dfw_sailor

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About dfw_sailor

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  1. dfw_sailor

    Does this happen often in your neighborhood?

    LB, yes it has been about that long since I had been around Fortitude Valley. It was half said said as a joke. I am not spoiling for an argument, but I will pick a bone with you. You consistently sprout numbers you pick out of your ass as 'facts'. 2016: Australia gun related deaths 1.04 per 100k; 0.18 (homicide) .8 (accidental) 2016: USA gun related deaths 11.96 per 100k; 6.62 (homicide) 7.1 (accidental) So on these figures you are 37 times more likely to be murdered by gun in the US than in Australia. Homicide: 2013: Australia 2013 1.0 per 100k 2013: USA 4.9 per 100k However these figures show overall (guns or not) a person has 5 times more chance of being murdered in the US than in Australia. Then again, estimates are that gang /drug activity is responsible for between 50% and 75% of gun homicides in the US. Lets just assume 50% to the sake of discussion. So if we ignore gang stuff it brings it down to a being 19 times more likely of homicide by gun. It is difficult to quickly determine what the overall US homicide rate is without guns. Getting back to my point: If you stop picking numbers out of your ass, I would have more respect for you arguments, even though you are a centrist. I expect the left (and right) to make stupid comments. And to sort of make peace, there are wonderful things / ok things / shit things in both countries.
  2. dfw_sailor

    Does this happen often in your neighborhood?

    Tom, I'm a centrist on this so tend I hope to be realistic. There is a lot of shootings where the picking the wrong home was obvious / stupid, i.e. hanging out with the wrong crowd. There are other home shootings such as Plano / Dallas just over a year ago, where the ex of a woman decide to gate crash a cookout and kill 8 at the party. I don't believe they knew they had made a bad choice before they were making a bad choice in attending that party.
  3. dfw_sailor

    Does this happen often in your neighborhood?

    Maybe your thoughts are biased because of happenings in Fortitude Valley? As much as the Aus media likes to paint the US as gun crazy where you wouldn't to be out after dark, wife (Dual US / Aus citizen) and I (Aus citizen and on way to US Citizen) feel much safer at night in the US - excluding obviously unsafe areas. However it could be that nightime drunken random assaults have decreased since we left Melbourne in 2011.
  4. dfw_sailor

    Does this happen often in your neighborhood?

    More for LB...... https://www.9news.com.au/2018/12/12/08/27/melbourne-man-charged-with-22-offences-after-five-hour-ordeal (35 yrs old, probably not of 'African Australian' appearance given his age). Today https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/ten-arrested-over-crime-spree-of-carjackings-and-robberies-20181114-p50fv4.html (November 14)) The raids relate to a Halloween night crime spree during which five men allegedly threatened a young mother with a machete after ambushing her in the driveway of her home in the early hours of the morning. Ten people, mostly teenagers, have been arrested over a series of aggravated carjackings, burglaries and car thefts which occurred on Halloween night in Melbourne's south-eastern suburbs. https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/teens-charged-with-more-than-100-offences-over-melbourne-crime-spree-20181108-p50eo1.html (November 8), home burglaries, car jackings, different teens / events than the story above.) I could go on, but I think I will stop for now. I don't read the Brisbane News so didn't research that area.
  5. dfw_sailor

    Does this happen often in your neighborhood?

