Jump to content

Jeanne Socrates - nonstop solo RTW 2018


Recommended Posts

  • Replies 1.3k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Posts

". Replying to Panoramix:    #1285 Posted June 6 "Very cool. Afte

They've just mounted a bronze plaque on the Wall of History, in the Victoria inner harbour, just across from the Provincial Legislature.  This is just above the walkway where several months ago they n

Jeanne has crossed her outbound track!  I know that she wants to cross her Victoria starting line, but as far as I'm concerned -- she's done it!  Congratulations to an inspiring human being!

Posted Images

On 8/10/2019 at 9:28 PM, ChuteFirst said:

after 310 days

-steering fine (wind vane gone)

-autopilot fine

-genset (solar gone?) fine

-batteries fine

-water maker fine

-windgen fine

-main sail (repaired) fine

-staysail & genoa fine

-halyards & sheets fine

-water reserves fine

-diesel fine (how big is her fuel tank anyway?)

-propane fine

-food fine

-pumps fine

-head fine 

-dodger fine

-chart plotter (repaired) fine

-instruments fine

-AIS fine

-VHF fine

-SSB fine

-satphone fine

-running & interior lights fine

-health fine

-morale fine

 

Geez, in 310 days just coastal cruising Mexico, with long stays tied to the dock while back in the States, half that stuff would break on my maniacally well maintained boat! 

 

BTW, how do you turn in a 168nm day with 310 days of barnacle and bottom growth??? Wow.

Great list.

Update genoa entry from “fine” to “genoa shredded, but sailing fine”.

Wow!

Link to post
Share on other sites

Boom not very fine..... not a good advertisement for Selden....  pop rivets have failed at both ends.... 10 year old boom...

My 34 year old Kemp ( taken over by Selden some years back ) boom is still going fine... touch wood.....

Good on her for keeping it all going...

 

Link to post
Share on other sites

To be fair, her boom seems to have been through about 100,000 nm of circumnavigation/cord attempts since it was installed.

First attempt. Hamble to Cape Town to NZ to Port Townsend

Second Attempt.  Stopped in Cape Town for repairs following a “bad knockdown” so a one stop circumspnavigation

Third Attempt. 2012-2013 non stop circumnavigation. 

Current trip. Acknowledged limits preps due to her boatyard fall.  Some financial limits to preps. 

No doubt, there are some tired bits onboard  

 

Link to post
Share on other sites
44 minutes ago, ChuteFirst said:

Valis, how did you create that routing video back on Aug 21st?

I used the "qtVlm" program for the wx routing (I haven't tried it on the boat, but plan to -- looks pretty nice)  It has a route animation tool.  To make the video I used a program called "OBS Studio" to capture the qtVlm screen.  This is all on Windows, but qtVlm is available for other platforms.  I didn't do any serious research on the video capture program, I just grabbed something free that looked like it would work.  qtVlm is also free, but they ask for a donation.  I did, it's a well-done program.

Link to post
Share on other sites
57 minutes ago, valis said:

I used the "qtVlm" program for the wx routing (I haven't tried it on the boat, but plan to -- looks pretty nice)  It has a route animation tool.  To make the video I used a program called "OBS Studio" to capture the qtVlm screen.  This is all on Windows, but qtVlm is available for other platforms.  I didn't do any serious research on the video capture program, I just grabbed something free that looked like it would work.  qtVlm is also free, but they ask for a donation.  I did, it's a well-done program.

+1 on that. I've been using it for a few years now, and it keeps getting better. It offers 80% of the features of Expedition at 0% of the price. It's missing a few things, but they would only matter to a professional or grand prix racer.

Link to post
Share on other sites

Or perhaps go south?  Here is my latest attempt at WX routing for Nereida.  I have two routes, where one is using slightly faster polars for all points of sail.  I still have her upwind angles dialed back, don't know how accurate any of this is.  Her position this morning was somewhat close the route prediction I made yesterday, so perhaps I'm not that far off?  I am using GFS for the GRIBs.

These routes have her reaching Flattery on Sept 3, morning or mid-day, with probably useful wind for continuing on to Victoria.

 

 

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
9 minutes ago, cje said:

V, You may have it correct. It is difficult to predict the new compromised upwind performance. I just hate that coast south of Flattery with a strong nw come 3-4th. 

