DryArmour

We have our first Spinner

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The Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season is about to get underway with the first named storm starting to spin West of mainland Mexico. Movement is West-northwest at a slow jogging pace.

 

Spinner 1 2018 EPAC.png

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Pray for surf!

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12 hours ago, Code 2 said:

Pray for surf!

So Cal should get some once the system gets in the window. Won't be huge but certainly better than it has been lately.

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The first hurricane of the season far exceeded the forecast intensity. The next one is set to visit Cabo and maybe La Paz.

CAT 4 kicks off the season 2018 EPAC.gif

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number two spinning up also...

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12 hours ago, ExOmo said:

number two spinning up also...

My father in law "Hurricane Bud" is struggling a bit at the moment but I think once it gets more organized it will be an over achiever just like Aletta was. She was supposed to top out at a Cat 2 and ramped to a Cat 4 pretty quickly.  Cabo looks to be on the hit parade for Bud.  Likely degraded significantly from his peak glory but still formidable in size.

 

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1 hour ago, DryArmour said:

My father in law "Hurricane Bud" is struggling a bit at the moment but I think once it gets more organized it will be an over achiever just like Aletta was. She was supposed to top out at a Cat 2 and ramped to a Cat 4 pretty quickly.  Cabo looks to be on the hit parade for Bud.  Likely degraded significantly from his peak glory but still formidable in size.

 

 

I thought that "Beryl" was supposed to be the "B" hurricane this year?  Our younger daughters name......

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11 hours ago, DryArmour said:

My father in law "Hurricane Bud" is struggling a bit at the moment but I think once it gets more organized it will be an over achiever just like Aletta was. She was supposed to top out at a Cat 2 and ramped to a Cat 4 pretty quickly.  Cabo looks to be on the hit parade for Bud.  Likely degraded significantly from his peak glory but still formidable in size.

 

looks like your father in law has some other ideas...

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9 hours ago, billy backstay said:

 

I thought that "Beryl" was supposed to be the "B" hurricane this year?  Our younger daughters name......

 

DdPOv_-WAAINtjr.jpg

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I thought a 'spinner' was a light weight woman who would sit in (on) an appropriate place while naked. 

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On 6/11/2018 at 9:43 AM, billy backstay said:

 

I thought that "Beryl" was supposed to be the "B" hurricane this year?  Our younger daughters name......

Beryl will be the second named storm of the Atlantic Hurricane season whenever it decides to form. The Pacific has a different list.

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15 hours ago, ExOmo said:

looks like your father in law has some other ideas...

The track remains basically the same with Cabo in the right front quadrant.  We'll have to see how much more this storm winds down before landfall.  Most models are in tight agreement on the track.

 

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Quick update on former hurricane Bud. The once mighty storm has been downgraded to a lowly tropical storm but will still have an impact on the lower Baja peninsula. He is scheduled to arrive in Cabo overnight Thursday into Friday with heavy rain and still Tropical Storm force winds. This is track is unusual this early in the season.

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UPDATE: TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS NOW POSTED.

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Bud Advisory Number  16
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP032018
900 AM MDT Wed Jun 13 2018

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR...


SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.4N 108.8W
ABOUT 250 MI...405 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for
southern Baja California Sur from Santa Fe to La Paz, including
Cabo San Lucas.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Santa Fe to La Paz, Mexico, including Cabo San Lucas

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, generally within 36
hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bud was
located near latitude 19.4 North, longitude 108.8 West.  Bud is
moving toward the north-northwest near 3 mph (6 km/h) and this
general motion is expected to continue today. Bud is forecast to
accelerate northward on Thursday and continue that motion into
Friday. On the forecast track, the center of Bud will cross southern
Baja California Sur late Thursday and move over the Gulf of
California later on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 65 mph (100 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Although additional weakening is expected during
the next day or so, Bud is forecast to still be a tropical storm
when it reaches southern Baja California Sur late Thursday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.30 inches).

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