How is your town doing? Local Reports.

[EYESAILOR]

Quick update from my town on the CT coast.  Vaccination rate continues to climb. Excluding <12s who cannot be vaccinated, we are solidly in the 90s. The town is approx 50% Republican/ Democrat with town selectmen evenly divided. The recommendation to get vaccinated is unanimous. No political divide at all. Interestingly last 2 weeks, all of our cases are people (or family member) who commute out of town for work. There has been almost no internal community spread. That is probably a coincidence than anything else.  The 10% who are not vaccinated represented 70% of cases over the prior week. We get this weeks update today.  All cases are Delta. Everyone I know who has tested positve were double vaxxed, so clearly it is breaking through but it is still much safer to be vaxxed.  We know there are people who have decided not to get vaccinated but they are a very small minority

 

[dyslexic dog]

Silent Bob, you can't fix stupid.          

 And I'm talking about you. It's all them others right? Keep everyone poor and don't educate them cause they are taking what's little left for me away. 

 

[blunted]

Toronto, base population 2.2M, 5M if you look at the greater Toronto Area. Ontario is just shy of 85% first dose and 79% fully dosed for qualified people.

We just introduced "passport" requirements that will kick in two weeks hence, this is driving some of the resistant to get shot up so they can dine indoors and use gyms and night clubs.

Some Ethnic minority regions of the city have the lowest and slowest uptake rates on vaccine, generally being affluent seems to correlate to getting the jab quickly and without protest. They have also had the highest rates of infection the entire time due to living conditions and generally being on the front line in service jobs for a substantial proportion of those communities. Resistance to the vaccines in those communities has been for a wide variety of reasons. Availability is not one of them. they have been the focus of very targeted campaigns with clinics, pop-ups, mobile clinics etc since day one. Other minority regions have very high uptake. there are almost no barriers to getting a jab in this City, you don't even really need ID and in ten minutes you could get one.

That having been said there was a fun article the other day indicating the most likely to be hesitant or a denier in Canada is is in fact a 46 year old Liberal (Equivilant to democrat) voting woman in Canada. The demographics of deniers and refusers track to a broad spectrum of people, sexes, ages, political persuasion. Slightly peaking on the extreme ends (both left and right) of the political spectrum. Our resistors are made up of a representative sample of the population across the board.

Canada was slow out of the gate getting the vaccine supply, but once it was available the uptake was fast and strong. Canadians generally are community oriented and see it as a duty as much as anything to get it to protect their neighbors and family. They score high on neuroticism as well.

We have a gently building fourth wave but it'll pick up speed with schools opening and colder weather on the horizon. Masks are generally required in congregate settings indoors.

At this point everyone just wants it to be over and if that means Bill Gates controlling us with 5G chips, we'll take it so we can get back to Hockey.

 

[jdazey]

Here in Kitsap County things are not so good. County population is 275K. Hospitals are getting overloaded, masking is haphazard, and despite the high vaccination rate, Covid is at the highest level since the pandemic began.

 

[Laurent]

Harris County, in Texas (basically the Houston area) is struggling. Only one indicator is met; the 14 days trend of new cases is decreasing. Everything else looks pretty grim.



Houston is one of the medical research centers and hospitals hubs of not only the US, but the world, with world class hospitals specialized in cancer treatment, cardio-vascular diseases, etc. Nevertheless, the hospitals are currently overwhelmed.

More than 40% of ICU beds are occupied by COVID patients. Nearly 15% of regular beds are occupied by COVID patients. It is nearly as bad as 14 months ago, before we had a vaccine. Knowing that about 95% of the COVID patients in ICU are unvaccinated, if everybody had taken the shot, that 40% ICU bed occupancy would be down to... about 2% to 4%.

 

[Time Theory]

Today September 10, 2021, South Carolina had the highest number of deaths (99) since the pandemic began. During the entre pandemic the Governor has never closed the State or implemented any mask mandates.  Current vaccine numbers less than 50% One local hospital is dealing with an overload of Covid patients. The hospital is urging everyone to get the vaccine and wear a mask. Yet today they sponsored a 6K race with no masks and no social distancing.  People were all up under one another. It makes no sense. 

 

[d'ranger]

Who was that masked man? Said almost nobody anywhere - the Lone d'ranger.   Laurent and I are in the same area - last week a close friend's elderly dad had to go to the hospital - 8 hours later got him off the gurney onto a bed - he needed to be in ICU and none were available.  He died yesterday.

fuck covid and all the selfish entitled maskless anti-vaxxers keeping it alive and killing them at the same time.

