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    • Zapata

      Abbreviated rules   07/28/2017

      Underdawg did an excellent job of explaining the rules.  Here's the simplified version: Don't insinuate Pedo.  Warning and or timeout for a first offense.  PermaFlick for any subsequent offenses Don't out members.  See above for penalties.  Caveat:  if you have ever used your own real name or personal information here on the forums since, like, ever - it doesn't count and you are fair game. If you see spam posts, report it to the mods.  We do not hang out in every thread 24/7 If you see any of the above, report it to the mods by hitting the Report button in the offending post.   We do not take action for foul language, off-subject content, or abusive behavior unless it escalates to persistent stalking.  There may be times that we might warn someone or flick someone for something particularly egregious.  There is no standard, we will know it when we see it.  If you continually report things that do not fall into rules #1 or 2 above, you may very well get a timeout yourself for annoying the Mods with repeated whining.  Use your best judgement. Warnings, timeouts, suspensions and flicks are arbitrary and capricious.  Deal with it.  Welcome to anarchy.   If you are a newbie, there are unwritten rules to adhere to.  They will be explained to you soon enough.  

DryArmour

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About DryArmour

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  • Birthday 01/09/1963

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    DryArmour
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    http://www.dryuv.com/saoct.htm
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    MarkAMichaelsen

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    Southern California

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  1. East facing Harbors SO CAL- Time to leave

    Carpinteria, Montecito and parts of Santa Barbara are now under evacuation. The winds are light for now but should come back later this evening from the North and Northeast. Don't let your guard down peeps.
  2. Sail on Ian

    Very sad news. Ian was one of those who achieved quite a bit of success in the industry but was never so far removed that you couldn't ask him a question by email and get a prompt reply. Fair winds sir...you are a LEGEND.
  3. East facing Harbors SO CAL- Time to leave

    Are you SW of Temecula ner the 76/15 split?
  4. East facing Harbors SO CAL- Time to leave

    Breezy in Fremont Canyon...
  5. East facing Harbors SO CAL- Time to leave

    When fires begin in steep terrain like this it can literally be 15 minutes between when the fire starts and when it explodes. Not enough time for CHP to create a closure. Common sense and prudence must prevail.
  6. East facing Harbors SO CAL- Time to leave

    They have a good opportunity now to get a handle on it. 13 hours from now the fan turns back on and if they think they have problems now...
  7. East facing Harbors SO CAL- Time to leave

    SOCAL SEVERE WX UPDATE: A bit ahead of schedule, winds at the surface are NNW but at about 1500 feet they have shifted decidedly to the ENE. The upper low transiting the area is opening up and diving due south at this hour. The trailing edge is over a line from Long Beach out through the lower deserts. This explains the shift to the east. For those fighting the Skirball fire in the Sepulveda Pass they need to get a handle on this between now and 2200 (10PM) tonight because the new NAM run says it is going to get freaking windy through there tonight.
  8. East facing Harbors SO CAL- Time to leave

    UPDATE- Wednesday Monring SOCAL Severe Weather update: Surface and upper air pressure readings are down slightly from yesterday. A slow moving upper level low is transiting the far southern section of of the forecast area. It will slide into Northern Mexico overnight tonight. This feature will moderate the winds today but lookout overnight in the East-West wind corridors. Winds will be on the increase again sweeping into the low over Mexico beginning in the morning hours of Thursday. In fact, Thursday could be the windiest of this five day Santa Ana event. Over the last hour, winds in the Ventura area are mid 20s and Malibu area are in the mid 30s. Lower Malibu and Topanga are seeing gusts to 50. Freemont Canyon in Eastern Orange County just saw 54mph wind gusts. All northbound lanes of the 405 are currently closed in the Sepulveda Pass as a result of a new brush fire. (Skirball Fire) Getting to as many hot spots today and squelching them will be key as if they are allowed to smolder, Thursday morning could bring a tremendous conflagration. Fingers crossed that things are not as bad as the forecast appears on Thursday...Depending on the fire, the containment ranges for 0-5%. Hope they get a better handle today before the blwo torch turns back on tomorrow. Photo Courtesy of INTER 20 SO CAL FIRE INCIDENT STATUS
  9. Good morning SA PEEPS. If any of you are sitting in Avalon/Isthmus harbor or in an East or NE facing harbor in the Northern Channel Islands, it is time to pack up and either head home or get around the back of the islands. A fairly wicked Santa Ana wind event is shaping up. Only a few stations are reporting 30+ winds but it will develop during the day on Monday. Have a great week and enjoy the sunny and hot weather. From NWS LAX MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA 249 AM PST MON DEC 4 2017 PZZ650-655-050400- EAST SANTA BARBARA CHANNEL FROM PT. CONCEPTION TO PT. MUGU CA INCLUDING SANTA CRUZ ISLAND- INNER WATERS FROM POINT MUGU TO SAN MATEO PT. CA INCLUDING SANTA CATALINA AND ANACAPA ISLANDS- 249 AM PST MON DEC 4 2017 ..GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS TO BRING CHOPPY SEAS TO INNER WATERS TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... ...HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS POSSIBLE FOR AVALON AND TWO HARBORS TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND CHOPPY SEAS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE COASTAL WATERS SOUTHEAST OF POINT CONCEPTION THIS MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. WIND GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TODAY... WITH EVEN STRONGER WINDS WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KNOTS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. THESE WINDS WILL ESPECIALLY AFFECT NEARSHORE AREAS FROM VENTURA TO SANTA MONICA...INCLUDING SANTA CRUZ AND ANACAPA ISLANDS. THESE WINDS WILL ALSO MOVE THROUGH THE SAN PEDRO CHANNEL AND IMPACT MOST OF THE UNPROTECTED FRONT SIDE OF CATALINA ISLAND...INCLUDING AVALON AND TWO HARBORS. THE WINDS WILL CREATE STEEP...CHOPPY WIND WAVES WITH NORTHEAST SHORT PERIOD SWELL BUILDING UP TO 5 FEET. THE NORTHEAST SWELL AND WIND WAVES WILL LIKELY IMPACT AVALON AND TWO HARBORS...WITH THE WORST CONDITIONS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. THIS IS A POTENTIAL HAZARDOUS SITUATION FOR AVALON AND TWO HARBORS. IMPROPERLY ANCHORED OR MOORED VESSELS MAY BECOME LOOSE AND DAMAGED...AND MAY CAUSE DAMAGE TO OTHER VESSELS IN THE VICINITY. MARINERS WHO NORMALLY ANCHOR IN THESE HARBORS ARE URGED TO MOVE THEIR VESSELS TO THE SOUTH SIDE OF SANTA CATALINA ISLAND BEFORE THE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS DEVELOP MONDAY MORNING. $$ KAPLAN
  10. Can It Be Over Now? (2017 Hurricane Season)