Yes, I can understand wanting to generally stay north of the Strait.  It would be a shame to have to run south (should the typical NW winds return) when so close to home.   My computer apparently doesn't have our degree of protective paranoia.  I often second-guess the wx-routing tools, thinking "the computer route may be faster, but if it guesses wrong I would rather be over *there*" (where *there* gives me better bail-out options).

Link to post
Share on other sites

Indeed - there are basically no bail out options south of Flattery unless you're a local or a gambler - most or all of the few harbours have narrow bars that close out in bad weather.

She's smart to idle around well north and wait.

Link to post
Share on other sites

I had a conversation related to population health in British Columbia yesterday that reminded me that Victoria is special. If you aren't from this region, rest assured that demographically speaking, Jeanne Socrates arriving in Victoria is more or less equivalent to Francois Gabart arriving in Lorient. 

Link to post
Share on other sites
5 hours ago, Foiling Optimist said:

I had a conversation related to population health in British Columbia yesterday that reminded me that Victoria is special. If you aren't from this region, rest assured that demographically speaking, Jeanne Socrates arriving in Victoria is more or less equivalent to Francois Gabart arriving in Lorient. 

You mean the "newly wed and nearly dead" demographic?

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
7 hours ago, Ishmael said:

You mean the "newly wed and nearly dead" demographic?

I once got talken out to Vancouver's Orpheum Theater to see the brilliant Mel Torme with the Vancouver Symphony. He had a line about, "I've just been in Sarasota, where old people go to be with their parents" I think about Victoria that way. 

  • Like 2
Link to post
Share on other sites

Welcoming flotilla: The Royal Victoria Yacht Club (my club and of which Jeanne is an honourary member) is organizing a welcoming flotilla for her arrival.  I will keep you posted on the details.   Here is what was written in our club newsletter:  

Jeanne Socrates is getting closer! We'll be providing daily updates online on her location, and a link to her blog where she is providing daily updates about her life aboard Nereida and their adventure solo circumnavigating the world. We are hoping to organize a floatilla to welcome Jeanne back to Victoria. We will try to provide 24hrs notice of her arrival. Jeanne will be sailing into the Inner Harbour when she arrives. 

You can read her blog here: https://www.svnereida.com/blog
You can also follow her arrival here: http://mmsn-shiptrak.herokuapp.com/?callsign=kc2iov&filter=30&_m=

Link to post
Share on other sites
48 minutes ago, Foolish said:

Welcoming flotilla: The Royal Victoria Yacht Club (my club and of which Jeanne is an honourary member) is organizing a welcoming flotilla for her arrival.  I will keep you posted on the details.   Here is what was written in our club newsletter:  

Jeanne Socrates is getting closer! We'll be providing daily updates online on her location, and a link to her blog where she is providing daily updates about her life aboard Nereida and their adventure solo circumnavigating the world. We are hoping to organize a floatilla to welcome Jeanne back to Victoria. We will try to provide 24hrs notice of her arrival. Jeanne will be sailing into the Inner Harbour when she arrives. 

You can read her blog here: https://www.svnereida.com/blog
You can also follow her arrival here: http://mmsn-shiptrak.herokuapp.com/?callsign=kc2iov&filter=30&_m=

Hey Andy - I just tried to pm you with a question but the SA message system says you cannot receive messages. (I also just saw that we traded a few emails several years ago re: Olson 30s, when I was looking at one for sale [Fiasco, was at RVicYC] - are you still at the aol.com address?)

Link to post
Share on other sites

svnereida_190830b.png.def7da9ddadd2fabbb77720654b3cddf.png

340 nm. west of Cape Flattery

  • 30/08/2019 16:05:19
  • Lat/Lng:    48.866000, -133.306000
  • Speed:    3.9 knots
  • Heading:    36°

https://www.windy.com/?48.941,-128.243,7,m:e0FacsY

Looks like a squall passing through tonight (Friday) followed by light SE Saturday morning, shifting to NE 10 knots by Saturday night.

svnereida_190830a.jpg.a366ce2fe4f1b4e75bc24ca16dca6be5.jpg

Link to post
Share on other sites

In her blog, Jeanne mentions being able to see the mountains of Vancouver Island (and shows a photo of clouds with a dark band below them.)  She is currently 280NM from Flattery, and about  160NM from the closest shore of Vancouver Island.  Given that the tallest mountains in the vicinity are on the mainland at 8000 ft, I doubt that she is seeing land.  With her height of eye, to see an 8000 ft peak would require that she be within 98NM (and the west coast of Van Isle is further than that from those high peaks).  I suspect that she is seeing dark clouds beneath light ones.  I recall that on our approach to the Strait, we did spot Vancouver Island first, but when we spotted it we were much closer than Jeanne currently is.

