LeoV

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LeoV last won the day on February 25 2019

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About LeoV

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  1. LeoV

    Brexit WTF, WTF

    NEW In a briefing MAC chair Prof Alan Manning says living standards will essentially not go up and there will be zero effect on providing British jobs for British workers. MORE; The government is not required to accept the committee’s recommendations, although it is likely to base future immigration policy on the committee’s research. https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2020/jan/28/migration-committee-advises-against-full-points-based-system-for-uk
  2. LeoV

    Brexit WTF, WTF

    Post-Brexit Points-Based Immigration System 'Will Reduce Economic Growth' Boris Johnson’s plan to end free movement of EU citizens will at best only lead to “very small increases” in people’s standard of living, Migration Advisory Committee says. https://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/post-brexit-points-based-immigration-system-will-reduce-economic-growth_uk_5e300183c5b68f86c8cd9062?utm_hp_ref=uk-politics Ending free movement for EU citizens, imposing salary thresholds and introducing a points-based system would reduce immigration and the total population but also hit economic growth through lower gross domestic product (GDP), MAC said. The report said it also expected such a system to “very slightly increase” standard of living through increased GDP per capita, while forecasting a small boost to productivity and an improvement in the public finances, “though these estimates are more uncertain”. The changes will also reduce pressure on the NHS, schools and social housing, but increase pressure on social care, increase the ratio of dependent children and elderly people to workers, and “have larger impacts on some sectors and areas than others”. ----------------------------- Yep kick out some care workers and care will be more expensive. Instead of helping sick people at home they must now move into care homes as that is more efficient. But more space in schools and in housing. Kick out some apple pickers and apples will cost more. All fraud with uncertainty. And if illegal immigrants do not take over some jobs for even lower payments. So the end of FOM is not a goose with golden eggs, it is all peanuts. Next.
  3. He is not well known outside France and a few countries around France, I am surprised to see him mentioned here. I have his books. Maybe time to re read. Well worth it next to PYD. Oh and a book called Seaworthiness the forgotten factor could be handy for this topic.
  4. LeoV

    Brexit WTF, WTF

    Still arguing with the troll, boring... Fish, oh the Fish. The Norway vieuw. 3. Similarly, market access to the EU will be a key element of the UK-EU negotiations, given that the EU is the largest fisheries market in the world, and a net importer of fish. Currently, there are no tariffs or quotas applicable to UK fish exports to the EU, but this may well change as a result of Brexit. It appears very likely that the EU will attempt to bargain market access against the right to fish in the UK’s EEZ. In the past, the EU has used market access as means to safeguard its own fishing interests, for instance when it banned Faeroese herring from the internal market in order to convince the Faroe Islands to reduce its herring quota. 4. Given that the EEA does not cover fisheries, Norway and other EFTA EEA States do not benefit from entirely free trade with the EU. While Norway enjoys free access with regard to a number of white fish species, it is subject to different tariffs for others. For some fish species, such as salmon for example, tariffs are non-existent or low for unprocessed fish, but higher for processed fish, which has led to a Norwegian fish often being exported unprocessed, and being processed in the EU, most notably in Scotland, Denmark and Poland. The outcome of the EU-UK negotiations will determine if processing Norwegian fish in the UK will remain a profitable business model. https://www.kluge.no/fagforum/brexit-and-norwegian-fisheries/ So tit for tat on fishing, not fishing in UK North Sea waters for EU boats, no access to EU market for UK fish out of the North Sea. The ones fishing in the North Sea are Dutch and Danes. In both countries the fisherman are fierce independent people with a very restricted world view, the sea is theirs after god. They would vote for Nexit in a hard beat without thinking. If Brexit would lead to a diminish in this business, not many would care, they need more space at sea anyway for windmills. For the French and Spanish etc it is more important, but they do not fish in the North Sea. IF EU can split it, it would be working out very well. And maybe they can as UK is part of a North Sea EEA agreement. As the UK still is a member in that agreement. Other waters do not border with a country outside the EU and can be treated differently. Maybe Norway could be the key for the EU.
  5. LeoV

    Brexit WTF, WTF

    Europe stating the obvious in fresh Barnier slide from speech today;
  6. LeoV

    Brexit WTF, WTF

    Thanks KC, new you could value this article. So it is about right. And you are right UK does not want to do it, it will be forced to accept their 3% role. Like a mosquito at a table. They only can stay important if the Eu is foolish to let them have Singapore powers. They will not. Even a WTO deal is better. UK will not profit from the SM without being part of it. End of story. Really only one thing you need to read to know what will happen for the next half year. Brexit 2020: Everything you need to know about Boris Johnson's trade deal nightmare https://www.politics.co.uk/blogs/2020/01/23/brexit-2020-everything-you-need-to-know-about-johnson-s-trad For the one without time it starts with this; Cool, so everything's sorted right? Brexit is getting done, everything's going back to normal and I never have to talk about trade again. Oh yeah, no sorry. That's all a lie. We are about to enter the most perilous system-level recalibration of an advanced economy in trading history. And ends with this; Can you make it shorter than that? The government either does not know what it is doing or is not prepared to reveal what it is doing. We are heading towards a truly disastrous set of outcomes unless that changes.
  7. LeoV

    Elan Sailboats

    No Elan is part of ski manufacturing conglomerate, well known because they pushed the carving shape and are huge, and old. Not a bad family to be part of. Not a bunch of knocker off's.
  8. LeoV

