wristwister

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About wristwister

  • Rank
    Super Anarchist

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  • Location
    The Salish Sea
  • Interests
    Sailing ... and sailing

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  1. wristwister

    Another Interesting Home Built Steel Boat

    Looks like about an 8000 gross 2 axle trailer. Any guesses on what that boat whatever weighs? I'm looking forward to learning what he plans to pull it with.
  2. wristwister

    "2019-nCoV"

    Easy now, I didn't mean to imply any such thing. I realize you didn't make this chart on your own, but rather found it on the interwebs. I was just making a general observation about chartsmanship.
  3. wristwister

    "2019-nCoV"

    Not sure about that. The problem with all these charts being thrown around is that the average reader probably doesn't study the numbers behind the chart, but rather takes a quick glance at the pretty lines and draws conclusions. In the case of the chart you referenced, a quick glance says "Looks like the US is on par with other countries, a little higher death rate than Canada". But if this same data were plotted on a linear scale, the conclusion drawn would be "Holy crap! The US has more than double the death rate as Canada!" Like I said, the art of plotting statistics can paint any picture desired.
  4. wristwister

    "2019-nCoV"

    What a hilarious chart. Plotted on a logarithmic scale, makes all the countries look pretty close. Statistics are amazing, you can use the same set of data to paint completely different pictures.
  5. wristwister

    "2019-nCoV"

    Which curve are you talking about? The only stat that is a reliable indicator right now is the daily death toll, and in the US that's approaching the steepest acceleration portion of the curve. Italy's curve is also still on the upswing, but it's about half way up and might be starting to show signs of simmering down. And keep in mind, the daily death curves reflect cases that were contracted a month ago, so any measures that have been implemented in the last week or two (which is most of them) won't be reflected in the curves for another couple weeks.
  6. wristwister

    Wrong number?

    Keep in mind folks, only a fraction of a percent of people are being tested, and those tests are administered based on need (exposure, symptoms, other medical issues). When you look at deaths/recoveries based on "cases", that's only the people who have been tested. Meaningless statistics. A much better way to predict what we're in for is to look at deaths. The daily death count is probably a bit more accurate, as regardless of whether a person was tested or not, they died of the virus. So here's how you do that. Each death contracted the virus ~28 days ago. The prevailing figure for death rate in the US right now is .6%. Yesterday, 558 people died of the virus in the US. That means 28 days ago 558/.006= 93,000 people contracted the virus. You can run these numbers back to the first reported death in the US the beginning of March, then extrapolate that out to predict what's ahead of us. Anyone care to take a stab at this and tell us what you come up with?
  7. wristwister

    CVT Transmissions

    Back to the original subject of CVTs ... We bought a Honda Civic in 2017. The main reason we considered looking at it was because we both prefer stick shift, and it was one of the very few manuals still made in the type of car we wanted. After a bit of research. I realized there was much more to that CVT than just a tranny. The CVT, turbo, and engine are all connected via the computer to optimize all three. A thorough test drive confirmed this. We ended up with the CVT because I just couldn't see taking the big step back in technology and inserting myself in place of computer optimization. After 2 years and 50K miles, I'm glad I made that choice. The car is amazing, and gets an honest 40+ MPG around town. Yes, I'm concerned with the longevity of that CVT, but hopefully the lifetime power train warranty will take care of that when the time comes.
  8. wristwister

    Sweetest sailing old plastic?

    Um ... yeah, the OP specifically said "old plastic".
  9. wristwister

    Sweetest sailing old plastic?

    I'll enthusiastically second the Tartan 30. I have owned one for years, and my daughter owns one down in the bay area. You haven't really said what you want to do with the boat. If it's to go fast on day sails and look pretty doing it, then maybe something like the Soling is more up your alley. But if you anticipate multi-day trips with friends and family, with the occasional foray out the bay, then the T30 is a great balance of comfort, performance, and prettiness. Something else to consider, are you going to keep her at a marina? For many marinas, slips for 30' and under are available and not too pricey. You go above 30' and you're typically talking waiting lists and big step up in cost. LOA of the T30 is exactly 30'. By the way, my daughter's Tartan 30 is currently for sale in Vallejo. It's a beauty.
  10. wristwister

    Favorite Good Causes?

    A few years back my daughter was a Peace Corp volunteer. She took donations to have 2 wells dug for her village. Only took $2300 total, and totally transformed the lives of the entire village. No overhead, no bureaucracy, no politics, no religion. Just every penny going to a very good cause. Since then I've looked for other Peace Corp funding opportunities. Here's where you can find these: https://www.peacecorps.gov/donate/projects/
  11. wristwister

    Another Interesting Home Built Steel Boat

    Not so fast there, I can picture this guy loading the hulk onto a $129 Harbor Freight utility trailer and attempting to drag it with his 1974 Ford Fairmont 500 miles to a boat ramp. He'll look the rig over and exclaim "Yeah, that should be secure."
  12. wristwister

    Moovie Review Threade

    Ford V Ferarri I felt my balls double in size just by watching this flick. I'm a big fan of cars of the era, I used to restore old Mustangs. Loved the whole car development story, Ford politics, and of course the racing. I think there may have been dialog too, I wasn't paying attention to that. My wife was bored silly. I give it 4 snags (on a scale of 5, right?) My wife gives it 1.5 snags.
  13. wristwister

    Sailing in Cabo

    Just got back from Cabo. We ended up bargaining with a guy at the dock for a Dufour 47. Beautiful boat, 10 of us on it, plus 3 crew (Pancho the skipper, Jose the margarita maker and 1st mate, and Maya the picture taker). Absolutely fantastic day, and even a nice sailing breeze. Pretty much did everything you can do in Cabo on a boat, with the exception of catch fish (had one rod out). $500, and well worth it. Gotta say, even though I wanted to skipper my own boat, it was mighty nice just kicking back and being served.
  14. wristwister

    What to do with an old reaching strut?

    2nd vote here for poling out your jib for wing on wing. I use my strut for that all the time. Then put a preventer on the boom and you've got like +/- 10 degrees downwind you can maintain wing on wing.
  15. wristwister

    NFL 2019

    Hawks sure squeeked that win off the Bucs! The game was pretty much won by an OT coin toss. Say, anyone need a kicker? Hawks may be trying to offload one cheap!