It looks like she is tacking whenever she can sail closer towards the strait, and not taking any big fliers based on the forecast.  I don't blame her for being conservative so close to home.

Link to post
Share on other sites
On 8/29/2019 at 10:49 PM, Foiling Optimist said:

I once got talken out to Vancouver's Orpheum Theater to see the brilliant Mel Torme with the Vancouver Symphony. He had a line about, "I've just been in Sarasota, where old people go to be with their parents" I think about Victoria that way. 

Honestly, Victoria is pretty hip nowadays. Booming tech industry, great restaurant scene and a lot of young people

Unfortunately that's made rent prices go up, but you can't have everything

 

I've just had a hernia operation but will try to drag my carcass out to the breakwater or wherever (maybe the fuel dock?) to welcome her back in

Link to post
Share on other sites

255 nm. WNW of Cape Flattery, 0637 Sunday morning

  • 01/09/2019 12:37:36
  • Lat/Lng:    49.078400, -131.099000
  • Speed:    5.8 knots
  • Heading:    98°

svnereida_190901a.thumb.png.40bede7cb3d7fd112679d45e6b1535b3.png

https://www.windy.com/?49.407,-126.293,7,m:e0Qacwp

svnereida_190901b.jpg.6dc1efd3ebae8e14eac9821b5bc33967.jpg

Looks like the Strait of Juan de Fuca gets blocked by light air on Tuesday:

svnereida_190901c.jpg.c045638d89b3a0fe179ce93e5deb7432.jpg

Arrival Wednesday, September 4th?

Link to post
Share on other sites

She has accomplished such a tremendous feat. I am duly impressed.

I want her home address so I can send her a nice welcome home gift. Time to google her address unless someone here knows it and can PM me. 

Link to post
Share on other sites
13 hours ago, smackdaddy said:

Come on Jeanne! So close!

Here’s what Randall Reeves, currently trying to finish transiting the NW Passage, just wrote yesterday (both philosophically, and with a hard-headed practical mindset, since he’s currently “pinned down at Bernard Harbour”.)

“We are so close to the finish line, yet we are still so very far away. Even with 35,000 of the 40,000 miles under the keel, the list of potential voyage-stopping events is long. How easily that thin line connecting here and the Golden Gate Bridge could be broken [...] It feels binary. Mo and I will remain far from the goal until we are finished. There is no near.” http://figure8voyage.com/blog/

At this point, however, Jeanne is most definitely —dare I say?— near!  :-). Go Jeanne!

640B9DD5-F85E-414F-AC3E-20C6F2C49F65.jpeg

Link to post
Share on other sites

^^ “Address:  Endeavour Hydrothermal Vents Marine Protected Area”

Just had to look that up...there’s “no fixed address”, and then there’s that one...http://www.dfo-mpo.gc.ca/oceans/mpa-zpm/endeavour/index-eng.html

Alas, no diving there, as it’s over 2,000 meters deep, with superheated 300*C black plumes of steam shooting up hundreds of meters from the sea floor... 

 

 

Link to post
Share on other sites

~30 nm. in last eight hours, ~90 nm./day - Wednesday afternoon/evening still possible?

1400 Monday: ~129 nm. WNW of Cape Flattery, ~189 nm. to Victoria

  • 02/09/2019 19:53:40
  • Address:    British Columbia, Canada
  • Lat/Lng:    48.768300, -127.948000
  • Speed:    3.9 knots
  • Heading:    97°

svnereida_190901c.thumb.png.5cc3c48de1834a2a705a3ec1a7c1ad61.png

https://www.windy.com/?48.798,-127.002,8,m:e0sacBS

Wind NW at 10 knots, gusting to 14 knots, Waves W 4' @ 9 secs., Sea Temp: 63 degrees

Link to post
Share on other sites

Averaging 4 knots and the lighter winds forecast in the strait make that last 180 miles (50 and change from Flattery to the finish at Ogden Breakwater) closer to 3 days. I suspect she will want to finish during daylight hours (sunset at 1946 local on Thursday).

