Heating Up at Key West Back to fast boats and hot action!
#2
Posted 22 January 2009 - 05:00 AM
-Mike Loaf
#3
Posted 22 January 2009 - 08:15 AM
RtWL, on Jan 21 2009, 09:00 PM, said:
-Mike Loaf
Spot on ML!
You beat me to it.
Both and Jonathan & Charlie are class acts that bring a lot to any class, program or boat they are involved in. They also give back a ton - especially to the young and up & coming.
And although it's been a few years - they are great guys to sail "with". Level headed, non-excitable, get the job done kind of guys - my kind of people. I'd sail with either of them again in a nano second.
Oh, and Charlie has a promising career as a stand up comedian is he ever gives up sailboat racing! ;) :lol:
Go Team Uka Uka and JMkee!!!
#6
Posted 22 January 2009 - 11:40 AM
MR.CLEAN, on Jan 22 2009, 12:18 PM, said:
<embed id="VideoPlayback" src="http://video.google.com/googleplayer.swf?docid=-4065025908752845095&hl=en&fs=true" style="width:400px;height:326px" allowFullScreen="true" allowScriptAccess="always" type="application/x-shockwave-flash"> </embed>
Good stuff again.
Regards from good ©old Germany
Günter
#8
Posted 22 January 2009 - 12:56 PM
MR.CLEAN, on Jan 22 2009, 06:58 AM, said:
Vincenzo once again - because he is awesome.
Terry Hutchinson:
Vincenzo and Terry are cool as the other side of the pillow. These are the type of guys I reference when I tell people about the upper echelon of the sport. They give us all a good name. Not to mention they are funny.
Clean,
Out of all the coverage out there you actually give good interviews about what people want to hear. Better than hearing jobson talk about himself or Tucker mumbling around the cock in his mouth. Thanks looking forward to another day back on the fun course! To you and your crew, keep it up!
#10
Posted 22 January 2009 - 01:09 PM
OVERVIEW SYNOPSIS: High pressure, building southeast into northern Florida, dominated the conditions yesterday. As a result the N’ly to NE’ly winds lasted through the day, staying in the forecasted range for wind speeds. The direction was a little more challenging, with the winds generally a little more right shifted than expected and large oscillations through the day.
For today, the same area of high pressure will remain the driving force for the winds. The NNE’ly to NE’ly pressure gradient around the southeastern periphery of the high will make for a continued right shift today, and the expanding high will make for a slight decrease in the pressure gradient. As a result the winds speeds are expected to dissipate today, oscillating around NE’ly as the high expands south for the afternoon.
FORECAST DISCUSSION: Between 0500 and 0700 there were partly cloudy conditions in Key West and the winds at San Key were all over the place. The winds speeds ranged between 12 and 17 knots, with directions shifting through 60 degrees; however, the trend is towards lighter NE’ly winds (10-14 knots). The clouds are associated with an upper level disturbance and will likely linger through much of the day. It is also worth noting that the wind chill is only about 47 degrees, with a freeze warning in southern FL and near record lows in Key West, so bring the warm clothes out for this morning.
For the rest of the day the winds will stay in the same range 08-14 knots with continued oscillations in direction.
Partly cloudy conditions are expected to continue, with a right trend in the wind direction.
WEATHER: The morning clouds will linger through much of the day, with some breaks of sun in the afternoon. That said there is no rain likely, and you will see a slight warming trend through the day. Look for a daytime high of 60F, with this warming trend expected to continue into tomorrow.
SEAS: Decreasing swells will seas in the 2-6 foot range this morning decreasing to 2-4 feet by afternoon. Even with the decreasing seas look for choppy conditions through the day.
Detailed Wind Forecast:
Time Wind Speed Wind Direction (True)
(LT) Mean Range Mean Range
1000 12 10-15 040 015-055 ...early gusts to 20 knots, easing with sunrise
1200 10 09-14 045 020-060 ...more right more decrease in speed
1400 09 07-12 035 020-060 ...left with some late day build
1600 10 07-12 025 010-050
HEDGE: Forecast Confidence is average.
