2Newts

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Everything posted by 2Newts

  1. 2Newts

    VOR Leg 11 Gothenburg to The Hague

    Sun is setting and they are getting close to land. What's the normal pattern in those waters? Does the wind normally die off in the evening?
  2. 2Newts

    VOR Leg 11 Gothenburg to The Hague

    Maybe, but the duration of the performance differential says otherwise. Something's going well on MAPFRE ... or poorly on DF. DF has been lower and slower than almost the whole fleet for the last hour. Either wickedly bad luck to be in the worst wind the whole time, or they have something set up differently for the worse.
  3. 2Newts

    VOR Leg 11 Gothenburg to The Hague

    MAPFRE is outpointing DF on each tack. Now sailing 13 degrees higher on stbd. They must have found a different setup that's working better.
  4. 2Newts

    VOR Leg 11 Gothenburg to The Hague

    Darn, that wind shift is something. I hope MAPFRE isn't holding on to stbd tack too long. BRUNEL could be in a tough spot too, right in the middle - neither fish nor fowl.
  5. 2Newts

    Larry's AC50 Circus

    "Teams are expected to be initially financed by wealthy owners, rather than be run as sailor-driven campaigns on a strictly commercial basis, making the purported $5million entry fee somewhat incidental." hahahaha -- I WISH that $5mm were "incidental" to me. I've got a long way to go. Right now, $5 seems material.
  6. 2Newts

    Newport Bermuda Race 2018

    Never mind. Found them: http://bermudarace.com/race/previous-race-results/
  7. 2Newts

    Newport Bermuda Race 2018

    Does anyone know where the results for prior years can be found?
  8. 2Newts

    Newport Bermuda Race 2018

    So the article on the race on Wikipedia is listed as having disputed neutrality. Which is basically fair because it's essentially the content from the race website without any 3rd party support. I'm not sure anyone cares, but it would be nice have an article that is more complete and balanced, like the Fastnet Race entry. When (if) I have extra time I may start making it more robust. Help is welcome.
  9. 2Newts

    Teams?

    Consider the number of "additional challengers" that could be playing the long game. Float your name out there in June 2018 as a team that "will" enter, but then don't. Or maybe even do enter but be willing to walk away from the entrance fee. Then watch to see whether this new boat works as an AC race boat, howsoever you as the team sponsor or owner define "works." And then come in strong for AC37 right after the finish of AC36. Grab as much talent as you can as fast as you can and build a super competitive team with the maximum amount of time to build it. That could be a better strategy than putting together a late-to-enter, losing effort for AC36 and trying to attract top talent for AC37.
  10. 2Newts

    Larry's AC50 Circus

    This listing is awesome. You gotta know really technical shit related to electrical/electronics for auto racing and the military ... but training is available. I'd like to know what kind of training the person who meets all the qualifications needs?!? Where to find the loo? -Electrical/Electronics knowledge (preferable) -Testing and fault finding of wiring harnesses, electrical and electronics components -Knowledge in Raychem systems and manufacturing of motorsport looms to a high standard -Ability to work with Autosport and military connectors and harnesses -The ability to work under pressure is essential -Must be dedicated, hardworking and willing to learn where necessary Training can be given on site
  11. 2Newts

    Teams?

    So, what about the second Italian challenger? That sure looked legit from what they were putting out. Underfunded, but legit. I suppose that the fact that GD doesn't include them would mean that he's not seeing seriousness from his end. And second, I like the deflection on the "previous cup organizers." Nothing like stirring the pot a bit by acting like a president who's been in office long enough to take responsibility but still puts any bad news on his predecessor.
  12. Yes, preclearing in Newport is a huge plus. But if memory serves, they only will process you if the entire crew is being processed at the same time. Read the directions closely. Not anywhere that won't cost a fortune. If you haven't been to Bermuda before, there is a lot to do but it all requires forethought and some planning. Transportation is slow and expensive (taxis) or "uniquely thrilling" (mopeds). But if you plan it out in advance then the transportation won't consume all of your day. From there it just depends what you want to do. The party at the RBYC basically goes nonstop; the golfing options are numerous and excellent; diving and snorkeling are great; beaches are great; food is so-so but some of the locations are great; tourist attractions can be interesting. A basic guide book will help you narrow it down. Watch the weather carefully. The vast majority of the incidents and rescues take place on the return trip. I think people tend to leave on a schedule, and not when the weather provides the best window.
  13. 2Newts

    VOR Leg 9 Newport to Cardiff

    Not sure I need to ... I think they are doing it. They are 150 miles south of Brunel and the gap is growing. But if I could contact them, I would also advise them not to listen to any of my advice, so no worries on taking anything I say seriously.
  14. 2Newts

    VOR Leg 9 Newport to Cardiff

    So, if you were the brain trust on SHK/SW right now, would you try to skirt to the south of the ridge? Sort of looks like that from their course. If you follow the fleet you are hoping for an Irish Sea and/or Bristol Channel miracle to pass 6 boats. Yet, if you go south now, and in fact can get thorough the ridge in, lets say, 12 fewer hours than the rest of the fleet, then what do you care that you'd have to sail upwind all the way to Cardiff? You'd be so stinking far ahead it that your poor sailing angle wouldn't matter. I tell you what - if I were on board I'd be running a whole lot of scenarios through the router right now.
  15. 2Newts

    Teams?

