Putin and Ukraine

Burning Man

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How good are they in a heavy and completely un-suppressed SAM environment?  I'll venture a guess they not as good as a half-dozen mud humpers with Javelins. They've been knocking the piss out of Russian armor without planes. 
Yeah, probably not great.  I don't know the situation with the Russian SAMs and how effective they've been.  In theory, they (RUS) should own the sky, but they don't.  So maybe they've been as effective as the rest of their military.  Which is to say not great.  

 

Burning Man

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They have some planes, why that convoy wasn't hit will become known after the conflict is over, I wager. But since the Russians probably had every air asset and anti-air asset covering that frozen goat rodeo, WWAAS*?  With our unique SAM suppressing capabilities we make it look easy...but it's not. 
It is a shame that the Ukes were not able to get some Arty or MRLS into range of that convoy.  Now THAT could have been a nice fireworks show.

 

Clove Hitch

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They have some planes, why that convoy wasn't hit will become known after the conflict is over, I wager. But since the Russians probably had every air asset and anti-air asset covering that frozen goat rodeo, WWAAS*?  With our unique SAM suppressing capabilities we make it look easy...but it's not. 

*What would Admiral Akbar say
I'm not saying they wouldn't have gotten their hair mussed. . . . . 

 

Mark K

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It is a shame that the Ukes were not able to get some Arty or MRLS into range of that convoy.  Now THAT could have been a nice fireworks show.
They didn't even need that. Mostly trucks and reports were stretched out along 40 klicks of road. Yeah, google earth showed a lot of open terrain but that's why God invented night time. 

 I'd bet money that if it happened now they'd get some people there, but it's likely those first two weeks were a wild scramble in the Ukrainian Army. It was in pure reactive mode at the time. They delayed calling up reserves and getting themselves set up to just a week or so before the conflict, and there were Rooskies creeping in from all angles.   

 

Rain Man

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I would expect Putin to test the resolve of the West soon.  My guess is he will do something very provocative, such as invade Moldova, but not commit an actual violation of article 5, all the while saying "if you retaliate I push the button."  If it isn't this, it will be something similar, including an actual attack on Western infrastructure.

 

Fakenews

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I would expect Putin to test the resolve of the West soon.  My guess is he will do something very provocative, such as invade Moldova, but not commit an actual violation of article 5, all the while saying "if you retaliate I push the button."  If it isn't this, it will be something similar, including an actual attack on Western infrastructure.
Surprised there hasn’t been a big cyber (successful) attack.  Biden s red line talk last year seems to have stuck

 

Bus Driver

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5E88F320-262F-4FAF-8BEA-670F0F085154.jpeg

 

Burning Man

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I would expect Putin to test the resolve of the West soon.  My guess is he will do something very provocative, such as invade Moldova, but not commit an actual violation of article 5, all the while saying "if you retaliate I push the button."  If it isn't this, it will be something similar, including an actual attack on Western infrastructure.
Sadly, I think you might be right there.  

 

Lark

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The one slight glint of hope is in Putin's desire that this be viewed as Putin's war. IMO Putin and the Russians are quite aware of how this shit looks. He's been in the game too long to not be. Yet he did it.
Yet at face value the flunkies gave Putin cover.   Each asked for and recommended war.   It was like bad propaganda, planned by the same mastermind that orchestrated the invasion.   It does give Putin a flock of sacrificial goats, if Russians are as gullible as Republicans.   

 
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Ishmael

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Bad news for the Russian Army. Bad news for the Ukrainians too. I think they have more tanks than they started with thanks to taking the Russian ones.


 

3to1

Super Anarchist
This guy is an anti-vaxxer clown and conspiracy nut. 

I like how he talks about the need to be a critical thinker and then literally posts/parrots Putin's talking points as if posting Putins talking points are somehow an act of astute deconstruction and analysis. 
cartoonish wankers like brand and their 'interpretations' can't factor, not if you don't want to muddy the waters.

 
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shaggybaxter

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Gotta admire the Ukrainians for their use of drones.  I've seen vids of what looks like commercial off the shelf drones along with the donated expensive milspec stuff. 

The retail drones seems to be used for squad level work, I'm sure the mil spec is doing the big picture stuff. But by all appearances the el cheapo's seem to be working a treat. 

