for sale - Kojiro Shiraishi's IMOCA, with which the current DMG Mori skipper made it to the gates of the Indian Ocean at the last Vendée Globe in 2016, where he suffered a broken mast. Benjamin Dutreux examined the boat expertly and came to the conclusion: The IMOCA is perfectly okay, there are only "cosmetic repairs" and additions to be made. The rest is the story of the sometimes hair-raising economic ups and downs of the campaign - until the very end it was not clear whether he would really be able to finance the Vendée Globe and whether Dutreux would actually sail across the Vendée Globe start line. But perseverance pays off, as we all know. And so it came to pass that one of the youngest participants in the Vendée Globe is currently putting in a performance on one of the oldest, still active IMOCAs. The young Frenchman has been mixing up the top ten since the beginning of the regatta. Right at the beginning he made his way to the front, in the southern Atlantic he showed slight weaknesses and fell back to 13th place. But since entering the Indian Ocean, again under adverse weather and sea conditions, boat and skipper showed their full potential with consistent top ten finishes up to fifth place. The "old" non-foiler from 2007 had some spectacular head-to-head races with foilers of the newer generation - including Boris Herrmann's "Sea Explorer/Malizia". Just do it Benjamin got involved by sailing relatively carefree, without much pressure like a self-confident Figarist "just do it". In the videos from aboard, Dutreux affectionately calls his "OMIA Water Family" "Papa," alluding to the confidence he has in the boat. Which in turn is not surprising, because the FRA 09 has a lot "under its belt" and has long been considered by (true) specialists to be one of the most robust boats in the class. By the way, no other boat of this Vendée Globe has completed as many nautical miles as the OMIA Water Family. The IMOCA alone has three circumnavigations of the world in its wake! Launched in Cowes in mid-2007, the Bruce Farr design was considered the ultimate on the IMOCA scene at the time. But it was initially dogged by bad luck. At the Barcelona World Race, Altadill and the American McKee crash into a UFO - two rudder blades broken, abandonment. Sebastien Josse has to cancel the same at "The Transat" a year later because of a defective mainsail. And the chaos continues: capsizing off New Zealand, water ingress at the TJV with Cuzon as skipper - abandonment! Maximum penalty: The "most technically mature" boat of that time is now three years old and has not yet finished an ocean race. Then, finally, things start to move forward: In 2010, Roland Jourdain takes the IMOCA under his wing under the name "Veolia" and wins the Route du Rhum. A year later, Thomson and Altadill finish second in the TJV. And Thomson manages to set the solo transat record (8:22 days). He keeps the "Hugo Boss" and becomes third at the Vendée Globe 2012 and under Spanish flag the IMOCA becomes second at the Barcelona World Race 2015. Shortly after in the hands of the "samurai" Kojiro, result: see above. With respect and nonchalance For more than four weeks now, the boat and skipper have been out-sailing the foil competitors. Together with the non-foilers "Groupe Apicil" of the one-armed Damien Seguin and with "Yes We Cam" of the veteran Jean le Cam, they are developing into a kind of nightmare for all foilers in the class. And in the middle of it all Benjamin Dutreux, who sails quite carefree and - according to his own statements - with the luck of the class beginner just the way he was taught: With respect for wind and waves, with confidence in the boat and blessed with a nonchalance that one can only envy the young skipper. Keep it up, man and boat! Translated with https://www.deepl.com/translator *) corrections / remarks
  14. 12 points
    This is from a few days ago, but I like the way Pip finds the freedom to push her limits. Judging by today's results, it worked. https://www.vendeeglobe.org/en/news/21041/pip-hare-on-pushing-her-limits 15 December 2020 - 09:13
  15. 12 points
    Please let this thread be a place of peace and adventure here on SA.
  16. 11 points
    Every Republican member of the House and Senate who has signed on to objecting to the EV process has played a role in what we are seeing today. Every one of them needs to be impeached and removed from office.
