jack_sparrow

Members
  • Content Count

    16,089
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    60

jack_sparrow last won the day on January 12

jack_sparrow had the most liked content!

Community Reputation

3,896 F'n Saint

5 Followers

About jack_sparrow

Recent Profile Visitors

6,999 profile views
  1. jack_sparrow

    The 2018 Golden Globe Race

    I think Flyer II was one of the first alloy builds Huisman's did over 35 years ago utilising cutting alloy plate underwater to minimise distortion. This their latest alloy beast is due for launch next year and being in build now for two years. At 81m / 266ft this 3 masted schooner is their largest alloy hull build to date and will be the largest alloy sailing vessel in the world. They must have been crazy not to have consulted with at @carcrash first before embarking on half a century of alloy boat building after first starting building in steel around 15 years before that.
  2. jack_sparrow

    Brexit, WTF

    It would appear the Queen is really worried about Brexit. So she sent Phil the Greek out to buy a loaf of bread. Landrover can at least chalk up another sale before 30 March. https://i.stuff.co.nz/world/europe/110032501/prince-philip-crash-new-land-rover-delivered-to-sandringham-for-royal-after-crash
  3. jack_sparrow

    Brexit, WTF

    Geek absolutely true and my reply here is simply to firstly put more meat on that already fine sandwich of yours and secondly for any pundit who thinks they can show strategic grounds to and or predict the outcome of a General Election and or a 2nd Referendum. The easiest thing to say today is the Leaver referendum result was weighted in favour towards only three UK population brackets, the disenfranchised, the uneducated and older people. 1. Disenfranchised. This you would bracket under economic and social discontent so then naturally expect Scotland, rust belt Northern England and Wales to figure prominently in a Leave vote. So every large region of the country except Scotland, Northern Ireland and the odd man out London voted to Leave? In England, every major region outside of London voted to leave. The highest vote for leave was in the West Midlands with 59.11% opting for Brexit. In London, 59.94% voted to remain. In Wales leave voters were dominant with 18 of the 22 areas. Only three, the Vale of Glamorgan in the south, Monmouthshire in the south-east and Ceredigion in west Wales voted to remain. However what also drove that vote? 2. Age Over-65s were more than twice as likely as under-25s to have voted to Leave. Every pundit I have read glibly says this is a demographic remembering the "good old days". Those pundits must be very young and or can't Google stats from the mid 70's when say a 65 year old today was pounding the pavement looking for a job. Pre Thatcher the country was fucked. Maybe those 65+ year olds now have now forgetten how they rejoiced when the UK joined the EU at that time so they could get a job? The immigration card I suspect had far greater weight behind their decision to leave 3. Education A more dramatic split was along the lines of education. 70% of voters whose educational attainment is only GCSE or lower voted to Leave, while 68% of voters with a university degree voted to Remain in the EU. Those with A levels and no degree were evenly split, 50% to 50%. What made them vote this way? So how did they vote like they did? The normal expectation with a vote of this kind is to think it is simply propgated by the Media and voters listening or otherwise to their local political representatives either encumbent MP's or aspirants on a borough by borough basis. That clearly didn't happen. 1. Media This was not the case and irelevant. With very few exceptions the UK media leading up to the Referendum in 2016 were pushing the Remainer case. 2. Political With variences you would expect in any election at a local level the major parties and some others all promoted a Remainer campaign. Yet the vote cut right across party lines, with significant division within Britain's main political parties who capture around 80% in any election. Conservatives voted to Leave, 61% to 39%. Labour voters (65%) and Liberal Democrats (68%) largely voted for Remain but significant minorities went for Leave. Only the UKIP, where 95% voted for Leave, and the Greens, where 80% voted for Remain, avoided significant internal party divisions on the vote. Conclusion So to what I said at the outset taking the above in mind. How can any pundit or political operative determine strategic grounds to and or predict the outcome of a General Election and or a 2nd Referendum? They are on drugs if they believe they can do so. Polls indicate the 2016 Referendum result remains still much the same. Yet the above clearly shows by population it was the pissed off, a large slab of entitled and well off (who arguably are not effected either way). Then dumb cunts and old people with dementia or not liking the colour of their neighbours skin and coming from the pissed off category that delivered up the Leave result. No one else did. Everyone is quick to critisise politicians who were hog tied and put on the Brexit Bus. But surely isn't it now time people started honestly looking at who actually put them on that bus and why? More importantly is the Brexit Bus really going to deliver what they are looking for regardless of who is driving it? Stats reference. https://www.google.com/amp/blog.webkid.io/brexit-maps-charts/amp/
  4. jack_sparrow

