Sydney to Hobart 2019

[Mid 4,408]

https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-202.04,-38.44,799

 

best be thinking of a gybe Mr Honey .

[mezaire 33]

Looks like Hollywood Boulevard has retired, heading 330deg @ 8 knots

[paps49 410]

No wind in the Windy tracker? Am I missing something?

[Gorn FRANTIC!! 502]

11 minutes ago, mezaire said:

Looks like Hollywood Boulevard has retired, heading 330deg @ 8 knots

Out with a broken rudder.

[terrafirma 1,339]

42 minutes ago, The Dark Knight said:

probably more an issue with the tactics than the driving

Yes for sure. Sometimes the owner makes the call. Even on the telecast you could see they were going to be late. I don't think it will effect their result. Their future could be decided later today? It looks like there will be more breeze further out offshore but their VMG is not gaining them miles ATM. They are around 6-7 miles ahead ATM and we've seen them be in this position time and time again can not be able to hold it. 

[Mid 4,408]

2 minutes ago, terrafirma said:

It looks like there will be more breeze further out offshore

indeed , freight train to NZ ...

need to get to Tas .

[Rainbow Spirit 293]

The Windy tracker is working fine for me. I just search Windy Hobart tracker, off Firefox. Beats the official tracker hands down.

[MRS OCTOPUS 202]

^^ https://gis.ee/sh/#

[[email protected] 425]

19 minutes ago, paps49 said:

No wind in the Windy tracker? Am I missing something?

Try zooming out a little. 

[DFL1010 71]

20 minutes ago, paps49 said:

No wind in the Windy tracker? Am I missing something?

if you're using the gis.ee tracker, if you zoom in too much you lose the wind overlay

 

[paps49 410]

Zoomed in or out I got nuffing tried 3 diff links?

[Mr. Coventry 6]

What is the fastest speed Comanche has gotten to? She is flying right now.

[Gorn FRANTIC!! 502]

10 minutes ago, paps49 said:

Zoomed in or out I got nuffing tried 3 diff links?

That is the wind overlay...

[terrafirma 1,339]

Windy Tracker showing Comanche not far off from a drop in wind strength. There is a massive hole right in the middle of the rhumb line. I'm sure Stan is aiming East of this hole. Tough to see a way through ahead for the Indian. 

[terrafirma 1,339]

2 minutes ago, Gorn FRANTIC!! said:

That is the wind overlay...

Looks like the wind overlay to me..! LOL

[paps49 410]

1 minute ago, Gorn FRANTIC!! said:

That is the wind overlay...

Really?

I used this tracker extensively during the VOR and it used to be way better than this.

[Mid 4,408]

1 minute ago, terrafirma said:

Windy Tracker showing Comanche not far off from a drop in wind strength. There is a massive hole right in the middle of the rhumb line. I'm sure Stan is aiming East of this hole. Tough to see a way through ahead for the Indian. 

take a look here : https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-215.33,-38.66,3000/loc=151.186,-37.481

click on any spot for Lat / Long and wind ...down the coast for mine .

[The Dark Knight 1,233]

Faster Forward - Retired - Steering problems

[Gorn FRANTIC!! 502]

10 minutes ago, paps49 said:

Really?

I used this tracker extensively during the VOR and it used to be way better than this.

Better write a strongly worded email and ask for your subscription fee back in that case.

[paps49 410]

4 minutes ago, Gorn FRANTIC!! said:

Better write a strongly worded email and ask for your subscription fee back in that case.

Very funny Frantic but what ever happened to wind direction?

Have they changed the secret codes since last year?

 

[resist 32]

14 minutes ago, paps49 said:

Very funny Frantic but what ever happened to wind direction?

Have they changed the secret codes since last year?

 

It’s still there for the rest of us mate. Prob your browser or display settings.

[paps49 410]

Comanche about to hit the green stuff.

 

[Mid 4,408]

fat girls round the outside 

[paps49 410]

6 minutes ago, Mid said:

fat girls round the outside 

It's worked before?

 

[Mid 4,408]

circle is their rough position

 

[Rushman 264]

53 minutes ago, thetruth said:

Just watched the first 10 minutes. MR is still just a cunt, Battler, Battler oh what the fuck Big Fella, Where is the mark Juan oh fuck. Just a cunt (a very, very lucky one)

It does appear that MR is not the sort of skipper I would sail with but I do wonder if he is performing for the camera

[Checked 10]

Look at that hair!

 

 

[The Dark Knight 1,233]

Next 24 hrs

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[The Dark Knight 1,233]

8pm tomorrow

[Mid 4,408]

tipping Oats to split and head for the beach .