  17. 11 points
    One mustn't just gush all one's news at once. First, a little silence to build anxiety in your followers. Then drop a hint or two: lots going on, serious discussions, need time to process, etc. Let rumors percolate around the web. Next up, a 2 minute couchside teaser about Big changes in store, LV announcement Sunday: Tune in!! Much darting eye contact between them. "We can't tell you everything right now, but our whole world is about to be transformed in a personal-growing way. Patreons get first access to the news when it breaks, in the meantime -- here's some merch!" Two weeks later, drop the "Unrolling the blueprints" vids to subscribers, then to the peanut gallery. Q&A video where Stache discusses the technical side of the new boat, and Brows talks kid's room, yoga studio, and papaya cleansing. Frantic "We need to clean out the cat & move into a studio apartment, OMG world turned upside down!!" footage. (Two videos at least, including drone shots of all their stuff on the finger pier.) Emotional goodbyes to S/V La Vag, been such a good home to us, blah blah. Two weeks of quick-cut retrospective filler episodes. Adjusting to life on land, progress of new boat videos. Construction hangups, ask subscribers for advice, consults with builders, issue change orders. Documentation process and financial how-tos, in preparation for... LAUNCH DAY!!! The walk around, the launch, the christening, fan service, boatyard praise, whole new life ahead. (You can fill in the rest. That's nine month's solid content or I'm a baboon.)
  18. 11 points
    Some news from Armel, seems everything began for him at Les Glénans Paimpol https://www.ouest-france.fr/vendee-globe/vendee-globe-a-bord-avec-armel-tripon-ce-cap-horn-il-est-pour-toi-mon-pote-7109166 "The sea is grey, almost green, it runs under the hull and on the deck, the sea is everywhere, it's so close that I find myself looking if it hasn't entered the boat! The sea is big and dirty, it comes apart in bundles, has no clothes, nothing is tidy, it's an incredible noise, a huge shipyard and I try to make my way through, pushed by a strong north-west wind. L'Occitane in Provence is hurtling down steep slopes, being mistreated from all sides. The sea is merciless and doesn't go into detail, so I adapt, reduce the canvas when it grows too much, send it back when it softens! The Hard Cape is in my sights, only a few hours, a few hundred miles before I pass the Horn! It's completely crazy to be there anyway! A dream of more than 20 years, shared between three friends, on the quays of Paimpol. " The sea in intravenous " We were 20 years old and over and the sea was mocking us, we who were constantly sailing between England and North Brittany! We dreamed of the Deep South, Patagonia, the ice and Cape Horn. Fed to Damien, Van God and other Slocum, we were looking for the boat of our dreams, with pockets full of holes! Our dreams fell silent, temporarily at least, everyone made their own way. Manu left for the mountains, Nako "Mam Goz", as he liked to be called, who looked after his kid during all my first years of ocean racing, went to the stars! And here I am today, 25 years later, the dream has remained alive, I have nurtured it, I have protected it, I have made it grow and I am here! So today this Cape Horn is for you, my friend! All these miles and oceans, all these stars, and all these moments when I miss you ! Our 20 years are far away, but here today, at 57° South, in the rubble and the fight, I know that you are looking after me! I am thinking of Béa, your sons Anton and Noé who, since Ploubaz, and the cove of Beg Nod, are perhaps watching a strange black and yellow boat pass by somewhere at the end of the world, where our dreams started, where our dreams went away! »
  19. 11 points
    A fun article on the life of the sailors that end up at the back of the fleet in past Vendee Globes: https://www.francetvinfo.fr/sports/voile/vendee-globe/mon-sponsor-m-a-demande-de-finir-dernier-les-galeriens-du-vendee-globe-racontent-leur-grande-traversee_4174941.html "My sponsor asked me to finish last": the galleymen of the Vendée Globe tell about their great crossing They knew from the start that they would not break the race record and that they would see the podium contenders from afar. They tell of their extended world tour, which they ended up completing. “A Vendée Globe, can be won or can be finished. ” The phrase comes from the skipper Fabrice Amedeo, and sums up the two races in the race which have taken place since November 8 and the start of Les Sables d'Olonne (Vendée). From the start, many competitors know that they are not here to win, and that speculation about the race record, which falls with each edition , does not concern them. "I had 5% of Armel Le Cléac'h's budget " , underlines Conrad Colman, a New Zealand sailor based in Brittany. Like many of the less well off in the fleet, he had to fight to the end to make ends meet. "I was exhausted before the start of the race. " Very often, the unheralded of the peloton were only able to get their boat a few weeks before the start. Far too short to break it in and know every nook and cranny. Take Karen Leibovici. When the La Rochelle sailor got the green light from her sponsor, three months before departure, she was lying