    Well, it is cool to see the break down by functional area, isn't it? But even the total 62 million euro is low compared to the forecast cost of being competitive. At today's rate, that's about $73 million USD, which is about half of the number being tossed around for a competitive team.
  16. 2Newts

    Teams?

    Some recent news items are bringing the fleet into focus. So: ENTZ - defender LR - COR BAR - in with new funding at about $150mm NYYC - in with disclosed funding of about $40mm (Adelasia di Torres - sure seem to be in but no news of having actually filed paperwork) (USA21 - confirmed interest in search of funding and a sponsor yacht club) China: Per David Witt's interview posted by @southerncross, Scallywag is out. No word that I am aware of from Dongfeng. No other team has made noise afaik. Australia: out Europe outside of Italy&UK: no entries, but still a few suspects who have not specifically said they are out Rest of World: nothing I'm aware of That may be the list right there. I would not personally put money on USA21 pulling it together for 2021. Maybe the next.
  17. That or Butterworth was back in town egging the youth on
  18. 2Newts

    VOR Leg 9 Newport to Cardiff

    The forecast is TERRIBLE for the in-port race on Sat. I was going to take the (young) kids out on the (exposed) center console boat, but 53 degrees + easterlies + steady rain = the wife might not allow this to happen. Ugh.
  19. 2Newts

    4 Solid Teams, this thing is on!

    This is exactly the best case scenario at this time. However (since I am the self-declared negative Nelly when it comes to number of teams) I say that you still need to apply probabilities to each of these and that will get you to the most likely number of teams that make the starting line. For a long time I've been saying 4 is the number, but now I'm going up to 5. On the plus side of the ledger: Sir Ben has lined up significant money, a second American team has gone from rumor to rumor-in-the-press, and American Magic has made no indications of being scared off by the rising budget estimates. On the down side of the ledger: Everyone in Australia has either thrown up their hands or shrugged their shoulders and walked away, the second Italian team has made no noise at all, no one else out of Europe has made any positive indications, and the estimated budget to compete is not headed in a team-friendly direction.
  20. 2Newts

    Teams?

    Good find. And makes sense. That whole issue about bases took too long and probably took too much of GD's time. At this point I suspect his biggest hurdle in talking with potential competitors is cost and cost-containment. I suspect anyone on the fence about competing is looking at (1) can we raise the amount estimated to be needed and (2) how screwed are we if/when the costs go up by $10mm, $20mm, etc. Because if the total estimated cost to compete is, let's just say, $130mm, then a ten million dollar overrun is only a 7.7% increase. Small percentages make for big dollars in this realm. Tough job. GD has a lot on his plate.
  21. 2Newts

    VOR Leg 7 Auckland to Itajai

    Nobel and Plastic only 5 miles apart, and when they get to Staten Island Dongfeng and Vestas will likely be on top of each other. Good stuff coming up. If the places were to hold exactly, and if SHKS has not in fact resumed racing, the standings after this leg would be: DFRT 44 MAPF 43 TBRU 37 VS11 35 AKZO 31 SHKS 26 TTOP 18
  22. 2Newts

    VOR Leg 7 Auckland to Itajai

    Puerto Montt IS a very inviting town. I was there 20 years ago and loved it. It's actually a natural for top-notch local sailing but there did not seem to be much of it when I was there. Maybe because the mountains are so close by and the Chileans who could afford a boat seemed to prefer their mountain holidays. Either way, the plan must be to put the boat on a cargo vessel and get it up to Newport if they are going to participate in any more of the race. Google says it's a 42 hour drive from Puerto Montt, and 48 hours from Puerto Chacabuco, to Itajai. And that includes getting up and over the Andes. And that's assuming you could even truck these things and, if you can, whether it would be legal to do so in Chile, Argentina, and Brazil.
  23. 2Newts

    VOR Leg 7 Auckland to Itajai

    I thought I read somewhere that for this version of the race every person on board has a personal EPIRB or similar device for homing. I know from experience just how difficult it is to locate a horseshoe in even 3-foot seas after slowing from 9 knots to turn back up wind, much less the monster sea they had to deal with and the fact that they were doing over 20. They must have been well over a mile (less than 3 minutes every mile at those speeds) down range by the time they turned. But that said, is there no homing device on either of the buoys or the sailor. If he was indeed unconscious then any device on him would have had to have been automatic. That they could not find the buoys tells me that the buoys did not have any sort of homing device. Does anyone know what equipment was at play here?
  24. 2Newts

    VOR Leg 7 Auckland to Itajai

    I'm thinking the hull repair left them a smidge slower through the water, or they are (consciously or unconsciously) not quite putting the petal all the way down. Either way, what a bummer.
  25. 2Newts

    VOR Leg 7 Auckland to Itajai

    Yep. About an inch down in Manhattan but, to paraphrase a great movie line, I don't think the hard stuff will be coming down for quite awhile. It's not, by any measure, the latest snow I've seen around here. I remember about 2-3 inches one June as I was studying for exams. And a friend got married outdoors in August in Utica NY just as a cold front passed through and there were flurries. In August.