Windy doesn’t make Thursday a promising day for wind with very light E-NE winds. Current plays a big factor there as well so she’ll need to play that.  Neptune not going to make the finish easy for her.  She may want to make Neah Bay wed night and catch the flood since Wed overnight winds are expected to be nil and the ebb starts about 2000. 

Link to post
Share on other sites

0600 Tuesday, Sept 3: 71 nm. WNW of  Cape Flattery, 130 nm. to Victoria  (88 nm. in last 24 hours)

  • 03/09/2019 10:30:00
  • Address:    British Columbia, Canada
  • Lat/Lng:    48.618400, -126.506000
  • Speed:    1.9 knots
  • Heading:    102°

svnereida_190903a.thumb.png.305525b84bab5912cc35199efb0aad83.png

https://www.windy.com/?48.656,-124.604,9,m:e0bacEk

Wind W 9 knots gusting to 15 knots, Waves W 6 feet at 16 secs.

svnereida_190903b.thumb.jpg.614d02bb54f6dcc7309a7409944e2f1d.jpg

She could be ~40 nm. away from Victoria by Wednesday morning...  but she has certainly crossed her outbound track long before now?

blog: Day 334 Sun-Mon 1-2 Sept 2019 GMT Under 200 miles to go! WEDnesday landfall looking likely..

Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, ProaSailor said:

but she has certainly crossed her outbound track long before now?

Not quite.  Here's her outbound track and you can see that she turned south about 15 NM from the strait.  As of right now she's got another 40 NM to go before she crosses her  track.

889932316_10-05-181530Zposition.thumb.jpg.4595d874dcaf3354fdcbb1bbf519a11f.jpg

You may recall that she did some doubling-back in her first week as she fought with some low-pressure systems.  She pretty quickly continued south after this.

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

1325 Tuesday:  54 nm. WNW of Cape Flattery, 113 nm. to Victoria   (~17 nm. in last 7.5 hours... slow)  Just now stopped?

  • 03/09/2019 19:05:24
  • Address:    British Columbia, Canada
  • Lat/Lng:    48.573400, -126.076000
  • Speed:    0.0 knots
  • Heading:    48°

https://www.windy.com/?48.663,-124.508,9,m:eZ6acE1

Wind W 7 knots, gusting to 8 knots, Waves W 7 feet at 15 secs., expecting 8' overnight

P.S.  1400, moving again now:

  • 03/09/2019 19:35:53
  • Address:    British Columbia, Canada
  • Lat/Lng:    48.574400, -126.056000
  • Speed:    1.9 knots
  • Heading:    86°
Link to post
Share on other sites

Still showing 1.9 knots @1500 local (3 hours ago)  with 107 miles to the finish. Wind more favorable (NW) but light by dawn decent breeze but generally less than 10 tomorrow and then significantly lighter tomorrow and going east by mid morning Thursday if she is still on her way in. Wind gos back west by Thursday evening and into Friday  

Let’s  go Jean. Nearly home.  Wish I could be there to join the escort in  

 

Link to post
Share on other sites
33 minutes ago, Innocent Bystander said:

Still showing 1.9 knots

Remember that the gsattrack reports are quite inaccurate when it comes to speed.  The latest 1-hour-apart pair say 1.9 kts and 1.9 kts, but according to distance covered she only averaged 1.2 kts.  I've seen much worse discrepancies.    Her slow speed is interesting, because three different WX models show her in at least 12 kts NW wind.  But it's going to be a long, slow slog between her current position and Victoria. She's still got about 30 miles to go until she crosses her outbound track.

 

Here's the wind at the Cape Flattery Traffic Separation Buoy Station 46087 (LLNR 756) - Neah Bay - 6 NM North of Cape Flattery, WA (Traffic Separation Lighted Buoy) 

https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/show_plot.php?station=46087&meas=wspd&uom=E&time_diff=-7&time_label=PDT

plot_wind_pres.php?station=46087&uom=E&t

Link to post
Share on other sites

Thanks. Figured the speed was “instantaneous” readings and not a point to point. Slightly surprised with the light winds in the strait.  From my admittedly short 2 seasons in the area about 15 years ago, I remember the straits as either honking or flat. 

As to closing the loop, I think the record require leaving from and returning to the same port. I think that means she declare the start/finish as Ogden Point. For my money, when she crosses her track with at least the minimum required miles, she has done the deed but think the rules of the game are port to port. 