on a hospital bed after a fairly serious car accident. "The doctors gave me the choice: either I lay for six months without moving in a corset, or I took the risk of having an operation. Fortunately, I had a good surgeon." Of course, rehabilitation takes precedence over the preparation of the boat."I was lucky to have an older generation model, less physical. We made choices: my sails were all strapped to the pontoon so that I didn't have to carry them." "A hundred years of solitude", or barely less An old generation boat, in nautical jargon, it is an old cuckoo clock with spartan comfort that has several Vendée Globe to its credit. "I had a tiny chart table and to get to it I had to step over the engine." Heeling, it is less practical. Still, even if they have no chance, carelessness has no place on board. "We remain competitors at heart , insists Tanguy de Lamotte, 10th in the race in 2012-2013. It is not because I had an old boat that I stepped in it a few minutes before the start, like a tourist." The first part of the race is the field of all possibilities. Then… "At first, I fought to keep in touch with others , remembers Austrian sailor Norbert Sedlacek. Afterwards, I fought to finish the race." At the back, we stick together by VHF or through radio. "I remember we helped each other a lot , says Benoît Parnaudeau, 10th in the 2004-2005 edition. Karen [Leibovici] still suffered from back pain. We exchanged sailing tips so that she would avoid squalls. The idea was that everyone could finish. " On board an Imoca, a typical day is“Three or four hours to check the weather, walk around the boat to detect damage, eat, sleep… We never have a lot of time. These boats are very demanding,” he says. So even for those who finish a month after the winner, every minute counts. “I had taken a bottle of rum,” says Anne Liardet, also involved in this 2004 edition. Her recipe for a few moments of happiness? One hundred years of solitude , by Gabriel Garcia Marquez - "I have read it dozens of times" -, a little music, an improvised deckchair on the bridge, and a glass of ti'punch. Rare moments. "The bottle was barely halfway through when I arrived," smiles the sailor. To support the morale of the troops, there is food. Just like the weather, it's a matter of strategy, especially when you're going to eat freeze-dried for four months. The ideal is the gourmet comforter, which you never get tired of. Norbert Sedlacek had thus loaded 40 kg of Chinese noodles, a third of his food stock. "I love it , admits the Austrian sailor. It keeps you warm, it replenishes calories, we can accommodate them with dried fish, dried fruits, spices ..." Such enthusiasm would almost make you want some. Well organized, Norbert Sedlacek had even established a meal plan, to vary the pleasures. Finally, the accompaniment of noodles. An idea that should have inspired Benoît Parnaudeau: "I made the mistake of saving the worst stuff for last." Sailor (dreaming) of fresh water This inveterate smoker had also taken "ten days of cigarettes" to try to wean himself on the boat. His friends had hidden a few packages in his cabin, "lest the craving for a smoke made him abandon the race . " It was not enough. He had to wean himself for six weeks. It was not the lack of nicotine that made him doubt, but the loneliness. "I was off Salvador de Bahia, and I said to myself: 'I'll stop the engine, join the friends over there and we'll go back to Les Sables.'" A desire for human contact immediately showered by Anne Liardet, companion in misfortune, on the radio. "I told him to stop his bullshit!" Later, in the middle of the Pacific Ocean, Benoît Parnaudeau thought again: "I looked at my position in relation to the land. I was far from everything, from the other competitors, from the first inhabited land. One point. in the midst of the vastness. And there I was, 'Well, you focus on what you have to do.' It's very easy to let go. On the ocean, you get very emotional, things get blown. " After the holidays, it's time to go up the Atlantic. After the roaring forties and the howling fiftieths , the enemy is still water, but in another form. Do you remember the chaotic conditions of Karen Leibovici's departure, barely out of the hospital? In the precipitation of her start, she did not check her water reserves. And it is under the heat of the equator that her desalinator decided to give up. "I was putting it in manual mode, pumping, but it took so much energy that I was getting dehydrated more than I was getting drinking water." In these cases, we forget the weather forecast, the ideal trajectory, and we head towards the first cloud that passes."From the first drop, I lowered the mainsail to use it as a tank. And then I poured everything into cans." An isolated case ? Not really. A bacteria slipped into Raphaël Dinelli's desalinator while he was tinkering with his boat in the Falklands during the trip up the Atlantic in 2009. "My water started to taste like toilets. I must have forgotten to change the filter on the cartridge. I tried to flavor my water as much as possible. I drank tea, coffee, I put lemon in it, but it lasted three weeks. " Near the equator, it is 4 to 6 liters of water that the skippers need daily. "I couldn't take it anymore. I ended up getting permission to open the 