 

[slug zitski]

Who was that masked man? Said almost nobody anywhere - the Lone d'ranger.   Laurent and I are in the same area - last week a close friend's elderly dad had to go to the hospital - 8 hours later got him off the gurney onto a bed - he needed to be in ICU and none were available.  He died yesterday.

fuck covid and all the selfish entitled maskless anti-vaxxers keeping it alive and killing them at the same time.

Was the elderly man vaccinated ?

 

[d'ranger]

Was the elderly man vaccinated ?

Wasn't covid - do you ever have anything worthwhile to post?

edit: covid related only because half the ICU beds here are occupied by covid patients who aren't in for a day or 2 or so.

  Best friends next door neighbor was 3 months the 1st time, a few days the 2nd and then he died. That's the problem here - it's how many and how long - I hope that helps you gain some understanding of the situation. Not holding my breath.

 

[TheDragon]

My county is not doing well, cases are approaching our winter high. This despite being a university town with all students and staff fully vaccinated. BUT the county includes large rural areas dominated by anti-vaxers, who are now ending up in hospital. We have a consistently high positivity rate of around 8%.

 

[The Q]

My niece caught covid a couple of weeks ago, but she had been vaccinated so there were very few symptoms. She only found out because she flew to Greece and was tested there, she was clear  before the flight.  She the first person  I actually know that has had covid.  That because we consistently have have a very low covid figures. 

Our numbers have been climbing for the last eight weeks during the school summer holidays, we are in a tourist area, and the most likely people not to wear a mask in a supermarket are tourists.

Now it's down to more elderly visitors to the area, mask wearing will be much higher.

That being said I'm taking repeated tests this week coming, we are off to visit my parents, I've not seen them for nearly 2 years due to covid. They have successfully avoided the covid despite living in a high covid area, we are not driving the 400 miles to take it to them..

 

[EYESAILOR]

21% of our town's population (4,595) are 11 and under and are ineligible for the vaccine.

96.9% of the eligible population have had at least 1 jab. At least 89.4% have been fully vaccinated with both jabs (I have had both jabs but only recorded as partially vaccinated due to VAMS mess up). 

Vaccination by age group, 12-17 99.8% , 18-24 99+%, 25-44 86.4%  , 45-64 96.1% 65+ 99+%

We had 23 cases last week. 6 were 11 and under. Thus 17 cases were vaccine eligible. All cases were Delta (and have been since August 20) 8 were fully vaccinated. 3 were not vaccinated. 6 declined to answer.    The number of break though cases has increased.

 

[Terry Hollis]

21% of our town's population (4,595) are 11 and under and are ineligible for the vaccine.

96.9% of the eligible population have had at least 1 jab. At least 89.4% have been fully vaccinated with both jabs (I have had both jabs but only recorded as partially vaccinated due to VAMS mess up). 

Vaccination by age group, 12-17 99.8% , 18-24 99+%, 25-44 86.4%  , 45-64 96.1% 65+ 99+%

We had 23 cases last week. 6 were 11 and under. Thus 17 cases were vaccine eligible. All cases were Delta (and have been since August 20) 8 were fully vaccinated. 3 were not vaccinated. 6 declined to answer.    The number of break though cases has increased.

You have a tiny population to work with, Auckland with 1,470,100 and the primary entry point for travelers and goods for the whole of New Zealand's 5,000,000 has a more difficult problem.

A week ago it looked like we would be able to lower the restrictions from level 4 to level 3 in a few days but it is clear that that wont happen now because some cases cannot be linked to a source.

At least we have been able to ease restrictions to level 2 for New Zealand outside Auckland and only one death for this surge.

https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/126356560/covid19-prime-minister-jacinda-ardern-fixated-on-mystery-delta-cases-ahead-of-alert-level-announcement

 

[EYESAILOR]

You have a tiny population to work with, Auckland with 1,470,100 and the primary entry point for travelers and goods for the whole of New Zealand's 5,000,000 has a more difficult problem.

We are immediately adjacent to the West with a town with a population of 130,000 and to the East with  a town of 89,000. The town to the East has 73% vaccination rate and 84 cases last week and 2 deaths under 60.