[mezaire 33]

Wondering if Midnight Rambler has kite issues.

 

No way is she a 4nm slower boat that Philosopher or slower than a 40.7 in these conditions!!

[SCANAS 584]

I still luv ya Richo! He did seem to be making ALL the calls this year.

I would describe Richo’s level of yelling about 4 out of 10 on the internationally recognised Dalton / Cayard scale of yelling. 

[vokstar 112]

3 hours ago, antskip said:

Australian TV coverage by Channel 7 of the start today must be just about the worst ever. About 1/3 advertising, 1/3 background interviews, 1/3 actual coverage. That's like broadcasting 15 minutes of each half of a rugby match. Just vandalism. Do a decent job, Channel 7, or give it to someone who can!

Couldn't agree more. it was a bloody disgrace, no HD coverage and oh we are at the start of a live yacht race.. lets put in some prerecorded video of boats that can be see racing anywhere, rather than a supermaxi blasting along at 20+ knots. 

Disappointed in Mark Richards's too he didn't drop an F-bomb while live first time in a long time that hasn't happened. 

[Rohanoz 50]

Favourite Richo call this year was 'twist the main more' when it was completely inside out with every batten popped.  I can't claim to have ever trimmed a 100fter main, and the trimmer is obviously no mug, but it looked like a bag of shit.  Not sure there was much the trimmer could do however, mast looked plenty bent already and simply looked out of tune for the reef.

[MRS OCTOPUS 202]

1 hour ago, vokstar said:

 

Disappointed in Mark Richards's too he didn't drop an F-bomb while live first time in a long time that hasn't happened. 

Nah, +14:35......where the fuck is the mark. Thats where I turned the sound off. Bit embarrassed for the WO crew. Does MR ever STFU?

 

[paps49 410]

As suggested the pack minus Woxi are following the fat lady out to sea. Maybe it will come down to how radical Stan has been asked to go....

[savoir 219]

12 minutes ago, vokstar said:

Couldn't agree more. it was a bloody disgrace, no HD coverage and oh we are at the start of a live yacht race.. lets put in some prerecorded video of boats that can be see racing anywhere, rather than a supermaxi blasting along at 20+ knots. 

Disappointed in Mark Richards's too he didn't drop an F-bomb while live first time in a long time that hasn't happened. 

The slot was all wrong and needed to be opened up.  I can't be positive but did notice that WOXI carried a bigger jib than Blackjack so that might be it.  Could also be that the jib sheeting angle was too narrow.

[JL92S 426]

Loved the commentators words “after getting the boat out the heads I think Mark Richards could go for a lie down”

[Mid 4,408]

Windy predicts the fat girl losing out of this ..............

 

[animeproblem 276]

8 minutes ago, vokstar said:

Couldn't agree more. it was a bloody disgrace, no HD coverage and oh we are at the start of a live yacht race.. lets put in some prerecorded video of boats that can be see racing anywhere, rather than a supermaxi blasting along at 20+ knots. 

Disappointed in Mark Richards's too he didn't drop an F-bomb while live first time in a long time that hasn't happened. 

I do believe Mrs. O has the right of it, & I think their was another when the OZ/TAS set were cut off during a commercial break, needless to say as an old retired tradesman, swearing has no effect on me.

 

 

 

 

 

Kind of takes me back to the days when I watched the Indy 500 on a C band satellite dish using a feed that never left the track, commentators off the air & Derek Walker, "get that shit off the wing!"

[forss 227]

2 hours ago, paps49 said:

Zoomed in or out I got nuffing tried 3 diff links?

 

Try incognito/private browsing window.
https://gis.ee/sh/

[Gorn FRANTIC!! 502]

22 minutes ago, savoir said:

The slot was all wrong and needed to be opened up.  I can't be positive but did notice that WOXI carried a bigger jib than Blackjack so that might be it.  Could also be that the jib sheeting angle was too narrow.

To my eyes I think Oats had the wrong sail combo, it looked like they started with a reef & J2, where BJ & Scally looked to be carrying a J3, the latter also having a reef but neither having trouble keeping the main set & happy.

[inebriated 72]

3 minutes ago, Gorn FRANTIC!! said:

To my eyes I think Oats had the wrong sail combo, it looked like they started with a reef & J2, where BJ & Scally looked to be carrying a J3, the latter also having a reef but neither having trouble keeping the main set & happy.

to be fair, oats beat them both out of the harbour and only got overtaken once the reef was taken out and everyone had their big sails up. (if i recall correctly)

[terrafirma 1,339]

38 minutes ago, Mid said:

Windy predicts the fat girl losing out of this ..............