30 to 60 liters which are sealed, in case of emergency. I greedily downed 3 to 4 liters of water from at once. And I was good for 24 hours of spasms. " Overdosing on fresh water in the middle of the ocean is possible. Dirty laundry as a lifeline The best way not to give up is to set a goal. One wants to beat the time of the previous skipper to have circled the world on his boat, others are competing against legends, such as Titouan Lamazou , winner of the first Vendée Globe in 109 days, a time that would have earned him the 15th place in the 2016 edition. "I compared myself to the boats of the 2000 edition , explains Tanguy de Lamotte, who competed in 2012 on a fourteen year old boat. I was in Ellen MacArthur 's time. [second in 94 days] as the finish approaches. I was just forecasting my arrival date when my hull creaked. You should never do that, it is bad luck. " A slit 20 centimeters wide and a few millimeters high, splinters of carbon everywhere, the water seeping in briskly… The fin (a very sharp 200 kg piece of carbon intended to stabilize the boat) stuck in the hull. "I took whatever was in my hands… my dirty laundry." A little personal hygiene aside: Vendée Globe sailors take clothes on board, but not a pair of socks and briefs for every day either. "Thirty" for Tanguy de Lamotte. And as the times laundry days are scarce, "it's more important to have dry clothes than clean clothes". Anyway, damp laundry is doomed to mold in a plastic bag. It is therefore with the contents of this bag that the sealing operation begins. "My fleeces, my briefs, my socks… with a certain result." Three nights of anguish pumping and seeing the automatic pumps burn out one after the other, days of diving to delicately clear the fin free , days and days of stagnation and, in a final burst, a hulkish attempt to forcibly remove a stuck piece, which pays off. "In twenty minutes, it was over", breathes "TanGyver" . But the lost days will never be made up for, and so will Ellen MacArthur's time. If François Gabart or Armel Le Cléac'h had experienced such damage, "we would not have known until after the arrival, during their press conference" , confirm all the sailors questioned. While at the back of the standings, transparency is essential. The big technical bug is the lot of some of our last in the fleet, and that also explains their ranking. Raphaël Dinelli's solar panels, which nearly set his hull on fire, Conrad Colman's mast, which snaps, forcing him to finish the race with his boom as a rig. Boom that had to be glued, improvising an XXL oven on the deck of the boat. "Four days of construction in the middle of the Atlantic, with the survival blanket to seal the oven, the personal heater pads as fuel, to allow for the epoxy to glue the pieces together" , says the New Zealander, who found himself running out of food because of this twist of fate."I licked the crumbs from the cereal bar wrappers, I ate the energy biscuits from the liferaft, I rationed myself to 300 calories when it took ten times more…" It is 10 kg lighter that he crossed the finishing line. Fluctuat nec mergitur, even after arrival The arrival in sight is the moment when the sponsors remember you fondly. "Mine asked me to finish last, to have more advertising impact , explains Norbert Sedlacek, who was struggling at that time with Raphaël Dinelli to avoid the donkey hat. I answered 'yes', but I did nothing! " Anyway, after three months at sea, the last place becomes very relative: "We were 20 at the start, I'm 10th at the finish, that's how I see it" , insists Benoît Parnaudeau. And the public in Les Sables d'Olonne welcomes each new arrival in large numbers, with smoke and clamors. "I did not take time to enjoy the passage in the channel enough ,sighs Karen Leibovici, last of the 2004 edition. But as there was not a breath of wind, I had struggled for hours to cross the line ". For Tanguy de Lamotte, the arrival was almost more cruel. The sailor arrived on a Sunday evening when the tide went down at breakneck speed " [The guests of his sponsor] partied for two days without me. And in any case they were leaving the next morning ... It was a quarter of an hour close for me to be told to wait offshore for high tide to enter the channel. The boat even scraped the sand before reaching the dock. " Once docked, it's time to celebrate the event. Well almost. "Benoît Parnaudeau and some friends got on board, found the bottle of rum, whistled it in two seconds without offering me any of it, because I was looking for water to give to my children " , smiles Anne Liardet. And then it's the time for the festivities… well, in a way of speaking: "I still see myself going to vomit in the toilet, with exploded eyes. At sea, we eat a little all the time, my stomach which was not dilated was absolutely not ready for the' starter-main-dessert 'concept " , recounts Raphaël Dinelli, who does not have many good memories of returning ashore. “In addition, as we are surrounded by iodized air for months, the body's immune defenses weaken. And when we come back, in February-March, it is the season of the flu and gastro. As soon as the body relaxes a little, we end with 40 fever. " No need to draw you a picture: for the galleymen of the Vendée Globe, the challenge goes on a little longer than expected.