Regardless, after challenging couple of days, she will have good finishing weather Friday if tomorrow/Thursday don’t happen due to wind and current. 

Link to post
Share on other sites

Latest news story. ‘I’m getting emotional now’: Jeanne Socrates hours away from finishing historic sail

Aug 21 story.https://www.yachtingmonthly.com/news/jeanne-socrates-oldest-person-sail-around-world-solo-nonstop-unassisted-record-attempt-70288

Royal Vic page for updates regarding the flotilla. Royal Victoria Yacht Club - Jeanne Socrates' Arrival

I'm at Sidney Spit tonight and then heading to Victoria early tomorrow as she may be in wed afternoon.

Blog Nereida

 

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

0430 Wednesday, Sept 4: 37 nm. WNW of Cape Flattery, 96 nm. to Victoria  (34 nm. in last 22.5 hours = 1.5 knot average?)

  • 04/09/2019 09:42:06
  • Address:    Area C (Long Beach), British Columbia, Canada
  • Lat/Lng:    48.536100, -125.661000
  • Speed:    1.9 knots
  • Heading:    103°

svnereida_190904a.thumb.png.57ad47825c2e953a1d39e261781a8c52.png

https://www.windy.com/?48.734,-124.368,9,m:eZ2acFH

Wind NW 12 knots gusting to 17 knots, Waves W 8 feet at 12 secs.

svnereida_190904a2.jpg.0f2621c2053cdf5d4d78cf9ac34458c1.jpg

blog: https://www.svnereida.com/blog/day-335-mon-tues-2-3-sept-2019-gmt-just-over-100-miles-to-go-wednesday-landfall-looking-possible-but-only-if-good-wind

Quote

ETA: Very unclear again, now. Wednesday was looking good up to midnight last night, but wind might not be strong enough - looks to be too light just now to make Victoria Hbr during daylight tomorrow unless wind picks up quite a bit ...which it might do... Only need an average of 4kt to make harbour by mid-afternoon tomorrow - but presently only making 2kt. (The weather gods seem to have decided to send their usual light winds into, and just outside, the Strait to slow us down... Grrr!!!)

DTF: Victoria Hbr (Ogden Pt breakwater): 115 n.ml.; Cape Flattery (~60n.ml. from Victoria Hbr entrance): 55 n.ml to ESE

 

https://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/home/centerx:-125.9/centery:48.6/zoom:9

https://www.sailflow.com/map#48.512,-124.795,10,305746

https://tides.mobilegeographics.com/locations/7867.html

Strait of Juan de Fuca Entrance, Washington Current
48.4500° N, 124.5833° W
Flood direction 115° true
Ebb direction 290° true

2019-09-04 Wed  6:39 AM PDT   Sunrise
2019-09-04 Wed  6:39 AM PDT    0.8 knots  Max Flood
2019-09-04 Wed  9:06 AM PDT   -0.0 knots  Slack, Ebb Begins
2019-09-04 Wed 12:45 PM PDT   -1.4 knots  Max Ebb
2019-09-04 Wed  1:16 PM PDT   Moonrise
2019-09-04 Wed  4:36 PM PDT    0.0 knots  Slack, Flood Begins
2019-09-04 Wed  6:37 PM PDT    0.5 knots  Max Flood
2019-09-04 Wed  7:53 PM PDT   Sunset
2019-09-04 Wed  8:35 PM PDT   -0.0 knots  Slack, Ebb Begins
2019-09-04 Wed 11:01 PM PDT   Moonset
2019-09-05 Thu  1:02 AM PDT   -1.9 knots  Max Ebb
2019-09-05 Thu  5:21 AM PDT    0.0 knots  Slack, Flood Begins
2019-09-05 Thu  6:41 AM PDT   Sunrise
2019-09-05 Thu  7:43 AM PDT    0.7 knots  Max Flood
2019-09-05 Thu 10:16 AM PDT   -0.0 knots  Slack, Ebb Begins
2019-09-05 Thu  1:52 PM PDT   -1.2 knots  Max Ebb

 

Link to post
Share on other sites

0620 Wednesday, September 4, 2019: 92 nm. from Victoria.  Still going very slowly(?), Jeanne is less than 16 nm. from crossing her October 4, 2018 outbound track:

svnereida_190904b.thumb.png.16a9f53ad037d09309be8b5729d905bf.png

Eleven months exactly!

svnereida_190904b2.thumb.png.c301a933b2dd96ac6de0dc52b843d4ab.png

Three to four months longer than she expected?  From her blog home page:

Quote

I expect to be at sea for around 7-8 months nonstop, hoping to get safely around the Five Great Capes of the Southern Ocean and back to my starting point without any outside help and without using my motor (which will be sealed).