    I like it. Order a new set though. June will be here before you know it...
  11. 4 knots from 310 outside at 1130. Becomes 8.8 from 284 at the peak in the afternoon between 1400-1500HRS. Sunny. Spectacular? No. But race-able.
  12. Year end parties and looking toward 2018

    We have gotten a surprising number of orders from teams going to the Caribbean this spring to race. We are always happy to get the orders but we are especially grateful that teams are opting to go support some of the harder hit areas. If you have the means. please consider taking your team to the Caribbean in 2018 to support the area and enjoy some of the prettiest water in the world. More info here: https://caribbean-sailing.com/caribbean-race-calendar/calendar/
  13. Can It Be Over Now? (2017 Hurricane Season)

    The shear over the Hawaiian Islands remains entirely robust. Pele is doing her job and it appears that anything that tries to develop over the next ten days will be swept away to the WSW in surface flow.
  14. We must have had the same father. All the same tendencies, PhD from Harvard, lived inside academia and was at the same disadvantage in the real world.
  15. With just a few days left in the 2017 Caribbean, Atlantic, GOM and Eastern and Central Pacific Hurricane season, the upper wind charts find a very active pattern. This turbulent upper atmosphere should squash any tropical cyclones that try to spin up between now and November 30th when the season technically ends. There is one small area SW of Kauai that may see an attempt of a spin up next week but with what seems to be a very active sub tropical jet, that system too seems destined to get sheared off before it can get ramped up to something more serious. What a hurricane season it was. Tropical Storm Arlene ignored the traditional "seasonal date boundaries" (June 1-November 30th) and became on the second Tropical storm to form in the month of April since records have been kept. Devastating hurricane Harvey defied the intensity models and smashed into the Texas barrier islands around Port Aransas. Harvey put his vacation to the Lone Star State into park mode for almost two days and dropped 70+ inches of rain in the Houston area causing devastating loss of property but thankfully, not too many lives were lost. The great Hurricane of 1900 also landed as a category 4 but some 8000 lives were lost as satellites were not yet in use and the people had little to no warning before the storm came ashore. Harvey was a mid August storm forming on August 17th. More than $200B in damage made Harvey the most destructive storm in terms of property loss in US history surpassing Hurricane Katrina's $170B price tag. Just two weeks later (Aug 30) hurricane Irma formed SW of the Canary Islands off of Africa and marched westward. She found favorable conditions and decimated the northern leeward islands as a terrible category 5 hurricane. The BVIs, Cuba and eventually Florida would feel her wrath before she was done. Another two weeks would go by before the stunner of the season, Hurricane Maria would form East of the Leeward Islands. You can read more of my analysis on the 2017 hurricane devastation in an upcoming article in Time magazine's YACHTING WORLD. No one is happier to see this season come to an end than me. I live for these storms but am still reeling in the wake of their devastation. Please help support those affected by the hurricanes by visiting the region and if you have the time and skills, actually going down to help rebuild these people's lives. A look at the Great Hurricane of 1900 that took more than 8000 lives.