  20. 11 points
    What a load of crap! The sad reality is that in countries such as yours and mine there is no appetite for risk, WRT the manufacture of boats that are SMOD’s (even if in this case they are 5-6SMOD). I have first-hand experience, (and some reading this will know that first-hand) at the maths and the viability of setting up manufacture in Sth Carolina or Florida of ILCA’s and it simply did not stack up. It was not for lack of trying; it was more for lack of getting someone with specific skill-set to live in the US and commit 5 years to the project all the while you and others bleat about price. That person chose to live elsewhere. I am also aware of the “hell” that Turner (Ovington) and Portiglia (Nautivela) have gone through. I am also aware of what Element 6 and ZOU are enduring. It’s anything but easy and it’s anything but a gravy train! This problem is not unique to ILCA’s or 9ers, and you are in-fact lucky to have the Steve/Dave Clarks (& Melges) of this world who do it more for the love of it. (and yes I did field a phone call from Steve very early in the piece about exactly this!) WRT ILCA, they and by they, Tracy, Takao, Andy, & Clive plus countless others inc Eric, from where I am sitting and with what I know have acted with the absolute best interests of the ILCA members at heart and given that Tracy is doing this for the love of it, and Takao has taken huge hits to his life and his business to get it back on track, a) all of, but Tracy and Takao more-so are completely mad, but b) you owe then a huge debt of gratitude. WRT the 7 builders they have selected, interesting all (with the exception of Devoti) are in the “9er” club, so PSJ, Rio Tech, Zou, ZIM, Element 6, Ovington and Nautivela, all are exceptional boat-builders, all follow the rules, all do the right thing. I have been in every one of these boat-builders’ factories, (plus PSA, LP/Vanguard and PSUK (under Coventry/Graham) and I am very sure that ILCA where very careful with their selection and have got it right as they possibly could. As you have signalled out ZOU in Qingdao, I have been in that factory 3 times in the last 2 years. George Zou and Penny Ma are 2 of the most above-board boat builders I know, and George comes from a very long line a highly accomplished Chinese shipwright’s. It’s extraordinarily rare, to walk into another man’s factory, anywhere in the world, let alone China, and meet someone with the skill set and expertise of George. It was a breath of fresh air. It’s even rarer that when confronted with baseless (by definition) accusations that Penny (a highly accomplished businesswoman in her own right) & George, take the higher ground. What really takes me back is that if these baseless accusations had been rained on any number of other builders in many parts of the world the accuser would be miles deep in counterfeit crap right now. Penny and George have held the far higher ground Those accusers, including you, are very much the worse for your accusations. You (and they) look really stupid to those that actually know! I have very firsthand experience, ZOU has acted and are continuing to act, impeccably. Steve Perry (ZIM Connecticut) has a long and extremely fruit-full working relationship with them (along with a large number of other non-Chinese “builders”) plus a vast number of your C420's that your youth happily sail daily. So unless you have some tangible evidence to the contrary, I would suggest you pull your head in! As a Caucasian it’s embarrassing! jB
  21. 11 points
    APPROACHING POINT NEMO, ARMEL TRIPON CONTINUES HIS ASCENT AND THINKS THAT “ANYTHING IS POSSIBLE! " The Occitane en Provence is again very fast this morning of December 30th, averaging 19 knots. After overtaking Romain Attanasio from whom he took 13th place two days ago, Armel Tripon is now attacking 12th, held by Clarisse Crémer. Above all, the Nantes skipper has never been so close to the leading peloton and he should still regain ground by the time he crosses Cape Horn. Armel Tripon is one of the most isolated men in the world this Wednesday, November 30, about 500 miles southeast of Point Nemo which is considered the most remote place on the planet from any civilization. But the geographical