Last year, the 5-Day forecast was only interesting in an academic sense, and damn near useless in reality.
So, the 7-Day Forecast has even less information -- and more panic. Perfect for our modern society.
What "forecast" are you looking at? I've tracked about half the hurricanes each year since 2006, before they issued a 5-day track prediction.
They are almost always spot-on, and I've never seen one go out of the 90% predicted cone.
I will dig up my file storm tracks overlaid over successive days. I did not do every single stormPerhaps we've miscommunicated, but I can't think of a single instance that the hurricane track at five days remained nearly the same over the five days. Usually the error is multiples of tens, more likely hundreds of miles. And the cone (an amalgamation of many disparate forecast) is usually so absurdly large as to be next to useless.
For example, take 2019's Dorian. A 5-Day Forecast put the hurricane ashore in my front yard, as an insanely strong Cat 5. Instead, it inexplicably stalled for three days over the Bahamas, then churned to the nor-norwest. It never even hit the US, only lipping NC, before striking Cantucky. The scientist only had another drink, shrugged their shoulders, and asked for more funding.
What I'm saying is that these bastards are still little understood. With the 2-3 day forecasts, I start to really look at the forecasts and tracks; before that, I'm only slightly interested, but making plans. The 2022 season wasn't kind to the 5-Day Forecast, and I see no reason to believe the 7-Day forecast will not exponentially increase the futility of the wheaxrher guesser's long range forecasts.
That's my routine and I'm usually passing out in my chair at that time of night.GM, it juste seemes I ussialley see you poeste earley in morneng.....