billreilly

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About billreilly

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  1. billreilly

    Atlantic in November

    https://www.passageweather.com/maps/arc/mappage.htm
  2. billreilly

    Vendee Globe 2016?

    It's all Sailing Anarchy's fault!... They jinxed him: http://sailinganarchy.com/2016/12/13/politically-correct/ They claimed that Acciona was dismasted, but in reality the keel fell off... Oh well, either way Conrad made it a few miles closer than Bubi, but not by much... If he can set a jury rig he still has a chance to finish, something Bubi didn't have! I wish him luck, and looking at the forecast he's going to need a fair bit of it!
  3. billreilly

    PLEASE SAY A PRAYER FOR RAINMAKER'S CREW

    Why do I need to "get a grip"?... what did I do wrong? I'm just saying that the lack of information probably means they are trying to find excuses, otherwise somebody would have said something by now.
  4. billreilly

    PLEASE SAY A PRAYER FOR RAINMAKER'S CREW

    I think you've hit the nail on the head Gunboat, Rainmaker's owner and the crew are all running away with their tails between their legs... otherwise we'd have heard something by now. It was either a catastrophic failure or a really bad lack of seamanship... or both... The silence is just making it worse.
  5. billreilly

    PLEASE SAY A PRAYER FOR RAINMAKER'S CREW

    In reality Bermuda is only 560 nautical miles from Cape Hatteras. An easier way to measure out 200 miles would be to just use the latitude scale on the left side of the image. 200 nautical miles = 3.333 degrees of latitude.
  6. billreilly

    PLEASE SAY A PRAYER FOR RAINMAKER'S CREW

    The front looks like it was quite strong judging by the band of rain in front of it... Thunderstorms and violent squalls would not have been unusual.
  7. billreilly

    PLEASE SAY A PRAYER FOR RAINMAKER'S CREW

    Just out of curiosity, I re-ran the the 0000 UTC GFS model run from 29 January, which would have been the latest GFS forecast available before Rainmaker's 0600 UTC departure from the Gunboat yard. I don't know what time Rainmaker was dismasted, but Peter Johnstone wrote his first post at around 2230 UTC on 30 January.
  8. billreilly

    PLEASE SAY A PRAYER FOR RAINMAKER'S CREW

    Soma and pyrat and some of the others here who fancy themselves as "pros" still have a few years before they're in a position to know what they're talking about... I remember being young and cocky too when I was a nipper, but thank god I eventually learned (sometimes the hard way) that my ego was bigger than my brain, and maybe I should just back off.
  9. billreilly

    PLEASE SAY A PRAYER FOR RAINMAKER'S CREW

    It's like calling 911 because your car got a flat tire.
  10. billreilly

    PLEASE SAY A PRAYER FOR RAINMAKER'S CREW

    I'm not making any excuses or explanations for all this, but the 36 hours probably includes getting out of the boatyard, sorting everything out, motoring down the ditch, out the inlet and out to sea before starting the 200 mile passage to where they were rescued... And who knows how long they drifted there after the rig fell down before being rescued?... it was probably several hours at least, so they may have really taken 20 or 24 hours to go 200 miles. But that's beside the point... I still think the whole thing smells fishy as well... When inexperienced people do stupid things the BS usually flies faster than the facts do.
  11. billreilly

    PLEASE SAY A PRAYER FOR RAINMAKER'S CREW

    The last time I checked there isn't a north-running Gulf Stream just outside of Newport Harbor to bash into... I've been in this industry and delivering yachts for 36 years and what you're talking about is definitely not SOP... not amongst professionals anyway...
  12. billreilly

    PLEASE SAY A PRAYER FOR RAINMAKER'S CREW

    I'd say that 25-35 knots with gusts to 40 against the Gulf Stream is going to produce some very nasty conditions. A real seaman doesn't go out and "run with the big dogs" in those conditions, especially when the weather has been so unstable. If I was an owner I'd never let you deliver my yacht.
  13. billreilly

    PLEASE SAY A PRAYER FOR RAINMAKER'S CREW

    Sorry us7070, but I don't see anything "cool" about what these guys did... I think that going out in those conditions was irresponsible, unseamanlike and very unprofessional. I suppose you think what Team Vestas did was "cool" as well?
  14. billreilly

    PLEASE SAY A PRAYER FOR RAINMAKER'S CREW

    i don't know where they were heading, but in a couple days it would have gotten ugly: