AC37 betting odds

[shebeen]

Do these exist?

I'm not really a gambler, but I can't seem to find anyone offering odds. 

You can find some broken links for 2021, and an olde article banning it in new zealand about 7 cycles ago.

https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/sailors-dunk-tabs-plans-for-americas-cup-betting/PHDFCLGNFAL4L5Z4MTRZUJ3YFU/

For the record here is my thumbsuck of current % chances of winning. I'm not sure how that would convert to the different odds

 




ineos


 


27%




etnz


 


27%




prada


 


20%




AM


 


15%




Alinghi


 


10%




another


 


1%







if anyone can find a book taking bets now, would be great to post. Be interesting to see if some people would put money where their mouth is.

 

[enigmatically2]

Given bookies margins that would equate to something like 7-2 for ETNZ/UK, 4-1 for Prada, 6-1 for AM and 8-1 for Alinghi, 100-1 bar those

 

[Stingray~]

There was a site taking bets in this past cycle and iirc it was a .nz site. It didn't seem to have much traffic.

Considering the hope to create a TV Series along the lines of F1's Drive to Survive, maybe ACE have hopes to tap into F1-style betting sites this time? I assume Netflix pays a fee to F1, it's possible that betting sites have licensing deals with F1 too. 

 

[Sailbydate]

8-1 for Alinghi

I'd definitely have some of that!

 

[Varan]

Do these exist?

I'm not really a gambler, but I can't seem to find anyone offering odds. 

You can find some broken links for 2021, and an olde article banning it in new zealand about 7 cycles ago.

https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/sailors-dunk-tabs-plans-for-americas-cup-betting/PHDFCLGNFAL4L5Z4MTRZUJ3YFU/

For the record here is my thumbsuck of current % chances of winning. I'm not sure how that would convert to the different odds

 




ineos


 


27%




etnz


 


27%




prada


 


20%




AM


 


15%




Alinghi


 


10%




another


 


1%







if anyone can find a book taking bets now, would be great to post. Be interesting to see if some people would put money where their mouth is.

I'll put 5 on another 

 

[shebeen]

Do these exist?

I'm not really a gambler, but I can't seem to find anyone offering odds.

You can find some broken links for 2021, and an olde article banning it in new zealand about 7 cycles ago.

https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/sailo...ricas-cup-betting/PHDFCLGNFAL4L5Z4MTRZUJ3YFU/

For the record here is my thumbsuck of current % chances of winning. I'm not sure how that would convert to the different odds






ineos





27%




etnz





27%




prada





20%




AM





15%




Alinghi





10%




another





1%







if anyone can find a book taking bets now, would be great to post. Be interesting to see if some people would put money where their mouth is.

coming back (almost)12 months later.
here are my updated thumbsucks


another = French team
i've given ETNZ a slight raise, signing NO helps and it looks like they have been sneaky enough in the rules/AC40 to push their advantage
ineos i drop as they have not looked good, but I'm weirdly confident they could pull it back with some behind the scenes black magic.
AM have been solid in training so get a raise, we haven't seen anything they've built though.

feel free to tear apart
template here

	Apr'22	Apr'23
ineos	27%​	20%​
etnz	27%​	30%​
prada	20%​	21%​
AM	15%​	22%​
Alinghi	10%​	5%​
another	1%​	2%​
	100%​	100%​

 

[shebeen]

still haven't found anything for AC37, but here's one for AC36 that gets the challenger properly wrong

The America’s Cup Betting Preview

We take a closer look at the upcoming 36th America's Cup, which will take place in March. BetUS has America’s Cup futures to bet on, too!

www.betus.com.pa

 

[enigmatically2]

With the caveat that none of us really have a clue I can't see your odds are wildly out

 

[Kiwing]

Thank you @shebeen. It is very interesting.
My thoughts would be.
I think it will be very competitive

 

[Kiwing]

The only bet I would be interested in taking is that Alinghi wont win the cup? Even then they have a 1 in 10 chance. If you make them all equal they have a 1 in 6 chance?
This will be a interesting build up and I will be very interested how your odds change and mine too.
I hope more will have some fun on this thread as will. Maybe we should start a poll?

 

[jaysper]

My thoughts:

• ENTZ - 49.9%
• Luna Rossa 25%
• American Magic 15%
• Alinghi - 10%
• France - 0.1%

 

[Kiwing]

My thoughts:

• ENTZ - 49.9%
• Luna Rossa 25%
• American Magic 15%
• Alinghi - 10%
• France - 0.1%

Ineos not there?

 

[jaysper]

Ineos not there?

Ah shit, LOL! Whoops! Either too little or too much coffee.
I given them about the same shot as Alinghi.

 

[Kiwing]

So far no one betting against ETNZ? Must be all Fans? I know Jasper wants Prada to win?

 

[Sailbydate]

View attachment 582994

So far no one betting against ETNZ? Must be all Fans? I know Jasper wants Prada to win?

I think LRPP could well be successful this time. Without the CoR distraction, they're getting on with it by the look.

 

[Sailbydate]

Ah shit, LOL! Whoops! Either too little or too much coffee.
I given them about the same shot as Alinghi.

So is that a downgrade for ETNZ, at 39.9%? ;-)

 

[shebeen]

The only bet I would be interested in taking is that Alinghi wont win the cup? Even then they have a 1 in 10 chance. If you make them all equal they have a 1 in 6 chance?
This will be a interesting build up and I will be very interested how your odds change and mine too.
I hope more will have some fun on this thread as will. Maybe we should start a poll?

that's what interests me. There is so much unknown in the build up to this race.
Even after the Prada(or whataver it is now called) cup is done, when you get the first beat of the first Cup match everything is thrown out the window.

A poll will distort over time, and I expect the AC40 series to be a sideshow that will probably not change much more than perceptions. It's only when we see AC75 V2 cup boats sailing in anger against each other for the first time that we will get to confirm much.

 

[enigmatically2]

Agreed. The AC40s will show nothing about which is the fastest design. So irrelevant. And why I think we are all guessing until we see the V2s sail

 

[Prism]

At the moment:
Ineos = ETNZ = Prada = AM = 22%,
France = Alinghi = 6%

 

[Kiwing]

Jasper is distorting us a bit?
I will have to get JAL to put his guess up and someone who does not think TNZ will win?