I'm wondering if in the advent of reliable electricity whether there are secret charging stations scattered throughout the battlefield. Must be a bit like hiding your POL and ammunition resupply dumps.  

 
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Ease the sheet.

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Gotta admire the Ukrainians for their use of drones.  I've seen vids of what looks like commercial off the shelf drones along with the donated expensive milspec stuff. 

The retail drones seems to be used for squad level work, I'm sure the mil spec is doing the big picture stuff. But by all appearances the el cheapo's seem to be working a treat. 

I'm wondering if in the advent of reliable electricity whether there are secret charging stations scattered throughout the battlefield. Must be a bit like hiding your POL and ammunition resupply dumps.  
Charge off a 12v battery anywhere.

Or maybe just carry spare batteries.

Djr or Mavic drones, video downloaded to mobile phones with GPS data in real time.

Simple tech.

 

Ed Lada

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A new stream on an unfortunate topic: battlefield deaths & casualties.
Thread worthwhile to read in whole.

https://twitter.com/MarkHertling/status/1505890299163381764
Hey, I almost flipped him off one morning on the Army post in Heidelberg, Germany where the HQ for US Army Europe was located.  Hertling was the chief of the Ops directorate at the time, a 2 star general.  He was coming down a one way street the wrong way as I was proceeding in the right direction.  Something told me not to give him the finger and as he pulled along side of me in his Corvette I recognized him, and I was glad I didn't flip him off.  I let him know he was going the wrong way and he said rather snapishly that he had to because the normal road was blocked for construction.  I didn't bother to tell him that there was a clearly marked detour.  Fucking generals are full of themselves sometimes, and he was never shy about letting you know who he was.

 

The Dark Knight

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Gotta admire the Ukrainians for their use of drones.  I've seen vids of what looks like commercial off the shelf drones along with the donated expensive milspec stuff. 

The retail drones seems to be used for squad level work, I'm sure the mil spec is doing the big picture stuff. But by all appearances the el cheapo's seem to be working a treat. 

I'm wondering if in the advent of reliable electricity whether there are secret charging stations scattered throughout the battlefield. Must be a bit like hiding your POL and ammunition resupply dumps.  
The tech with the drones these days is just amazing. So too is the quality of the video coming from even the most basic consumer drones.

I built a couple of drones about 12 years ago and even then the tech was impressive. I could program my drone to fly a fixed course and land on the same spot. I could fly something like 5km out and back whilst streaming video and controlling it and once even flew to 1km altitude. The tech has moved on and so too the rules so I have not used it since returning. I lost one in the med after a failed landing whilst sailing.

 

Pertinacious Tom

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If you’re confused about why anybody is talking about an invasion of Russia, don’t feel bad. The Biden administration and its European allies are in no way considering an invasion of Russia. The problem is that Putin does not believe that.









He knows that the West wishes he were no longer Russia’s leader, and he knows that the U.S. has a recent history of fighting wars of regime change, in Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya and Syria. Putin puts these two facts together and worries about a military campaign to remove him from power.









“It might ring crazy to you or me,” Max says, “but is seen within Moscow as highly plausible and is a point of obsession.”
There is that recent history but I think the Russian suspicion that everyone wants to invade them goes a bit further back.

Lots of people have looked at Russia, presumably in summer, and thought it looks very invadable and hard to defend. It turns out not to be so easy, but people keep trying. So if you're Russian, you look around the borders at who might try next, because you know someone will.

 

shaggybaxter

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The tech with the drones these days is just amazing. So too is the quality of the video coming from even the most basic consumer drones.

I built a couple of drones about 12 years ago and even then the tech was impressive. I could program my drone to fly a fixed course and land on the same spot. I could fly something like 5km out and back whilst streaming video and controlling it and once even flew to 1km altitude. The tech has moved on and so too the rules so I have not used it since returning. I lost one in the med after a failed landing whilst sailing.
It amazes me how much stuff needs charging when we're away from mains power. Power is something that very time limiting when you are off the grid  And nearly everything seems to need its own batteries and battery chargers.

We're fitting out a site shed atm as a deployable communications/power hut. it's uses 8KW of solar panels and a lot of batteries. It just rocks as a portable charging station and comms node, wonder if Ukraine would be interested in a few :) .

 
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