1. With the large high dominating the condition on course there will be little development in the weather during the day. The winds will stay in the 08-14 knots range, and the direction will oscillate between NNE’ly and ENE’ly. Thus my confidence is high for the overall forecast trend, but low as to the timing and intensity of any individual shifts.
2. Look for the strongest winds of the day early in the morning. These winds will fad quickly, with the average winds speeds staying around 10 knots today. As a result today will be the lightest winds day of racing for the week.
3. In general right shift will tend to be gusts, while left shift will be lulls. In fact, if your on D1 and your top mark is anywhere near land, watch for a steady left shift with decreasing winds as you sail into the top mark. That said, if you are in D3 watch for some acceleration coming out of the channel between Key West and the airport. These gusts will diverge as they spread out in the D3 course area, making for right shifts on the western part of the course area and left shifts on the eastern part of the course area.
4. If anything I think the winds will be lighter (and possibly more left shifted for the afternoon) then shown in my forecast table.
OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY (23 January 2009): High pressure will continue to spread out over southern FL with the ENE’ly gradient around the south side of the high driving the winds on course. As the flow shift right the winds will increase, with speeds between 10 and 15 knots expected all day Friday. Otherwise look for clearing skies and a slight increase in temperatures to make for a nice last day of racing.
#12
Posted 22 January 2009 - 01:25 PM
Jerseygirl, on Jan 22 2009, 08:09 AM, said:
OVERVIEW SYNOPSIS: High pressure, building southeast into northern Florida, dominated the conditions yesterday. As a result the N’ly to NE’ly winds lasted through the day, staying in the forecasted range for wind speeds. The direction was a little more challenging, with the winds generally a little more right shifted than expected and large oscillations through the day.
For today, the same area of high pressure will remain the driving force for the winds. The NNE’ly to NE’ly pressure gradient around the southeastern periphery of the high will make for a continued right shift today, and the expanding high will make for a slight decrease in the pressure gradient. As a result the winds speeds are expected to dissipate today, oscillating around NE’ly as the high expands south for the afternoon.
FORECAST DISCUSSION: Between 0500 and 0700 there were partly cloudy conditions in Key West and the winds at San Key were all over the place. The winds speeds ranged between 12 and 17 knots, with directions shifting through 60 degrees; however, the trend is towards lighter NE’ly winds (10-14 knots). The clouds are associated with an upper level disturbance and will likely linger through much of the day. It is also worth noting that the wind chill is only about 47 degrees, with a freeze warning in southern FL and near record lows in Key West, so bring the warm clothes out for this morning.
For the rest of the day the winds will stay in the same range 08-14 knots with continued oscillations in direction.
Partly cloudy conditions are expected to continue, with a right trend in the wind direction.
WEATHER: The morning clouds will linger through much of the day, with some breaks of sun in the afternoon. That said there is no rain likely, and you will see a slight warming trend through the day. Look for a daytime high of 60F, with this warming trend expected to continue into tomorrow.
SEAS: Decreasing swells will seas in the 2-6 foot range this morning decreasing to 2-4 feet by afternoon. Even with the decreasing seas look for choppy conditions through the day.
Detailed Wind Forecast:
Time Wind Speed Wind Direction (True)
(LT) Mean Range Mean Range
1000 12 10-15 040 015-055 ...early gusts to 20 knots, easing with sunrise
1200 10 09-14 045 020-060 ...more right more decrease in speed
1400 09 07-12 035 020-060 ...left with some late day build
1600 10 07-12 025 010-050
HEDGE: Forecast Confidence is average.
1. With the large high dominating the condition on course there will be little development in the weather during the day. The winds will stay in the 08-14 knots range, and the direction will oscillate between NNE’ly and ENE’ly. Thus my confidence is high for the overall forecast trend, but low as to the timing and intensity of any individual shifts.
2. Look for the strongest winds of the day early in the morning. These winds will fad quickly, with the average winds speeds staying around 10 knots today. As a result today will be the lightest winds day of racing for the week.