 

Yes looks that way. Having said that Comanche still taking the best route for her VPP chart. They'll have to stay tough and hope they pick up the most breeze East when it comes back in with a decent angle to Tassie. Oats already looking the goods. Doing the best numbers in these conditions. 

[Bruno 137]

56 minutes ago, vokstar said:

Couldn't agree more. it was a bloody disgrace, no HD coverage and oh we are at the start of a live yacht race.. lets put in some prerecorded video of boats that can be see racing anywhere, rather than a supermaxi blasting along at 20+ knots. 

Disappointed in Mark Richards's too he didn't drop an F-bomb while live first time in a long time that hasn't happened. 

I heard a fuck uttered by him. Do better?

[JL92S 426]

23 minutes ago, thetruth said:

He has looked after the Oatley family, or maybe they helped him out who cares someone was smart and they all made a shit load. Ricko sold out of North Shore boats for $10 mill so good on him

He can be all of those things and still be a wanker on the water

[AWASP 12]

1 minute ago, terrafirma said:

Yes looks that way. Having said that Comanche still taking the best route for her VPP chart. They'll have to stay tough and hope they pick up the most breeze East when it comes back in with a decent angle to Tassie. Oats already looking the goods. Doing the best numbers in these conditions. 

They will split, although East looked good in another 7hrs I reckon Oats is going to go west, take an early advantage & meet them half way down Tas ............. ? Poossiblllly ? ..... 

[antskip 7]

45 minutes ago, inebriated said:

to be fair, oats beat them both out of the harbour and only got overtaken once the reef was taken out and everyone had their big sails up. (if i recall correctly)

oats normally would have done a lot better on the beat to the turning mark. the reefed main was backing the whole way. looked dreadful, sailed slow - for oats. she was overpowered. something was very wrong. she normally loves that stuff. but once she turned and shook out the reef and the main looked fine she wasn't particularly quick either. maybe it was under something other than the sails? ballast, foils? didn't look the oats of old. yet now down the coast she is doing fine...race might be decided in next hours and dependent on positioning rather than just boat speed - of the 100's oats has chosen the most easterly course, Comanche most westerly...that said, Comanche has far more to fear in the light stuff than Oats. Oats is so slippery - she hardly ever stops moving even in the lightest of winds - Comanche can just stop dead and give up all its lead in no time. Comanche needs to keep the wind. Oats is designed for the Hobart.

[Mahina 13]

6 minutes ago, antskip said:

oats normally would have done a lot better on the beat to the turning mark. the reefed main was backing the whole way. looked dreadful, sailed slow - for oats. she was overpowered. something was very wrong. she normally loves that stuff. but once she turned and shook out the reef and the main looked fine she wasn't particularly quick either. maybe it was under something other than the sails? ballast, foils? didn't look the oats of old. yet now down the coast she is doing fine...race might be decided in next hours and dependent on positioning rather than just boat speed - of the 100's oats has chosen the most easterly course, Comanche most westerly...

Oats overpowered up the harbour, bigger headsail than Scally and BJ wasn't helping. At turn mark hoisting 2 more headsails, shaking out the reef and raising forward rudder they had a bit on and are now 4 crew less than usual...probably why the others rolled over them. Settled down now running deeper than the others which they usually do plus now the 1200kg weight saving starts to have effect.

[bayboy 28]

Oats just needed to keep up with Comanche and now the winds will favour them now its time for Comanche to keep up with Oats, but the big indian was smoking along...

[Redreuben 109]

I don’t know the territory so this might be a stupid question but is there any chance of a land breeze after sunset ?

[mezaire 33]

S2H site has just chucked it!!  Shows "bad gateway" for standings and tracker won't load!!!

 

You think they'd know how to design a website by know?!

[Horn Rock 1,713]

5 minutes ago, mezaire said:

S2H site has just chucked it!! 

Working fine for me.

[mezaire 33]

1 minute ago, Horn Rock said:

Working fine for me.

Sorry, yeah back for me

[Sailbydate 3,609]

Black Jack moving along nicely at the moment.

[terrafirma 1,339]

Oats down to 6 Knots and Scallywag seemingly enjoying the lighter conditions. I think she is the lightest 100 out there from memory? Comanche doing ok for now I still prefer her course than Oats notwithstanding Oats expects to be able to punch through this better than the others. Infotrack doing quite well holding off BJ. Alive should enjoy these conditions too..

[Horn Rock 1,713]

All the leaders have slowed a lot. 

[Schakel 260]

Just now, Horn Rock said:

Working fine for me.

