I am doing Race WxRouting for several boats this year so I cannot be overly specific on strategy but I do think that this will be a year of feast or famine. Those who make the right choices Friday and Saturday will gain unstoppable leverage Saturday night through Monday morning. At least this one isn't a "No brainer" and those who do their homework will be rewarded.
I will note that if things change just a little bit with regard to location or intensity of a certain weather feature you may want your #3 o r#4 for some period of time if you are in the right place at the right time.
Be safe everyone...Stay aboard.