 

Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, ProaSailor said:

0620 Wednesday, September 4, 2019: 92 nm. from Victoria.  Still going very slowly(?), Jeanne is less than 16 nm. from crossing her October 4, 2018 outbound track:

svnereida_190904b.thumb.png.16a9f53ad037d09309be8b5729d905bf.png

Eleven months exactly!

svnereida_190904b2.thumb.png.c301a933b2dd96ac6de0dc52b843d4ab.png

Three to four months longer than she expected?  From her blog home page:

 

Out of curiosity, I was wondering what the time comparison is to the GGR fleet last year  (which had a range of finish times, and where the sailors ranged from pro racers [Jean-Luc VDH], and accomplished amateurs who’d done a solo nonstop RTW before [Abhilash Tomy and Istvan Kopar], to first-timers [most of them]).

Surprisingly (to me), she was closest to Tapio Lehtinen’s time (Tapio was the one infested with massive barnacle growth on his hull most of the race).  

Obviously Jeanne wasn’t racing, and her strategy of not pushing things hard, and waiting where it seemed prudent to do so, seems to have resulted in her making it back, and with the boat mostly intact!  For a voyage like that, it seems to me those are the two key criteria (and it highlights just how “fast” VDH was on an old full keel boat).  Pic shows GGR competitor finish times, 1st [211 days/7 months] to 5th place [322 days/almost 11 months]

5AD0A562-9EDA-4D44-8ED4-984504A9C790.jpeg

Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, Panoramix said:

It is not too surprising considering that she's never pushed hard. She had opportunities to go with the wind and decided to wait under sea anchor.

That’s a bit too much armchair navigating for me to conclude she “had opportunities”.  I wasn’t there on board :-).

(I will only say I somehow expected her to be 9-10-ish months.)

Link to post
Share on other sites
4 hours ago, ProaSailor said:

0620 Wednesday, September 4, 2019: 92 nm. from Victoria.  Still going very slowly(?), Jeanne is less than 16 nm. from crossing her October 4, 2018 outbound track:

svnereida_190904b.thumb.png.16a9f53ad037d09309be8b5729d905bf.png

Eleven months exactly!

svnereida_190904b2.thumb.png.c301a933b2dd96ac6de0dc52b843d4ab.png

Three to four months longer than she expected?  From her blog home page:

 

Well, it looks like she will have a little boost once she gets into the straits.  But getting into the straits can be a pain in the ass.

Environment Canada

Issued 04:00 AM PDT 04 September 2019

FridayWind west 5 to 15 knots increasing to west 15 to 25 in the afternoon.
SaturdayWind west 5 to 15 knots increasing to west 15 to 25 late in the day.
SundayWind west 5 to 15 knots.
 
And a nice old gal goes sailing at her own pace and ends up being competitive with the "racers".  Have to like that.
  • Like 2
Link to post
Share on other sites

1230 Wednesday, Sept. 4: 19 nm. west of Cape Flattery, 78 nm. to Victoria - 1 nm. from crossing her outbound path

  • 04/09/2019 18:16:28
  • Address:    Area A (Bamfield), British Columbia, Canada
  • Lat/Lng:    48.482300, -125.201000
  • Speed:    1.9 knots
  • Heading:    96°

svnereida_190904c.thumb.png.1028317d70ca3f207196891bcd668764.png

svnereida_190904c2.thumb.png.6bb751b1b97ec6f4e5a9db1bdda981a2.png

https://www.windy.com/?48.472,-124.233,10,m:eZYacGu

Wind W 9 knots gusting to 11 knots, Waves W 6 feet at 12 secs.

svnereida_190904c3.thumb.jpg.125e7b8c3a5c6dacbfcc849e2d3b7cc0.jpg

Wind gets very light and adverse direction tonight and Thursday.

Link to post
Share on other sites
2 hours ago, Jud - s/v Sputnik said:

That’s a bit too much armchair navigating for me to conclude she “had opportunities”.  I wasn’t there on board :-).

(I will only say I somehow expected her to be 9-10-ish months.)

