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149 F'n Saint

About Cwinsor

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    Where the water is hard five months a year

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  1. That was the Minister of Health in response to a question from an ex-caucus member. It is an absurd position and one that is not supported by the Ontario Science Table advising the government, whose members are now openly contradicting the Minister. There are no other jurisdictions in the country or elsewhere that are doing this. Outdoor transmission risk is negligible. It's bad law.
  2. ^^ thanks for this Evans, that's a very helpful reconstruction and especially noting the limitations of the graphical products. I know wx forecasting is fantastically complex, but good to note in this instance they did not capture the speed of the low nor the development of a secondary.
  3. Update: GANNET is back in her slip and I am back in the condo. Both of us are fine, though I wish the condo would quit bobbing and swaying. Less you misconstrue the cause, it is only 3:00 pm and I have had nothing stronger to drink than lovely cold water. GANNET’s motion carries onto land. I am as tired as if I had made an ocean passage. Landfall is landfall even if you are returning to your starting point and I had only limited sleep last night. As we approached the entrance to Port Royal Sound at dawn this morning I realized that at dawn two years ago this day we were a
  4. The tracker now shows him back at Hilton Head, but no update to his journal yet. http://self-portraitinthepresentseajournal.blogspot.com/
  5. What is remarkable about Webb (among many things) is that he doesn't consult any weather info aboard once he departs on a passage. No gribs, no wx routing, no updates. Just sails whatever he encounters. That degree of purity (some might argue folly) hasn't killed him yet. Although he's come close a few times.
  6. Yes he flies an A-sym day/night as the conditions warrant. Not sure if that helps with estimations of polars. But if it is predominantly going to LVar then as you say he'll take whatever routing he can get. Making good time at the moment on his reciprocal bearing so have to assume that the boat ain't broke, and am assuming neither is he.
  7. Would the tell not be when he crosses back through the eastern boundary of the Gulf stream? If he was just sailing for its own sake I doubt he would willingly go back into the stream as it will bear him further away from his turning mark. Similarly if he definitively crosses it can we not deduce that he intends to head back?
  8. Bang on the rhumb line at present: 22/Apr/2021 18:00:04 UTC 031° 56.590N, 074° 38.288W / Course: 87° @ 5.2 knots 22°C at 0m above sea level
  9. um, push off and tack away? Better yet, don't hit the fucking thing in the first place
  10. Bravo Andi and team. Champagne well deserved.
  11. I know this edition of the French live has been shared and time stamped previously but I just had a chance to watch it - totally worth revisiting if anyone else had missed it. JLC's explanation of why he characterized this edition of the race ( his 5th) insupportable was mesmerizing. Knowing his second repair ( the first failed) to stop his boat delaminating could fail at any moment, and the boat break apart and sink with the next wave strike, and to have to carry the weight of that knowledge for a month and a half, was tortuous. He says two days in that situation is hard, a month an a h
  12. that pic #12566 of JLC on the proddy is sublime. A man and his boat in perfect balance. (Even more so if he had yet to arrive at the pontoon and was still parading up the channel.)
  13. Very poised. Full ownership: "I was sleeping". Impressive accountability and pragmatism: "Take a deep breath and figure out how to solve this problem." Wish we had such strength of character in our political leaders. He even apologizes to all his supporter for letting them down. I for one would like to assure him no apology necessary.
  14. Rough calcs Burton finishes in 3.5 hours, Boris in 11, Thomas in 8.5 based on VG tracker. Boris gets 6 for rescue - so he will earn a 3rd on corrected time if able to maintain current speed?
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