The key take away is that Delta is highly infectious and is infecting vaccinated people, albeit at a lower rate than unvaccinated.

 

[The Q]

Just checked the local figures, 

Total population 104552, people, adults and children, of which, 77,756 two doses, and another, 6000 ish, have had one dose.

12% of the total population is under 12, so 12,456 except for special case are ineligible for vaccination.

12456+83388=1008840 so slightly under 4000 have not  been vaccinated at all. That's about 3.5% of the eligible population.

Of that there are 19 in hospital, and 2 on ventilators. 

That's about 0.02% of the population in hospital.

 

[Varan]

| September 12, 2021 1:00 AM

U.S. CORONAVIRUS CASES

TOTAL: 40,920,379

DEATHS: 659,675

(coronavirus.jhu.edu)

RECOVERED: 31,857,877

(worldometers.info)

IDAHO

DISTRICT — CASES, DEATHS

Panhandle — 31,482, 379

North Central — 12,665, 138

Southwest — 42,190, 518

Central — 68,308, 585

South Central — 27,329, 311

Southeastern — 20,036, 265

Eastern — 31,567, 276

TOTAL — 233,577, 2,472

FULLY VACCINATED — 750,553

BONNER COUNTY

TOTAL CASES: 4,166

NEW CASES: 61

ACTIVE : 672

NO LONGER MONITORED: 3,494

7-DAY AVERAGE: 49.4

DEATHS: 52

PANHANDLE HEALTH DISTRICT

50,768

VACCINATIONS (65+)

34,923

% POPULATION VACCINATED

45.09%

 

[slug zitski]

Just checked the local figures, 

Total population 104552, people, adults and children, of which, 77,756 two doses, and another, 6000 ish, have had one dose.

12% of the total population is under 12, so 12,456 except for special case are ineligible for vaccination.

12456+83388=1008840 so slightly under 4000 have not  been vaccinated at all. That's about 3.5% of the eligible population.

Of that there are 19 in hospital, and 2 on ventilators. 

That's about 0.02% of the population in hospital.

And the ones in the hospital …are they vaccinated ?

 

[The Q]

Unfortunately the local figures for that are not available, but the current figures nationally, are if you've had both jabs, it's 96 % effective against hospitalisation. So 4 in a hundred  or out of our 20 in hospital, it's likely one will have had both doses the rest unvaccinated.

The under 24s are now 2/3s of admissions, the least likely group of those eligible to be vaccinated,  just under half of those, are under 12s Who haven't yet had the chance of vaccination.

 

[slug zitski]

Unfortunately the local figures for that are not available, but the current figures nationally, are if you've had both jabs, it's 96 % effective against hospitalisation. So 4 in a hundred  or out of our 20 in hospital, it's likely one will have had both doses the rest unvaccinated.

The under 24s are now 2/3s of admissions, the least likely group of those eligible to be vaccinated,  just under half of those, are under 12s Who haven't yet had the chance of vaccination.

Bad info …

The vaccine is only 55 percent effective at preventing severe disease   for those over 65 

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israeli-doctors-find-severe-covid-19-breakthrough-cases-mostly-older-sicker-2021-08-20/

“ Israel's Health Ministry raised new alarm this week with a report showing the effectiveness against severe disease of the Pfizer vaccine, developed with Germany's BioNTech, appeared to have dropped from more than 90% to 55% in people age 65 and up who received their second jab in January.”

“ In the UK, about 35% of the people hospitalized with a Delta case in recent weeks had received two doses of a COVID-19 vaccine. “

 

[Gangbusters]

Bad info …

The vaccine is only 55 percent effective at preventing severe disease   for those over 65 

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israeli-doctors-find-severe-covid-19-breakthrough-cases-mostly-older-sicker-2021-08-20/

“ Israel's Health Ministry raised new alarm this week with a report showing the effectiveness against severe disease of the Pfizer vaccine, developed with Germany's BioNTech, appeared to have dropped from more than 90% to 55% in people age 65 and up who received their second jab in January.”

“ In the UK, about 35% of the people hospitalized with a Delta case in recent weeks had received two doses of a COVID-19 vaccine. “

What is the base line number for vaccinated individuals?  Let’s say that it’s 50/50 between vaxxed and unvaccinated. That would mean that it’s 2 to 1 that an unvaxxed will be hospitalized. But since the number of vaxxed is greater than 5/50 the chances of an unvaccinated ending up hospitalized is even greater.