For me as wel but 7 hours ago during the start I was not able to get in as well.
Great start by the way.

Infotrack first out of sydney bay but not able to maintain the lead.

Situation right now.

 

 

3 minutes ago, Sailbydate said:

Black Jack moving along nicely at the moment.

Black Jack and Infotrack about in the same position

[LeoV 3,149]

Daguet doing well, a few good French names on it, and Goodchild to translate.

[Liquid Assett NZ 108]

Not pretty for Oats 

[Rainbow Spirit 293]

1 hour ago, antskip said:

oats normally would have done a lot better on the beat to the turning mark. the reefed main was backing the whole way. looked dreadful, sailed slow - for oats. she was overpowered. something was very wrong. she normally loves that stuff. but once she turned and shook out the reef and the main looked fine she wasn't particularly quick either. maybe it was under something other than the sails? ballast, foils? didn't look the oats of old. yet now down the coast she is doing fine...race might be decided in next hours and dependent on positioning rather than just boat speed - of the 100's oats has chosen the most easterly course, Comanche most westerly...that said, Comanche has far more to fear in the light stuff than Oats. Oats is so slippery - she hardly ever stops moving even in the lightest of winds - Comanche can just stop dead and give up all its lead in no time. Comanche needs to keep the wind. Oats is designed for the Hobart.

Are you sure you haven't flipped the map over? The Big Indian is furthest east, and WOXI is furthest west of all the maxis.

[terrafirma 1,339]

Here comes a moment. Oats has gybed but seemingly not a lot in front of her? Scallywag into second place for a moment.! BJ and Infotrack almost parked. Oats saw this coming. But Scallywag and Comanche doing ok but SW could potentially push ahead? This is the moment they were talking about before the start of the race. Comanche heading East again and VMG will look terrible until she finds the pressure.

[Redreuben 109]

Split off to an east and west groups now, only time will tell, and a few more holes to negotiate yet. The west move looks good now but might bite them on the arse later. 

[Rainbow Spirit 293]

For once the rich are not getting richer, and the trailing boats are compressing down onto the LH leaders.

[Liquid Assett NZ 108]

Great race 

[Redreuben 109]

Looking at 12 hours ahead my money is on east

[MRS OCTOPUS 202]

One camp is betting on the wind, the other the current.

see...... http://www.bom.gov.au/oceanography/forecasts/idyoc300.shtml?region=VICTAS&forecast=Current

 

[LB 15 6,519]

8 hours ago, Mr. Coventry said:

Black Jack should be first out of the heads given the conditions 

Gee you know your stuff- channel 7 should be calling any time now.

[BLAK 10]

Last minute skipper swap?

[animeproblem 276]

So that's it then, 02:15 local, Dr Who on the telly (old school with Chris & Billy), see all of you in a bit after a sleep.

[savoir 219]

2 hours ago, JL92S said:

Loved the commentators words “after getting the boat out the heads I think Mark Richards could go for a lie down”

Maybe with a couple of calm pills.

[Liquid Assett NZ 108]

Here come the RP boats !!!!

[Schakel 260]

18 minutes ago, MRS OCTOPUS said:

One camp is betting on the wind, the other the current.

see...... http://www.bom.gov.au/oceanography/forecasts/idyoc300.shtml?region=VICTAS&forecast=Current

 

Looks to me WOXI is gambling on getting the winds in Bass strait first.
Currents is hard to tell from here:

WOXI doing 9 knots, Comanche 3.9 knots.

[savoir 219]

The tracker now has Comanche at 2.5 knots.  OUCH !

[terrafirma 1,339]

Yeah Windy Tracker misleading obviously. Comanche taking the pain now.! Very hard to follow the race with the standings and weather hard to see real time. Juan Villa vs Stan Honey vs Tom Addis etc. Ricco on the No Doze now or perhaps something a little more powerful because this could be a massive moment? 

[bayboy 28]

Good to see the fleet compress a little makes handicap more interesting

[Zonker 5,243]

Comanche heading due East at 2.4 knots.  Ouch unless they find the wind first and then Stan looks like a genius.

[mezaire 33]

Wow it's light in patches.  Chinese Whisper showing 0.7kn @ 0 deg!!!

[Mr. Coventry 6]

These conditions are set up for Black Jack 

[bayboy 28]

2 minutes ago, Mr. Coventry said:

These conditions are set up for Black Jack 

Quiet achievers Black Jack and info track doing well to keep up

[Liquid Assett NZ 108]

How much distance do the pencil boats need to put on the Indians inevitable late charge, 20 miles ?.. 30 would do it I reckon

[bayboy 28]

Just now, Liquid Assett NZ said:

How much distance do the pencil boats need to put on the Indianlate charge, 20 miles ?..