    Brexit, WTF

    Whatever. 2/3 ;-)
  5. jack_sparrow

    Brexit, WTF

    This Australia Day advert by Aust meat and livestock industry actually is very Brexit with its 'migration' and 'original' citizens theme. It also drives vegans batshit crazy. For the illinformed Australia Day is on 26 January, which marks the anniversary of the 1788 arrival of the First Fleet of British ships at Port Jackson/Sydney and full of English rif raf. If you are confused with the French ship that was La Perouse who landed around the same time but didn't colonise as Cook had layed claim on behalf of the Crown 18 years prior. The day is controversial as many in the aboriginal community call it Invasion Day and want the date shifted. Anyway any you Poms partial to Australian Lamb you won't be getting any this month. Might be good practise for you for after 30 March :-)
  6. jack_sparrow

    VOR AUCTION - OPPORTUNITIES LOST & STILL THERE?

    Family Grael's views on The Ocean Race's new IMOCA 60's. BTW having to date no proper launch of this new race name and VOR continuing to be the default title is as dumb as it gets. https://diarinho.com.br/abordodoesporte/2019/01/18/campeoes-olimpicos-barcos-imoca-volvo-ocean-race/
  7. jack_sparrow

    The 2018 Golden Globe Race

    OK. Can you please give us all a tip on which aluminium aircraft that we need to have parachutes in our carry on luggage?
  8. jack_sparrow

    Brexit, WTF

    Hoppy first of all May can't unilaterally stop Brexit, only the Parliament can do that. The existing parliament or a new parliament can't even extend the Brexit date unilaterally. This issue is also not being fought along party lines as you are saying. To help you understand why here is some background. Remain or Leave EU Referendum 2016. The people's vote to leave was 52/48% and unlike normal referendums binds the Government to prosecute the result. This result caught everyone by surprise. Generally older people and those in less prosperous areas of the UK voted to leave. There is no real evidence to suggest this has changed, though many Remainers believe so via more awareness about the ramifications of leaving. However that same argument could apply to Leavers about remaining. Political Party Positions. At the time of the referendum and now the majority of all parties want to Remain. It is a generalisation but for the two major parties that collected 80% of the vote at the last election, the Remainers constitute at least 70% of the party room. So in essence there is a pro Remain parliament pretending to follow the will of the people who want to leave. This issue has always and still is being contested outside party lines. This respect of individual members and their electrorates is different to the days when MP's were just sheep that followed the party line. Prime Minister's & Govt Hold on Position Having survived a No Confidence Vote last month, under party rules May's position is safe for 12 months or this coming December. She has stated she is not standing at the next election. While the Government's/May Brexit deal was voted down 230 against on Tuesday, the Government survived a subsequent no confidence vote. What is Brexit? On 29 March 2017, the UK as member of the EU invoked Article 50 of the Treaty on European Union (TEU) which begins a member state's withdrawal from the EU and two years later cease being a member of the EU or on 30 March 2019. Can the UK Cancel Article 50? A majority decision of Parliament/House of Commons (not May and not the Government) could cancel Brexit and remain in the EU under current terms. Ordinarily this would involve agreement of all 27 member states of the EU. However the European Court of Justice has ruled the UK can cancel Brexit in advance of 30 March without the permission of the other member states. Can the UK Extend Article 50? A majority decision of both houses Parliament cannot extend Brexit. Article 50 states that the UK cannot unilaterally extend the two-year negotiation period. Nor can it “demand” an extension. It can only “ask for” one. The request would then be considered by the European Council, and an extension can only be granted with the unanimous agreement of the remaining 27 member states. Even if all member states could be persuaded, there are difficulties with any extension which runs beyond European Parliaments elections in May. Does an Election & New Government Change the Above? No. Brexit Date and Decision Making Timing No later than 30 March, preferably ASAP for Parliament to agree to a Brexit Deal either Hard or Soft. The default is a No Deal Brexit. For a newly elected government to be put in place prior to 30 March 2019 with a General Election the result of a no confidence motion (requiring some Tories to join with Labour), that election cannot be held until 14 days after the motion passed plus 25 days after parliament dissolves. Therefore the cuttoff for that vote of no confidence is the end of January or just 12 days away. A 2nd Referendum would require an extension to the Article 50 date. See above. It would no doubt provide grounds to the EU states to unilaterally agree to an extension up until no later than the EU elections in May. However if the original referendum results remain largely unchanged, it would prove a very destabilising thing for the country. If the referendum was framed on Leave with Deal or Remain, the Leavers would say it is a defacto vote to Remain. Interestingly this is called the People's Vote, suggesting only robots voted in 2016. Hoppy the above facts may help you better frame your viewpoints. 1/3
  9. jack_sparrow

