It is interesting as a study in propaganda. As science fiction it is OK.No I have not. Just read the synopsis. Interesting subject to write a novel about. I suspect humanity would destroy itself simply knowing aliens will arrive in the future.
other civilized species? Meaning technological? Sure. Almost a certainty. Around at the right time (our little radio bubble is what, 150 light years across) and close enough to find? not very likely, but in an infinite universe, it will happen an infinite number of times. Smoke that.Yes and no.
It's not useful to apply conventional "common sense" to this kind of situation. The universe is a big big place, to assume that nothing happens there that doesn't also happen in Podunk is not going to lead to correct answers.
Depending on what you accept as the likelihood of life developing in the first place, no matter how small it is, when applied to the number of planets in just our quadrant of our galaxy, the odds become astronomically high that there is "life" out there.
Now apply what rational odds you can figure on life developing in a complex enough form to have what we would consider intelligence, and have the resources and the motivation to build space ships... once again the sheer size of the universe tells us that it's nearly a certainty.
OTOH we also know enough to make those odds vanishingly slim. An intelligent race that doesn't wipe itself out in war, or the odds of developing not just intelligence but also maturity to not give a fuck about space ships and buzzing the primitives... then again, as El Borracho says, there's the model suggesting the only reason they'd come here is for plunder.
In other words, I don't know; and furthermore I don't think we have enough SOLID information to place rational boundaries on the probabilities. It's either inevitable, or totally impossible!
I think you have already been smoking something.other civilized species? Meaning technological? Sure. Almost a certainty. Around at the right time (our little radio bubble is what, 150 light years across) and close enough to find? not very likely, but in an infinite universe, it will happen an infinite number of times. Smoke that.
Wait.The fact that we remain alive, free and have resources is proof enough that aliens have not visited in modern human history. There is plenty of evidence that the first thing a visiting alien does is either kill or enslave the native creatures before extracting all valuable resources. That practice is likely universal.
No, but proof of behavior. I see no evidence that British behavior has changed. I suspect the frequency of British adventures in pillaging has decreased as their domestic beer has improved, and the lack of an interstellar space vehicle.Wait. Are you saying the British Empire was really aliens???
Not everybody reporting extraterrestial contact is selling something.yet also a way that will allow them to sell millions of dollars worth of books, podcasts, merch, appearances, and more. Everyone's gotta eat.
I see it the other way. Assuming there are spacefarers out there exploring the galaxy, and knowing the history of earth, on which for hundreds of millions of years of life, only a miniscule fraction of which would be encountered with an industrialized population. It's a fair bet that one could explore a million oxygen/nitrogen planets before one came across one where industrialization, technology, if you will, has just been born. Still sharing the planet with critters of the same species working with sticks and stones and grunting sure knowledge of the flatness of the planet.Well……common sense……why in all the years of recorded human history has there never been a contact or reliable sighting…..if they had the technology to cross the unbelievable distances involved why in the world would they come here again and again and just drive around……why would they beam up some farmer in Kansas to look up his ass and never someone from Chicago……..
So while I think “life” on other worlds is possible…..that they have been driving around here with no concrete evidence is unlikely.
Your mileage may vary.