anecdote is much less important for the skipper of L'Occitane en Provence than the performances he manages to achieve in the middle of the Pacific Ocean. Armel testifies to a good morale, this December 30 in the morning. "The boat surfs effortlessly at 23 knots" He says: “I am under a high mainsail and J2, in the middle of the Pacific! The boat is surfing effortlessly at 23 knots, I am sailing at around 19 knots on average. Suddenly, I further reduced the gap with Clarisse (Crémer) and with the leading pack. Now I can see all the outpost ships on my computer screen, which was not the case before. This kind of detail is very good for morale! " The small sailing sake of before met yesterday is already history. Armel Tripon even jokes about the 19 places gained from the coast of Portugal (!)… And maybe 20 if he manages to overtake Banque Populaire. “When I was sailing in Figaro, there was a price for the best lifts… I hope that also exists in the Vendée Globe? (laughs). " You have to remember that with the hook broken at the very start of the race, Armel Tripon was ranked 32nd in this Vendée Globe… which only has 27 boats still in the race today. Above all, he was up to 2,200 miles behind the leader after crossing the equator. However, this same delay is less than 860 miles this morning! Never has L'Occitane en Provence been so close to the leaders. "Our roads converge with Clarisse, it's nice to see competitors again" Armel Tripon is now clearly tackling the position of Clarisse Crémer, who is only sailing 39 miles ahead of the round bow of L'Occitane en Provence. “Our roads converge with Clarisse, maybe I'll see her, or even talk to her on the VHF. I saw Romain's boat (Attanasio) two days ago and tried to call him, but we couldn't reach us. It's nice anyway to see competitors again, it had been a long time since this had happened to me. I had not seen any during the crossing of the Indian Ocean and neither since the beginning of the Pacific! "Other than that" it's very cold. When you have to go to the bridge, it's freezing ”. Barely 5 degrees in the air and in the water… “I can smell the icy breath of Antarctica! »Says Armel. In terms of weather and strategy, conditions are still very good and conducive to speed. “So far I cannot complain about the southern seas, which I am discovering for the first time: I had a maximum of 40 knots of gusty wind and 4 meters of hollow. Nothing daunting as we can often meet here, or as Yannick (Bestaven) and Charlie (Dalin) will face when they pass Cape Horn. For me, it will remain very maneuverable: 20 to 25 knots south-southwest. I have two days of reaching (crosswind) in the program and this pace should allow me to rest to attack the rest. I think I will be at Cape Horn in 5 to 6 days and I tell myself that nothing is over yet! I can still come back to the group of hunters and anything is possible in the ascent of the Atlantic. There will be moves to play, that's for sure. It's up to me to dose well, to spare the boat when necessary, but also to support when there is a chance. " Less than 400 miles behind the leading group at Cape Horn? Dose and seize opportunities: that's exactly what Armel Tripon has been doing since… the Cape Verde archipelago. When you look at his trajectory, he was able to seize every opportunity in the right direction to regain ground. To regain nearly 1,400 miles and 19 places is no small feat. Small reminder: it is customary to say that there are no losers among all the sailors who manage to finish the Vendée Globe, from first to last. Armel Tripon knows it. But he also knows that the appetite comes with eating. “For the first time I did a routing (computer calculation) of the progressions of the other boats, compared to mine. And I think I will be less than 500 miles behind the lead group, maybe even less than 400, when passing Cape Horn. So regaining more places is possible, because then there will be the whole Atlantic and another month of racing. The finish is still very far away! It will be necessary to be playful and to try blows. In the meantime I realize that I have been alone at sea for 52 days. This is twice as much as my previous record which was 25 days and I still cannot find the time long!