Reading my post again, it sounds a bit armachair sailing, I just meant that whereas some people use the sea anchor in desperate times, she seemed to use it as standard operating procedure as soon as the wind was reaching gale force. Nothing wrong but obviously if you stay still whereas others would be sailing (even if just barepoles or under storm jib), it takes more time.

Link to post
Share on other sites

Jeanne has crossed her outbound track!  I know that she wants to cross her Victoria starting line, but as far as I'm concerned -- she's done it!  Congratulations to an inspiring human being!

593834660_9-41246AM.thumb.jpg.9b7c494d0d298fcbee9c890855b507fd.jpgTrack.thumb.jpg.b112d8bd7c1ae6356d6665db0af65eaf.jpg

  • Like 4
Link to post
Share on other sites

Cheers to an epic accomplishment!  Around the world alone, at sea...

Max Ebb is way stronger than Max Flood:

https://tides.mobilegeographics.com/locations/7867.html

Strait of Juan de Fuca Entrance, Washington Current
48.4500° N, 124.5833° W
Flood direction 115° true
Ebb direction 290° true

2019-09-04 Wed 12:45 PM PDT   -1.4 knots  Max Ebb
2019-09-04 Wed  4:36 PM PDT    0.0 knots  Slack, Flood Begins
2019-09-04 Wed  6:37 PM PDT    0.5 knots  Max Flood
2019-09-04 Wed  7:53 PM PDT   Sunset
2019-09-04 Wed  8:35 PM PDT   -0.0 knots  Slack, Ebb Begins
2019-09-05 Thu  1:02 AM PDT   -1.9 knots  Max Ebb
2019-09-05 Thu  5:21 AM PDT    0.0 knots  Slack, Flood Begins
2019-09-05 Thu  6:41 AM PDT   Sunrise
2019-09-05 Thu  7:43 AM PDT    0.7 knots  Max Flood
2019-09-05 Thu 10:16 AM PDT   -0.0 knots  Slack, Ebb Begins
2019-09-05 Thu  1:52 PM PDT   -1.2 knots  Max Ebb

 

P.S.  I wonder if Jeanne now wishes she had started, so could stop, in Neah Bay?  And motor home from there.

Link to post
Share on other sites

Thursday morning tide might be enough to help her in tomorrow... Live Ships Map - AIS - Vessel Traffic and Positions - AIS Marine Traffic

I made it to Victoria today, sitting in front of the Empress on E dock. Any Anarchists in the area come by for a visit, here till friday.

Hope the wind overnight builds for her. Blog Nereida

 

Screenshot_2019-09-04 MarineTraffic Global Ship Tracking Intelligence AIS Marine Traffic.png

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

amazing voyage.....:)

Link to post
Share on other sites

Traffic separation/weather buoy 6 miles nothing of Flattery is showing wind 230 @3.9 knots.  Coming up on high water slack. Ebb starts Within the hour. Not much chance of progress tonight and she’ll be in a light air beat after dawn when the light westerly builds across the strait.  

So close. This afternoon, she seemed to acknowledge Friday as a possibility if tomorrow's conditions are as forecast. 

Link to post
Share on other sites

She is heading west, ten miles back from her eastern most point near Neah Bay

  • 05/09/2019 09:23:54
  • Address:    Washington, USA
  • Lat/Lng:    48.495600, -124.826000
  • Speed:    1.9 knots
  • Heading:    266°

svnereida_190905a.png.df35c792e5023a458fcba73259052462.png

https://www.windy.com/?48.433,-124.055,10,m:eZZacG6

Wind E 6 knots gusting to 7 knots, Waves W 5 feet at 11 secs.

Light easterly wind all day Thursday.
2019-09-05 Thu  7:43 AM PDT    0.7 knots  Max Flood

svnereida_190905a2.thumb.jpg.2ad27a32a70a076aa7bdb7c61840741b.jpg

Link to post
Share on other sites

End of the ebb and wind  about 5 knots from the ENE. Looks like the easterly wind from 0-5 knots will last about 15 hours and then switch back to the west around sunset and build.  

Suspect a slightly controlled drift in the next 3 current cycles.  Almost be a good thing if someone could get out there and stand watch nearby and let her get a good sleep as it looks like a night transit up the strait. For a Friday arrival. 

Link to post
Share on other sites
12 minutes ago, Innocent Bystander said:

250' of water.  better have a long rode.  