3. In general right shift will tend to be gusts, while left shift will be lulls. In fact, if your on D1 and your top mark is anywhere near land, watch for a steady left shift with decreasing winds as you sail into the top mark. That said, if you are in D3 watch for some acceleration coming out of the channel between Key West and the airport. These gusts will diverge as they spread out in the D3 course area, making for right shifts on the western part of the course area and left shifts on the eastern part of the course area.
4. If anything I think the winds will be lighter (and possibly more left shifted for the afternoon) then shown in my forecast table.
OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY (23 January 2009): High pressure will continue to spread out over southern FL with the ENE’ly gradient around the south side of the high driving the winds on course. As the flow shift right the winds will increase, with speeds between 10 and 15 knots expected all day Friday. Otherwise look for clearing skies and a slight increase in temperatures to make for a nice last day of racing.
Well, well. A North Sails weather report on a Quantum Sails sponsored website. The day is just starting and you monkeys are already stepping on your collective johnsons. Today should prove to be good.
#13
#14
Posted 22 January 2009 - 01:41 PM
Thursday at Key West will be the make or break for many. With three days down they have completed just one more than half the races- and as soon as the gun goes off for race seven the throwout will be in play. For those with consistent scorecards they won't move much, but for someone carrying a big number the game will change a lot. Therein, races seven and eight in this series will be the story of the week.
In PHRF 3 Tangent may have seemed unstoppable firing four bullets to begin the week. But a 1-1 by hard nosed competitors on L'Outrage set the stage for moving day. With the throwout factored L'Outrage is only two points back, with two races today. In this seemingly two boat drag race should Tangent respond this morning with another bullet L'Outrage is forced back into a corner- they would then be 3 down with 3 to play- and may have to resort to some match racing trickery to reel in the front runner. But if L'Outrage pulls the win it is a whole new ball game.
And it's not just in PHRF Fleets- look at where Alan Fields M24 sits- precariously perched in the middle of a Euopean Mob Squad, with pro's Vince Brun, Brian Porter, and John Kolius blreathing down his neck. With the drop factored, WTF gets leap frogged by Audi and Brun gets a point closer. Kolius and Porter fall further back from the top five- so you hvae to expect seeing them coming with guns blazing. While UKA-UKA looks like they would have to have a serious slip-up to get passed, and holding a 5 in the pocket they would have to do it twice to really get hurt. Expect to see them stay away from trouble in race seven- if anyone can get close enough to them to cause any. But second is anyone's ball game with just seven points seperating them after a drop. But those chasing you have to be a little careful- sailing a race worse than your drop at this stage of the game makes you fall further- doing it twice and you could be right out of the top ten.
The Melges 32 Star find themselves in an interesting spot. Thier lead is three overnight, which grows to five with four as soon as the gun sounds. In the bag, right? Hardly in this fleet where only four competitors will be holding all single digits after the drop. Points can change very quickly with a single bad set or takedown, or missing one shift. One thing is for sure- if someone is going to make a move the time is now. Just about anyone in the top ten would jump seriously with a 1-1- especially if Star is a little too conservative and has a couple of finishes worse than 5th.
Today is moving day. How high can XS climb back? Can WTF hold on to a top five finish? Will the front runners pull ahead, or set the stage for a Friday Finish? Only time will tell, but we hope our tacticians out there had thier coffee and bran muffins early this morning or the shit's going to pile up quick in "fantasyland."
Hman
#15
Posted 22 January 2009 - 01:43 PM
Nice to see good interviews with great sailors. Quantum will do well with Hutch as a spokesman. Good on them for putting the classy guy out front.
Light air today looks like.... Maybe the SC37's will hold their own??