  22. 11 points
    Weather update Set AEZ to V5 - thx again @Hitchhiker for that file. Set Bestaven to 105% polars. Routing with 08:00 positions for top-5 boats and GFS run 00:00. Away we go. The big picture is pic 1 with EUMETSAT IR pic 2 ECMWF temps and pic 3 self-made synoptic map. I have added the temperature pic in order to distinguish the two cold fronts (blue lines). In pic 3 top left you can see where the LP 3 will be starting soon and which I mentioned yesterday. That LP 3 coming SE is going to be the dominant factor in the coming days. The weather routing table for top-5 boats is in pic 4. The max winds have come down considerably compared to the projections yesterday. Into the 30s instead of the 50s. Still enough. And wind gusts well into the 40s. Routing for Bestaven, Dalin and Ruyant in pic 5. Bestaven can sail almost due east towards Cape Horn. Dalin, Ruyant and other boats can be forced more north. Gybing due to that cold front passing them. Seguin and Le Cam can expect more head winds compared to the top-3 boats. If we roll the Windy tracker with Kevin's excellent plugin forward in the coming days, you get the next pics. Pic 6 has the projection for tomorrow 31st at 00:00 UTC. The LP can now clearly be seen top left. And moving quickly SE, see pic 7 for the 31 09:00 UTC projection. Moving forward to Jan 1st 07:00 UTC see pic 8. The LP is splitting the fleet. Finally, projections for Jan 2nd 04:00 UTC. The LP has moved below the AEZ on the SW side of Cape Horn. At the moment Bestaven looks good with the 2nd cold front and LP 3. But the projections for that LP 3 can change in the coming days. And so the impact on the fleet. BTW: sea state will turn shitty with that LP 3. 6 meters and more south west of Chile. See pic 9. That alone would drive boats more south when rounding CH to the AEZ. Max waves are now set in OpenCPN for routing at max 7 meters. Will adjust tomorrow to 5 or 6 meters. This would impact JLC's routing, driving him more south. Other routes are more to the south already, circumventing that sea state.
  23. 11 points
    Weather update First a look back at the situation at the 23rd, the last time that I did a routing. The projections suggested that Bestaven could take a NE flyer away from the AEZ and he did so. What was not in the books that Dalin, staying close to the AEZ, could get within 2 miles DTL of the leader. Before being swallowed up by the HP zone, that was clearly not on the projected position. See pic #1. Fast forward to current 11:30 positions and weather. Now the first boats have past Point Nemo, still no synoptic weather maps for another 700 NM. So Windy for the big picture, see pic # 2 for EUMETSAT with color enhanced IR temps and pic #3 for ECMWF with winds and MSLP. Bestaven to drop of that LP below the AEZ soon. But enough wind will come to keep them going. Looking at the routing table in pic # 4 Dalin and Ruyant could stay close to Bestaven. But the devil is in the details. Max winds up to to 50s for the top-5 boats. The last part to Cape Horn could prove to be the hardest. As a new LP zone is projected to start on Wednesday around 120 W and 40 S. Moving SE and on Friday projected SW of Cape Horn. Deepening too, with increasing winds. Increasingly (very) bad sea state too. So first some AEZ-hugging for the boats, but after that LP comes in serious shit projected. Routing parameters for allowed max true wind still set to 45 kts, and apparent wind still to 50 kts. This could force Le Cam further north than the other top-4 boats. And close to a very nasty Chilean lee shore you want to stay far away from. Very far as in 50-100 NM or more imho. Only for Bestaven en Dalin no upwinds expected, for the other 3 boats 5%-8% beating due to the LP. In pics # 5 and 6 the Friday projections for Bestaven and Le Cam. The yellow arrows indicate projected positions. In pic 6 the projected wind force is shown as a color overlay plus the MSLP. Indicating that the narrow gap, or better funnel, to pass Cape Horn offers not much space to circumvent that LP. The max distance between the AEZ and the CH lighthouse is 83 NM. So with less and less sea room to manoever and/or route, the coming days could get interesting. The timing of that LP is crucial, because if it is quicker or slower the deck of cards could get reshuffled thoroughly by lady Fortuna in the last game before rounding CH. If JLC wants 50 NM distance to land when rounding CH he should be going SE around 200 NM west of the coast, see pic #7.
  24. 11 points
    Boats efficiency as measured by dividing VMG with wind strength. First comparison by race number: (ignore INEOS race 1,2 , as their data seems corrupted) More interestingly to see how it depends on wind speed: seems like each boat is optimised for a different wind speed, while USA is good all rounder. NZL dominates in 11 knots. Anything more than 15 kn and everyone's performance converges. PS: added VMG/TWS in https://ac36.herokuapp.com/stats_app
  25. 11 points
    This is the only way to stop bad actors from filling the zone with bullshit. Drag them into the room where people have to swear to tell the truth and relieve them of any profits they’ve made from bullshitting, then go after punitives. This has to start happening. Make bullshitters homeless. Take every penny.

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