Wow, I hadn't noticed.

i don't know this area but my instinct would be to go on the Canadian side, less TSS to go into by mistake/lack of wind and shallower depth. Kedging is hard work but going backward is morale crunching. May be she's got a good reason to stick to the Southern shore (more wind?).

Link to post
Share on other sites

0630 Thursday, Sept 5: Now 13 nm. back (WNW) of her eastern most position earlier, near Neah Bay:

  • 05/09/2019 11:55:02
  • Address:    Area A (Bamfield), British Columbia, Canada
  • Lat/Lng:    48.485300, -124.940000
  • Speed:    1.9 knots
  • Heading:    235°

svnereida_190905b.thumb.png.dbda5e6782086a2e64c46d3ca1c61573.png

Link to post
Share on other sites

I have floated for many hours in that exact area.  Any of you who have done the Swiftsure Race know the area is notorious for no wind.  One year I reached within a mile of the Swiftsure turning ship, but over 3 hours could not cross the distance by the noon deadline - and there were 3 other boats between me and the ship!

Another year I called in a forest fire to the US Coast Guard at 2am.  The fire was burning on the hill just west of the town of Neah Bay, just outside of the bay where it could not be seen from the town.

But for all the hours I've spent at the entrance, they were after just a couple of days on the water.  I can not even imagine how Jeanne feels right now.  Jeanne is a good friend of mine and the whole city of Victoria is waiting anxiously for her to cross the line.

Link to post
Share on other sites
3 minutes ago, Training Wheels said:

The ship traffic looks scary! 

Actually, it's not the ships that are a worry, it's the huge tug boats with massive barges dragging 1/4 mile behind. The navigation lights on the barges are tiny and at night it's impossible to know where the cable is dragging.  The smart thing is to shine a bright flashlight at your sails to let them know where you are. 

Link to post
Share on other sites

0845: 17 nm. back (WNW) of her eastern most position earlier, near Neah Bay

  • 05/09/2019 14:26:16
  • Address:    Area F (Cowichan Lake South / Skutz Falls), British Columbia, Canada
  • Lat/Lng:    48.501900, -125.032000
  • Speed:    1.9 knots
  • Heading:    286°

svnereida_190905c2.png.9f151cba144c9e1ec18a2553fc74ecde.png

https://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/home/centerx:-124.8/centery:48.4/zoom:11

svnereida_190905c.thumb.jpg.782f1104c769e6d31a6981e9a94e992a.jpg

2019-09-05 Thu  1:52 PM PDT   -1.2 knots  Max Ebb

https://tides.mobilegeographics.com/locations/7867.html

2019-09-05 Thu  5:57 PM PDT    0.0 knots  Slack, Flood Begins
2019-09-05 Thu  7:32 PM PDT    0.3 knots  Max Flood
2019-09-05 Thu  7:51 PM PDT   Sunset
2019-09-05 Thu  9:03 PM PDT   -0.0 knots  Slack, Ebb Begins
2019-09-06 Fri  1:59 AM PDT   -1.8 knots  Max Ebb
2019-09-06 Fri  6:26 AM PDT    0.0 knots  Slack, Flood Begins
2019-09-06 Fri  6:42 AM PDT   Sunrise
2019-09-06 Fri  8:53 AM PDT    0.7 knots  Max Flood
2019-09-06 Fri 11:32 AM PDT   -0.0 knots  Slack, Ebb Begins
2019-09-06 Fri  3:10 PM PDT   -1.0 knots  Max Ebb
2019-09-06 Fri  7:46 PM PDT    0.0 knots  Slack, Flood Begins
2019-09-06 Fri  7:49 PM PDT   Sunset
2019-09-06 Fri  8:36 PM PDT    0.1 knots  Max Flood
2019-09-06 Fri  9:25 PM PDT   -0.0 knots  Slack, Ebb Begins
2019-09-07 Sat  3:02 AM PDT   -1.7 knots  Max Ebb
2019-09-07 Sat  6:43 AM PDT   Sunrise
2019-09-07 Sat  7:32 AM PDT    0.0 knots  Slack, Flood Begins
2019-09-07 Sat 10:05 AM PDT    0.7 knots  Max Flood
2019-09-07 Sat 12:49 PM PDT   -0.0 knots  Slack, Ebb Begins
2019-09-07 Sat  4:30 PM PDT   -1.0 knots  Max Ebb

Link to post
Share on other sites