    speaking of such 'hordes'.. https://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-12-11/victoria-police-cctv-st-kilda-brutal-brawl-unconscious/10607528 A gang of youths stomped and kicked two Melbourne men until they lost consciousness, new CCTV footage reveals, in an assault that police have described as "brutal" and "senseless".senseless" and "brutal" The vision, from security cameras along the St Kilda foreshore, then shows a young man rifling through one of the victim's pockets before stealing his wallet and mobile phone. The incident follows a spate of violence in St Kilda, a popular beach precinct in Melbourne. The assault happened shortly after 11:00pm on December 1, as the three victims were walking along the foreshore near the St Kilda Surf Lifesaving Club, near Jacka Boulevard. They were approached by a group of up to 10 youths, who police said were of African-Australian appearance. The youths attacked the trio, who tried to defuse the situation by walking away. They were instead mobbed by a larger group of men. Detective Senior Constable Nathan Sheppard from Victoria Police estimated up to 20 young people took part in the assault. "It was a totally unprovoked attack," he said. - now I wouldn't want to live in a gated community, in most of the US. Too saccharine for me. But, aside from the obvious risks with random mass shootings, day to day living feels a heck of a lot safer in the US than the streets of Melbourne. This is just one example. Drivers in Dallas really don't do the road rage thing - again unlike Melbourne / Sydney / Brisbane. Concealed carry has some benefits, such as mostly very civil co-existence, because neither person knows if the other is carrying. The vast majority of violence other than a nutter going nuts over here is gang / drug related - which the good people of Melbourne Aus wouldnt really care about anyway, given australian underworld activity is almost celebrated.
  6. dfw_sailor

    I still call Australia home

    This one is for ShortforBob and other Vic's reading..Apologies to the other Aussies who possibly aren't that interested in the goings on in Vic between 1980s and now. "There were a total of 386 people arrested and charged that I am specifically aware of based upon information I provided to Victoria Police but there are probably more because as you would know, I did not always know the value or use of some of the intelligence that I was providing. There was over $60 million in property and assets seized/restrained based upon my assistance and intelligence (a fact reported in The Age in an article about the results obtained by Purana in decimating the gangland criminals in 2009)." (Lawyer X in 2015) And now Vic has a new Royal Commission. Is going to be fascinating. Took about 30 mins of searching (mainly because I don't have an account with heraldsun.com.au) but the article Lawyer X: The Scorpion's sting has been replicated on theworldnews . You can then search on who was dropped as witness in Paul Dale case after death threats. This is going to tie up the courts for years. The next version of Underbelly, sometime after 2019/2020 will be a blockbuster. I haven't been able to work out which client she was supposed to represent in court when she gave birth instead, and according to the Scorpion's Sting article, going to Port Phillip Prison 3 - 4 times with the baby, visiting the client in the family friendly area and calling him daddy. No apologies for not including links in this post. Note my only connection to all of this: the very common interest of Melbournians (and ex-Melbournians) in all matters underbelly + I was lucky I chose to have a drink at the Pub next to Russell street at the same time (but the day before!) what happened there in 86, and Gary Abdullah was put into the the brain surgery ward / room at the same time (in 88 as a result of an altercation with police) as my Dad was in that ward / room recovering from one of his brain surgeries. If this is too heavy a discussion I am happy to delete.
  7. dfw_sailor

    I still call Australia home

    And maybe for the libs, Morrison will stay Opp leader, Frydenberg will stay on as DL/ST for at least one term. I wouldn't be surprised if Bishop stays in for at least the next term, in case she has a shot at leadership during labor's second term. All depends on whether enough misogynistic far right LNP dead wood is removed at this and the following election. Maybe Morrison can grow into a 2 term OL but I doubt it. If it is an extreme rout there is a chance Bishop would get a shot in the first term but not sure she or anyone else really would want it. I think Morrison is just stuck there with the poisoned chalice. Unfortunately Morison's silly stuff like Israel embassy location, NSW preselection override is going to be seen as immature knee jerk actions, and together with the whole Dutton situation will take years to recover from. Ok everyone - flame away!
  8. dfw_sailor

    I still call Australia home

    Based on length or service, and being centre / right of centre, I would probably prefer Bowen / Dreyfus. However I expect they will want a leftie in there as # 2 which probably would mean plibersek or albanese. As much as I dislike Shorten, I don't think they will go for any leadership change. If by some magical / miraculous event the LNP gets its act together then maybe the ALP will decide to backroom a change where Shorten chooses to stand down for some personal reason. But I know nothing because I am a lowly expat . I sincerely doubt a SDA faction will get someone up. Sad to say (as a reasonably strong conservative) there is reasonable depth in the ALP front bench as compared to the current LNP offering.
  9. dfw_sailor