    Brexit WTF, WTF

    If Canada is between UK and US and is independent, successful and happy, why not the UK ? https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2020/01/britain-brexit-canada-model-europe/605224/ Canada managed to walk its diplomatic tightrope, unpicking its ties to Britain over time and adeptly building new ones with the U.S., while never supposing the need to actually join its southern neighbor. If Canada managed it, why can’t Britain? Jeffrey Simpson, a Canadian author and columnist at The Globe and Mail, told me that Canada’s understanding of its role in the world is one of its core strengths. “No Canadian ever kidded himself that we were a great power,” he said. “No such memory clouds our thinking.” Former Canadian Prime Minister William Lyon Mackenzie King once quipped, “If some countries have too much history, we have too much geography.” Free from this burden of history, Canada has grown into a major international economy. Britain will have to lean on its diplomatic skill to maintain its relations once it leaves the EU. But this may require it to think and act like a smaller power—like Canada—which might prove challenging. In Britain’s negotiations with Ireland over Brexit, some senior politicians in London were dismissive of the effectiveness of Irish diplomacy. One cabinet minister, who asked for anonymity because of the sensitivity of the negotiations, told me that Ireland was a small country, which meant that the quality of its ministers could not match that of those in the U.K.. And yet this attitude proved part of London’s undoing in the negotiations, which saw Ireland win more of its objectives than Britain did. Canada today appears more stable than ever, far from perfect but united, prosperous, and culturally and socially distinct from both the U.S. and Europe. “The dysfunctional U.S. political system plus other unsavory elements of U.S. life have cemented the view that things are better done here,” Simpson said. For Brexiteers, this is the core of their creed and the prospect that binds them: that despite everything, they hope, British voters will feel the same in time, that “things are better done here.” -------------------------------- Not bad, and gives hope, an England realising its small size and cooperating accordingly to stay prosperous, and with press as they are the message ; things are better done here, will win. But if Scotland will see it that way ?
  9. LeoV

    Brexit WTF, WTF

    yep it hurts the EU and the UK, but the UK more. As everyone with a functional brain would have know. Dutch UK trade dropped already over the years. But one alluring British sector will grow, in the services industry. UK is a beautiful country worth to visit and with a lower Pound attractive. It should go to parity or less. We will call it Poundland. In a few years the adverse feelings against the UK will disappear and tourism will grow. A pity it still will be a small % of GDP.
  10. LeoV

    Brexit WTF, WTF

    For all the remainers who do not feel like 31 Jan will be worth a party I would say, go party. The actions of remainers could not stop Brexit, but it stopped a hard Brexit. WA is there. Over the years this will be seen as a big success. So wear a; I am a Remainer and happy with Brexit with WA T-shirt or I love the Benn act and mingle and be genuinely happy.. it could have ended way worse. Most likely the UK will sign up to more and more EU stuff in the years to come and become Norway like.
  11. LeoV

    Brexit WTF, WTF

    Goodbye UK, you can wonder if they were in all those years in balance a constructive member for the EU or a drag. https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2020/jan/26/farewell-europe-the-long-road-to-brexit?CMP=share_btn_tw
  12. LeoV

    Brexit WTF, WTF

    Yes, Brits go on cheaper holidays, numbers in Amsterdam down, Prague up. Yes Brits are amassing higher personal debts to keep up appearances. Yes, some people do not understand averages. Jam with whiskey, never seen that one. Knowing Lidl most stuff will not be produced in the UK anyway.
  13. LeoV

    Brexit WTF, WTF

    Pritil blaming UK businesses for to much EU immigrants. You politicians fucking let in the Polish etc unrestricted before other EU countries. And you could introduce a host of measures to control it without leaving the EU. (housing rules, rules for dangerous work- must speak English well, close Leicester sweatshops, inspect small building sites etc) And now business has to educate people to do low skilled work and pay them more, bonkers. Polishing turds again. They let UK become the WildWest for cheap illegal workers and are now complaining.
  14. LeoV

    Brexit WTF, WTF

    Yep Brexit has no effect et all on the UK, no job losses, no Pound swings, nothing has changed, project fear is a total lie. https://t.co/YtNm6cqShG?amp=1 So taking into account decline in real wages, the average house hold had to spend 1.4 weeks' more wages to afford same amount of goods. Or collectively, £450m a week. A pity trade did not pick up after Pound lost more then 10 of value. A creeping loss, most people do not even notice it. Accept the ones already struggling to make ends meet. In all comparable EU countries wage increase is more then inflation and increased costs. Not in the UK. It sits there with the Bloomberg calculation of 240 Billion loss of GDP in the years since ref. Brexit is costly, someone has to pay and it is not the EU. Such a pity this looks to be last for a lot of more years as there is no quick fix. Only a big FTA with the EU can help them out. But they cornered themselves by not willing this.
  15. LeoV

    Brexit WTF, WTF

    The fish oh the fish, backtracking already starts with ex MEP Hannah; According to Mr Hannan, Mr Heath was so "desperate" to join that he "even effectively handed away our fishing grounds as a kind of late entry fee". This, however, is about to change. The Conservative MEP said: "I don’t think there is any chance that we will now not insist on the sovereignty of our territorial waters. "That is not to say that we are going to have exclusive use of them. "We don’t have the capacity for that and we never had that. "Before we joined the EEC we always had bilateral and multilateral agreements with our neighbours like every other country in the world does. "If fish spawn in the waters of one country, reach maturity in another, of course those two countries will get together and agree a quota system that they can both share and benefit from "We will do that just like Norway or Iceland." https://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/1233317/brexit-news-boris-johnson-fta-eu-trade-talks-fishing-waters-cfp-daniel-hannan-spt ps sovereignty of territorial waters fine, it is 12 miles based on old canon shot range, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Territorial_waters Nobody would not agree with that. keep your canons quiet. Economic control up to 200 miles is done under UN and leads to access for fishing specially if the fish is migrating in different eez, they do. First time I hear a Tory being more clear. But still he must know the British think territorial is the 200 Miles zone.