20 replies to this topic

[DryArmour]

Tropical Cyclone Evan is doing its best to wind itself into a Hurricane (Typhoon). Models indicate that Evan will do a U turn here in the next couple of days as it becomes a category 2 system. All interests in Somoa and the waters between Samoa and Fiji should be aware that conditions will deteriorate soon. Be safe everyone!

The top image will update as the system progresses. The bottom image is the current advisory.

Attached Files

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[stranded]

This is early.

Not the first time a Fiji cyclone has found its way to the East Australian coast

New Caledonia needs to keep an eye on Evan, as well.

[kiwi_jon]

DryArmour,

Just for future reference Cyclone, Hurricane and Typhoon are just different names for the same weather phenomenon.

In the Atlantic and NE Pacific they are called Hurricanes, NW Pacific they are called Typhoons and in the South Pacific and Indian Ocean they are called Cyclones.

[Leka]

DA,
Another thanks for the good info.

Agree with kiwi_jon and have always been amused that we can have vastly different names for the same thing.
Seems so confusing for no reason.

Wonder what the background of these terms are?

[DryArmour]

DryArmour,

Just for future reference Cyclone, Hurricane and Typhoon are just different names for the same weather phenomenon.

In the Atlantic and NE Pacific they are called Hurricanes, NW Pacific they are called Typhoons and in the South Pacific and Indian Ocean they are called Cyclones.

Jon:

Actually there are a variety of cyclones. Tropical cyclones are a subset and feature a closed low level circulation and as the name implies are born in the tropics. Hurricanes, tropical cyclones and Typhoons are the same phenomenon taking place in different ocean basins as you pointed out.

Typhoon is both an Arabic and Chinese term that phonetically is the same. Fundamentally the term means GREAT WIND.

The name hurricane is of Spanish origin.

So there ya go Leka...A bit of background as requested.

[kiwi_jon]

^^

I am well aware of different types of Cyclones, Tropical, SubTropical and ExTropical.

I was pointing out that your comment 'Tropical Cyclone Evan is doing its best to wind itself into a Hurricane (Typhoon). ' is incorrect. We do not have Hurricanes or Typhoons in the South Pacific.

On another note it was forecast yesterday the top of NZ had a 20% chance of getting the remnants, a bit of wind and a lot of rain and an increased NE swell, of TC Evan. Today that was up to 30% which would be a bit of of a piss off as that is around the time we plan to head away for Xmas on the boat.

[DtM]

Thank you DA for the warning.

Hopefully there will be no Cyclones over the Cook Islands over Christmas to disturb our holiday there.

[stranded]

the Poms lump them all together as " Tropical Revolving Storms "

[Just Bob]

Not that it would get here in 3 days...

BOM 3 day Out Look

I don't think I have to worry about this one...

Outlooks points to below average, anyway I hope so

[stranded]

Dale Dug A Hole / Just BOB :


didn't take you long to forget where Yasi and Ului came from, did it ?


but you are not from around these parts, are you ?

where were you before Darwin ?

[DryArmour]

^^

I am well aware of different types of Cyclones, Tropical, SubTropical and ExTropical.

I was pointing out that your comment 'Tropical Cyclone Evan is doing its best to wind itself into a Hurricane (Typhoon). ' is incorrect. We do not have Hurricanes or Typhoons in the South Pacific.

On another note it was forecast yesterday the top of NZ had a 20% chance of getting the remnants, a bit of wind and a lot of rain and an increased NE swell, of TC Evan. Today that was up to 30% which would be a bit of of a piss off as that is around the time we plan to head away for Xmas on the boat.

Jon:

The description was to help the SEPOs better understand what type of system I was referring to. ;-)

[DryArmour]

Thank you DA for the warning.

Hopefully there will be no Cyclones over the Cook Islands over Christmas to disturb our holiday there.

There is actually a minor disturbance there right now. That will migrate SE long before you arrive. New systems are of course a possibility! Will try to keep one eye on that for ya.

[DtM]

2 dead in Samoa in this cyclone.

Very sad.

[DtM]

Thank you DA.

[Just Bob]

Dale Dug A Hole / Just BOB :


didn't take you long to forget where Yasi and Ului came from, did it ?


but you are not from around these parts, are you ?

where were you before Darwin ?

Never lived in Darwin visited there a few times.

In regards to Ului, That went straight over head. Does that narrow it down for you?

Your quest is almost over..

[sumpin]

samoa getting surf

[Earl Boebert]

http://www.stuff.co....-targeting-Fiji

Earl

[Bob Perry]

Four dead and eight missing in Samoa.

[MR.CLEAN]

Is this an unusually active south pacific cyclone season so far? SSTs are?

[kiwi_jon]

Clean,

Evan is the first tropical cyclone of the South Pacific Cyclone season which runs from Nov - May but it is earlier then usual.

There is now a 60% chance that Evan, as an ExtraTropical Cyclone or deep tropical low will hit the top of NZ the weekend before Xmas.

We were planing on heading away on the boat this coming thursday for four weeks but that is currently on hold as we keep an eye on what happens.

Having sat on anchor through the remnants of two cyclones in a two week period over the 96/97 xmas period I don't want to go through that again.

The first, Fergus, was the worse with 60-70 knt gusts at the top of the mast at night and around 200mm of rain in a 12 hr period. The wife and I were doing 2 hour anchor watches. We were almost knocked flat a couple of times. We were anchored in 5 mtrs of water on mud and when I pulled the anchor up, with great difficulty, the anchor has obviously been buried halfway up the shank.

The second cyclone, Drena, had less wind but more rain. We sailed home in Drena, 40knts and three reefs in a main that is really not designed to be reefed. The reef points are really just for show to keep our class measurers happy.

[DryArmour]

Evan's eyewall structure continues to dwindle but when it went past Fiji jest slightly tot he west sustained winds in this powerful Category 4 storm were in the 135mph range. That's a peppy storm for this early in the season. Hope everyone in the path fared okay and that cruisers were able to avoid the storm with some of the advanced warning time. Have a good week everyone and if you are headed for the tropics this holiday bring plenty of sunscreen and protective clothing.