Alot the sea-breeze has been quite strong past 7 days in Hobart, and could see the big indian making a late charge

[Mahina 13]

Infotrack hanging on to BJ in conditions that definitely don't suit her

 

[terrafirma 1,339]

This looks like an Oats race now. BUT....If Karma is true then something will happen to them..? It looks impossible for Comanche now they are that slow in these conditions you have to wonder what the design brief was? Black Jack deserve a win but for some reason they always fail to deliver? There is no way Scallywag can win they are too consistently "BAD" for it to happen. But if someone opens Pandora's box none of this could be true for this race. Who's going to pick it.....????? 

[Liquid Assett NZ 108]

Just now, terrafirma said:

This looks like an Oats race now. BUT....If Karma is true then something will happen to them..? It looks impossible for Comanche now they are that slow in these conditions you have to wonder what the design brief was? Black Jack deserve a win but for some reason they always fail to deliver? There is no way Scallywag can win they are too consistently "BAD" for it to happen. But if someone opens Pandora's box none of this could be true for this race. Who's going to pick it.....????? 

Unless the RP boats make 30 miles of hay the Indian will thunder home 

[bayboy 28]

Challenge can the 60footers catch Comanche

[Chucky 47]

4 hours ago, The Dark Knight said:

Faster Forward - Retired - Steering problems

Thanks bad luck for Matt and his crew. They also pulled out shortly after starting the Melb to Stanley race

[Liquid Assett NZ 108]

Playing into the Black Jack corner for a bit now 

[SCANAS 584]

12 minutes ago, Liquid Assett NZ said:

Unless the RP boats make 30 miles of hay the Indian will thunder home 

That easterly doesn’t look like it’s lasts enough before it goes more north, then it’s a run which suits the skinny boats again. 

[FinnFish 290]

12 minutes ago, terrafirma said:

This looks like an Oats race now. BUT....If Karma is true then something will happen to them..? It looks impossible for Comanche now they are that slow in these conditions you have to wonder what the design brief was? Black Jack deserve a win but for some reason they always fail to deliver? There is no way Scallywag can win they are too consistently "BAD" for it to happen. But if someone opens Pandora's box none of this could be true for this race. Who's going to pick it.....????? 

I wouldn't right off Infotrack, incredible that they're hanging with Oats and BJ in these conditions. Nico will keep it close.

[resist 32]

1 hour ago, BLAK said:

Last minute skipper swap?

I wouldn’t put too much stock in that, they had the Farr 40 Night Nurse at 40m LOA

[inebriated 72]

the indian's looking for some wind and NZ!

[terrafirma 1,339]

Chutzpah into the IRC overall handicap lead.! Fastest boat in the fleet at 40 foot. Did someone say it could be a 40 footer race? 

P.S. Personally I think the TP52's and mid size boats usually handicap out better than most.. Early days just commentary...

[Liquid Assett NZ 108]

Black Jack on the charge bigtime

[mezaire 33]

Looks like BJ has an angle and pressure to suit her compared to the other 100's.

Don't want to go to bed as I want to see this transition play out!!

[Ozee Adventure 70]

11 minutes ago, terrafirma said:

Chutzpah into the IRC overall handicap lead.! Fastest boat in the fleet at 40 foot. Did someone say it could be a 40 footer race? 

P.S. Personally I think the TP52's and mid size boats usually handicap out better than most.. Early days just commentary...

Please let him have it this time

[Schakel 260]

7 minutes ago, terrafirma said:

Chutzpah into the IRC overall handicap lead.! Fastest boat in the fleet at 40 foot. Did someone say it could be a 40 footer race? 

P.S. Personally I think the TP52's and mid size boats usually handicap out better than most.. Early days just commentary...

Alive, Naval Group, Maserati and URM leading in ORC 0

 

[Tropical Madness 77]

Yeah WoXi looks to be on the wrong side of a massive hole

[terrafirma 1,339]

11 minutes ago, Liquid Assett NZ said:

Black Jack on the charge bigtime

Yes best numbers and mode right now. And whilst I can't tell if updates are on equal time ATM it looks like BJ are only 200 metres behind Oats. But going 3-4 knots faster. It looks like a battle of the Skinny's and if one of them wins this race it may spark the end of the rest to the Scrapyard ? Proving skinny is king as an all rounder when kept up to date with latest thinking. Would be sad to see 2 x 100's in OZ instead of 5.. Just sayin......

[vibroman 145]

WOXi Gybes