#16
Posted 22 January 2009 - 01:45 PM
There are some videos, etc to be found on their blog:
http://blog.melges32.com/
#17
Posted 22 January 2009 - 01:46 PM
Jerseygirl, on Jan 22 2009, 01:37 PM, said:
Quantum
Quantum
Quantum
Quantum
Quantum
Quantum
Quantum
Quantum
The NS Wx forecast hasn't exactly been accurrate this week so I am not sure it is doing them any favors. I do like their forecast today and am generally inclined to agree with most of it. Carry on...
Quantum
Quantum
Quantum
Quantum
Quantum
Quantum
Quantum
Quantum
Quantum
Quantum
Quantum
Quantum
Quantum
Quantum
Quantum
Quantum
#18
Posted 22 January 2009 - 01:48 PM
Does anyone know if all of the classes will have a throwout after 7 races? Typically the Farr 40's don't...with the exception of one year I think.
#19
Posted 22 January 2009 - 01:51 PM
tronner, on Jan 22 2009, 08:48 AM, said:
Does anyone know if all of the classes will have a throwout after 7 races? Typically the Farr 40's don't...with the exception of one year I think.
Only the M24 & M32 will have a throw-out (after 7 races)
#20
Posted 22 January 2009 - 01:56 PM
Next time I'll check the SI's first...
17.1 With the exception of the Melges 32 and Melges 24 classes, a boat’s series score will be the total of her race scores without exclusion. For the Melges 32 and Melges 24 classes, a boat’s worst score will be excluded from her series score if seven or more races have been completed subject to rule 90.3(B).
Drop-outs for the melges amongus, no such luck for L'Outrage in PHRF-3. They are 4 back with 4 to play. Without a blanking of Tangent in the last four theyw ill have to hope they can win both today, and pray (or arrange) to get someone inbetween them.
#21
Posted 22 January 2009 - 02:03 PM
thistleracer, on Jan 22 2009, 04:56 AM, said:
MR.CLEAN, on Jan 22 2009, 06:58 AM, said:
Vincenzo once again - because he is awesome.
Terry Hutchinson:
Vincenzo and Terry are cool as the other side of the pillow. These are the type of guys I reference when I tell people about the upper echelon of the sport. They give us all a good name. Not to mention they are funny.
Clean,
Out of all the coverage out there you actually give good interviews about what people want to hear. Better than hearing jobson talk about himself or Tucker mumbling around the cock in his mouth. Thanks looking forward to another day back on the fun course! To you and your crew, keep it up!
Word! Vincenzo telling it like it is. Great interview.
#22
Posted 22 January 2009 - 02:14 PM
#24
Posted 22 January 2009 - 02:43 PM
Fireballhank, on Jan 22 2009, 08:56 AM, said:
Next time I'll check the SI's first...
17.1 With the exception of the Melges 32 and Melges 24 classes, a boat’s series score will be the total of her race scores without exclusion. For the Melges 32 and Melges 24 classes, a boat’s worst score will be excluded from her series score if seven or more races have been completed subject to rule 90.3(B).
Drop-outs for the melges amongus, no such luck for L'Outrage in PHRF-3. They are 4 back with 4 to play. Without a blanking of Tangent in the last four theyw ill have to hope they can win both today, and pray (or arrange) to get someone inbetween them.
???? I believe that Bruce is only a point back with 4 to go.
#25
Posted 22 January 2009 - 02:52 PM
Jerseygirl, on Jan 22 2009, 06:43 AM, said:
Fireballhank, on Jan 22 2009, 08:56 AM, said:
Next time I'll check the SI's first...
17.1 With the exception of the Melges 32 and Melges 24 classes, a boat’s series score will be the total of her race scores without exclusion. For the Melges 32 and Melges 24 classes, a boat’s worst score will be excluded from her series score if seven or more races have been completed subject to rule 90.3(B).
Drop-outs for the melges amongus, no such luck for L'Outrage in PHRF-3. They are 4 back with 4 to play. Without a blanking of Tangent in the last four theyw ill have to hope they can win both today, and pray (or arrange) to get someone inbetween them.
???? I believe that Bruce is only a point back with 4 to go.
Simple math is difficult for some people. Wait unitl they reach 11 points and they have to use there toes to count.


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