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Biden has done well for the most part, but that was a head slapper for sure.

Anybody paying attention to what's happening with the F1 race in Jeddah? A missile struck an oil refinery a few miles from the track during the first practice session. The drivers had to be convinced to race, with some of the "information" provided to them being that they may not be allowed out...

While in the grand sense, Taiwan may be weaker than Ukraine, I think you're overselling the comparison. Russia didn't have to cross a heavily disputed strait and conduct amphibious landings to get to Ukraine. Taking Taiwan would not be easy or without significant cost for China.

Depends on how many Russians are in that pocket. I have seen wildly varying stuff, from just a couple weak BTGs to a whole army. We shall see.

Saw some reports that Ukraine may actually be close to encircling Russian forces northwest of Kyiv in the Hostomel/Irpin area. Not clear exactly how many troops that is, but it would be a significant morale issue for the Russians for sure.

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/03/ukraine-is-winning-war-russia/627121/ I think there's definitely some truth to this, but it's a little superficial and also has a distinct whiff of hawkish neocon bullshit. I take it for granted that Ukraine is performing better on the...

My personal favorite of the bad maps was one that had the entirety of southern Ukraine in red as Russian controlled, but a bunch of small blue dots scattered throughout the red that marked Ukrainian counter offensives. There's no such thing as a counteroffensive from within controlled...

The first post that you responded to so negatively was literally referencing the same article which you now seem to support as a source of information. I never said watching English RT was a good source of information. Your reading comprehension sucks, mate.

Found the article. While nothing RT says can be taken at face value, there's a lot to be learned by examining what RT wants others to believe. That's the value. https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2022/03/17/putin-russia-state-tv-news-00018304

Can't find the link, but there was a good article from someone interpreting the evolution of coverage on RT, which is a good barometer for what the Kremlin thinking is. On the good side, there has been a lot less focus on "de-nazifying" and eliminating the Ukrainian government/state and more...

Two things worth noting today: First, even Kharkiv, which is basically right on the border with Russia has not been sufficiently "encircled" to prevent trains running in and out and the highways are still open as well. The city is under heavy bombardment from many angles, but you really can't...

The supply line issue is definitely a valid one. The handwringing has been about the possibility of the Ukrainian forces there being encircled and destroyed in detail which doesn’t seem likely to me. I think they’d be able to disperse and break through to the west fairly easily for the...

Not a military expert, but I think this threatened encirclement of Ukraine’s eastern forces is a fantasy of guys who draw red lines on maps more than an urgent reality.  As we have seen in countless recent conflicts, because you have driven twenty miles down a highway doesn’t come close to...

Good lord man, calm down. I am not alongside the murdering sociopath and would be happy if one of his generals put a bullet in the back of his brain. But this is the real world not the movies ,and you have to consider all possible outcomes.

Actually, I think he has been fairly predictable until recently, you just have to try and put yourself in the mindset of a person who is completely amoral and has two priorities: maintaining personal power and restoring the Russian empire. Within those confines he's been remarkably pragmatic...

You said eliminating Putin is a big upside. My point that was what comes after Putin may be worse.

I wouldn't count my chickens on that one. Putin is more likely to be deposed by a conservative demagogue who criticizes Putin for being incompetent and weak in his mission of restoring the glory of the Russian Empire than a Europe loving peacenik.

Today the Kremlin claimed that Putin specifically ordered that no conscripts be used in Ukraine and that they're launching an investigation to find out who violated orders. Which is similar to OJ promising to find the real killers. The Russian army can't conduct any serious ground operations...

Ukraine certainly....the question is Russia. Do the farmers have money to buy seed, fuel their tractors, etc.

Central and Eastern Europe may be paying a lot more for gas next winter, but people in Indonesia may be starving. Ukraine and Russia combine to make up 26% of the world's wheat supply. If they miss the spring/summer planting season, there will be problems. Wheat futures are up about 50% last I...