    I still call Australia home

    There is something to be said for sailing in 30 degree (C) temps, moonlight and stars, 30 cm waves (basically flat), 7-10 kts warm breeze , a line or two out trolling, and ice cold beer / scotch. Do need to keep an eye out for possible idiots though. As opposed to 0 - 5kts during the day, with 50 or so fishing pontoon boats, speedboats, jetskis all creating creating wake that bounces back off the rock shores creating a washing machine effect, with 70% humidity, 35 - 43 C. Ugly. Nothing worse, except for another of the lakes out here that has far heavier party boat usage. Also try to ignore the number of drownings that occur in lakes around here, especially the one I sail on. A lots of reasons for that, mostly alcohol & stupidity. Luckily the stink boats mostly stay away when the wind forecast is above 10 kts - they dont like the persistent wave action on the lake once there is some wind. On the other hand we pay $150 a month for our slip, $900 per month for 2 bedroom studio, and have a 2 minute drive from the marina to the studio. In a normal year we get out about 5 times each week. This year sucked, with crappy winds, extreme rainfall that filled the lake but washed down a lot of crap from feeder creeks, plus lots of business travel. Good points and Bad points. I still miss real sailing on blue water enormously.
  10. dfw_sailor

    I still call Australia home

    true.
  11. dfw_sailor

    I still call Australia home

    I think just about beach / surf location in Aus would blow minds compared to the US. Regular strong wind blue water sailing isnt anywhere near as good over here, although unstable weather storms are a bitch and to be very much respected, and of course hurricanes etc. Thunderstorms in Australia, even the events you have had recently don't come close to the severity of what frequently happens in the midwest.
  12. dfw_sailor

    I still call Australia home

    lol. Don't disagree that area is very nice. And Australian beaches are the best / cleanest in the world for sure.
  13. dfw_sailor

    I still call Australia home

    Hmmm - It'd be nice if you were consistent, and actually read what people type. I am Dallas Texas, not NY. I attacked you for bringing out the old dole / pension bludger argument, but showed you the bludger argument is irrelevant in the scheme of things using the social services budget from the .gov website. You haven't given a rebuttal to that as far as I have seen. My innovation is in water reuse for irrigation at residential, multifamily and commercial levels, which shock horror mostly involves mechanical systems / filtration and of course control software. I would suggest I probably know as much as you if not more about the Australian property market, having been an active investor in property, stocks and contract trading. I dont need to concede the economy is doing well at the moment - for the immediate. My argument is what is about to come. Did your eyes glaze over before getting to that point? I'll keep it real simple for you - just one part. The Vic government relies on over 7 billion per year in stamp duties, which form over 50% of total state revenue - followed by payroll tax. It has a surplus of 2 billion. In 2001 it only had about 1.8 billion stamp duty revenues. It has just launched an aggressive infrastructure program which is desperately needed. So exactly what will happen to the state budget when a) transaction values fall by 20 - 25%, and b) transaction volumes fall by 30% (or more)? But hey - its not just me - go look at the link I posted - it was from news.com.au, not as if it came from theage.com.au or abc.gov/news WA is still in a budget shithole - worse than the depression according to the Premier - and thats where VIC, NSW and QLD have a very good chance of heading too. Sometimes it is good to look at the forest rather than just the trees. (yes, intentionally patronising)
  14. dfw_sailor

    I still call Australia home

    I miss vigorous winter racing / sailing on the bay, as well as outside of the heads. In Dallas winter is too cold, summer is too hot (no sea breeze, if any breeze at all) so generally sail when I can from about 7pm till midnight or 2am when the 5 mile x 3 mile lake is somewhat peaceful and a land breeze has kicked in. Miss the blue water terribly though. Gotta watch out for storms out of nowhere though - 50kts from nothing without a lot of notice, sometimes no notice / no visible clouds at all. About the only time we get 1/2 decent waves.
  15. dfw_sailor

    I still call Australia home

    That's OK. I am sure Random is used to the occasional jab re Qld. Especially from Victorians / Ex Victorians. I'd call it a sporting jab. Random?