Sydney To Hobart 2018

jack_sparrow

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Those at the front end with $ will now be downloading latest ACCESS model gribs and pondering Himawari geostationary satelight IR pictures to determine their destiny through and other side of this first transition. Very stressful time. Watch this space.

 
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Maw

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90
16
So we have Alive, WOX, and Appliances lined up neatly across the racetrack with enough separation to make it interesting. I'm heading for a mucho grande latte , this's gunna take a while. 

 
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jack_sparrow

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So we have Alive, WOX, and Appliances lined up neatly across the racetrack with enough separation to make it interesting.
You forget the Voodoo just off the pace slightly. As for current positions Villa on WOXI and particularly Will Oxley on Ichi, take a bow, masterclass S2H navigation.

Current forecast indicates the transition has gone up in smoke, they will be having a decent N/NE airflow for Gabo approach and well into Bass Strait. That explains a lot Comanche driving back to the Rhumb Line. All those extra miles sailed and going quick just got evaporated by God.

 
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Maw

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Jack, if you add in Voodoo, we have to squeeze in Prospector.

A single Mills surrounded by Reichel Pughs, like leopards stalking a cheetah. 

 
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jack_sparrow

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Jack, if you add in Voodoo, we have to squeeze in Prospector.

A single Mills surrounded by Reichel Pughs, like leopards stalking a cheetah. 
True ..I just felt guilty about seeing Couta being sliced and reconciling that with Ichi being kissed on the dick with transition going up in smoke.

 
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us7070

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Current forecast just in indicates the transition has gone up in smoke, they will be having a decent N/NE airflow for Gabo approach and well into Bass Strait. That explains a lot Comanche driving back to the Rhumb Line. All those extra miles sailed and going quick just got evaporated by God.
what forecast is that?

 

jack_sparrow

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what forecast is that?
This, noting without real time data from each boat, couch potatoes like me are just potatoes. 

Those at the front end with $ will now be downloading latest ACCESS model gribs and pondering Himawari geostationary satelight IR pictures to determine their destiny through and other side of this first transition. Very stressful time. Watch this space.

 
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jack_sparrow

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Read that. Was wondering about the seemingly better  pressure out west too. Why play follow the leader into conditions  that favor the other boat? Because the pressure didn't materialize?
Comparative pressure at any one time slice is irelevant. The transition just disappeared with little warning leaving no advantage being east. Time to cut your loses and get back to the Rhumb Line quick smart. Arguably InfoTrack saw it happening before the Indian.

 
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jack_sparrow

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you could throw a blanket over the 4 maxis. All the pre race hype was right - everyone's worked on their weaknesses and these boats are fairly level now. Definitely will come down to the derwent.
That's nonsense, it is varied conditions that are the leveler. In that vein look at distances sailed to date and by who under what conditions that have transpired and now forecast. Arguably the middle tier 100' is now tied up in Sydney and crew are on the drink. The extremes now left have each a few hurdles for and against well before the last hurrah in the Derwent from this restart.

 
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Cal20sailor

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Comanche getting a lesson in pyhsics and VMG running..! Oats beating Comanche easily at the moment
We're watching different races.  Comanche is running Oats down and will be in front in two hours.  NASCAR tracks lead changes and this race looks like one where there will be a lot of back and forth.  Very entertaining.  

 

jack_sparrow

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Comanche getting a lesson in pyhsics and VMG running..! Oats beating Comanche easily at the moment
You need to give yourself an uppercut terra. We don't know their respective TWS but both are within 5 degrees of COG of each other and only a mile or so apart so assume TWA and TWS are pretty close. The Indian at the moment is cutting WOXI's lunch which is pretty spooky. I don't think Richo will be getting much sleep tonight, albeit a one sleep race for these 100' guys.

 
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MPH

Super Anarchist
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NW
Prospector and Voodoo doing nice things right now...but Ichi has been in a class of her own. Could Oxley be the best nav for the S2H in the world right now..?

 


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