    The 2018 Golden Globe Race

    Higher risk of sticking a pole in the water with a kite/less stability in all but a flat sea state and ending it there? I really doubt it.
  10. jack_sparrow

    Brexit, WTF

    Calling Mr Forks to the white phone.
  11. jack_sparrow

    The 2018 Golden Globe Race

    The maths teacher has finally busted out of that transition and now trucking north as per his approach plan. The Dutch Rower still glued stuck on starboard tack where any chance of a VMG short cut to the east for the next week of weather looks gone. It is now follow the leader and their delta is now going to go north at a rate of knots.
  12. jack_sparrow

    The 2018 Golden Globe Race

    Complete bollocks. PS. In reply I had to dice out the body of your post starting with the monocoque construction of a beer can because simply copying it would have caused me to throw up in my mouth again.
  13. jack_sparrow

    Brexit, WTF

    Everyone forgets about the Queen. While never reverted to in modern times beyond her receipt of advisory decision making, there is a stick there to belt some Westminster heads with if she was so inclined.
  14. jack_sparrow

    Brexit, WTF

    Probably the best thing for the Conservatives. Even if you're a Granny who drove around in a fucking blue Morris Minor with a figurine of Winston bouncing off the rear vision mirror at the last election handing out how to vote cards. They are best voting Labour in with a landslide notwithstanding that nutter Corbyn, if only to restore stability to the country. That then gives the Tories time to fix their own catastrofuck while in opposition and having no direct Brexit or otherwise responsibilty. Afterall how much can Labour really fuck up in one term?
  15. jack_sparrow

    Brexit, WTF

    Mate that is very generous of you. However I must give credit to the seed of my train of thought to @Fah Kiew Tuwho reminded me of the modern Westminster system that a MP's responsibility to their electorate ranked first above party politics. That was in response to my suggestion that a few MP's like some from the Rees Mogg 100 being keel-hauled to restore party unity is what was needed. That then led me to the thought that MP's were being given the luxury of forming into too many groups, particularly the Tories and all coming up with too many different answers, both Leave and Remain. It was this in my mind that is causing this modern Westminster system of respecting individual representation to in fact have Westminster shit itself, and as we see today. The next step of putting some MP's names to both idiocy and some unknowns stepping up and assuming responsibilty that their party leaders can't through either paralysis or obstinance was easy. I'm only a distant commentator who while getting his #1 passport torched by Brexit, Mad you live it and wake up to it every day. That would drive me to drink.