The Ocean Race 2023 leg 2: Cabo Verde to Capetown

minca3

Anarchist
579
803
TM currently with the best boat speed. But probably too late

1676140172938.png
 

dg_sailingfan

Super Anarchist
4,016
1,095
Augsburg
TM currently with the best boat speed. But probably too late

View attachment 574005
This is not over. Given how light the wind apparently will be in Cape Town tomorrow + the Huge Wind Shadow Table Mountain creates there will be at least one more roll of the dice here.
During "The Ocean Race Show" Annie Lusch alluded to how Team SCA came from 200 Miles behind to sail around Mapfre and pip them at the Finish.
 

pit monkey

New member
8
0
TM currently with the best boat speed. But probably too late

View attachment 574005
This is not over. Given how light the wind apparently will be in Cape Town tomorrow + the Huge Wind Shadow Table Mountain creates there will be at least one more roll of the dice here.
During "The Ocean Race Show" Annie Lusch alluded to how Team SCA came from 200 Miles behind to sail around Mapfre and pip them at the Finish.
TM best chance is to gybe when the DTL drops to about 9 mi. Lead the other boats into the building breeze, and hope the header drags their bow down to the finish.
 

JonRowe

Super Anarchist
2,082
1,217
Offshore.
It wouldn't cost an arm and a leg to have a live stream on facebook, even just using a phone! Drone coverage? I hope someone does film it... as its going down to the wire

Thing is you have to live up to a certain standard when you're running an event like this, and sometimes "none" is better than "bad" when it comes to sponsor ROI etc. In a way focusing on the teams / OBR output is better for the race than some random running around with a phone.

The staff at the finish likely all have jobs to do, anyone who doesn't likely isn't travelling down. If you want to film it from the water you have to have a commercially coded rib etc and that takes several people, with a drone you have to have someone technically competent to fly it (and likely licensed as it's for commercial purposes) so its likely these low cost options not as low cost as you think...
 

Chasm

Super Anarchist
2,690
545
Eurosport is probably the reason they have scrapped the Live Arrivals we saw in 2014/2015 and 2017/2018. Given that Arrivals of an Offshore Leg can be unpredictable Eursoport doesn't have a Time Slot for it.
TOR will fade in the Background if this keeps continueing.
I remember even the Vendee Globe had a LIVE BROADCAST of the Finish.
I think they still could do the arrivals as web show. (Looks like they now do.)

Heck, in the past one of the official race partner sponsored the Sailorgirl for additional social media coverage.
I can't be bothered to look it up but media output seems way lower all across the board. Niall seems working part time. Media output from the boats can be very variable.
 

pit monkey

New member
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If I'm Biotherm here, I'm tempted to sail a hotter angle to get consistent foiling speeds here. Try to get into the increasing pressure sooner then reevaluate. Maybe try to get an angle/distance to the finish that splits the difference between TM and the other two. Otherwise it's likely to be a parade. PRB and 11th are in a match race, and neither of them is going to take any chances. But Biotherm has nothing to lose.
 

Fabricensis

Member
95
107
The 'Malizia Gambit' is currently hard at work, 15 nm advantage and about 5kn faster but the speed difference is dropping

We will see how they do in the lighter winds but in this patch they seem to have found the mode they were missing at the start of the leg

All to play for, even for Guyot
 

Chasm

Super Anarchist
2,690
545
All of that is a symptom of a much lower media budget...
Yeah, teams have to pick up the slack.
Maliza has their own leg recap movie with additional(?) content.
11th hour has some longer daily content, up to 10 minutes a day.
Both teams are about a message, so not exactly surprising that they invested on the media side.
Holcim PRB has not many minutes but always seems interesting.
Guyot is now also adding their own recaps.
Biotherm has nothing extra so far. Or not on YT.
 

pit monkey

New member
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DTL isn't the real leaderboard. It doesn't account for angles, or actual distance sailed through the water to the finish.

Consider the scenario where two boats are both 200 miles from the finish, but one is dead upwind of the finish, and the other is on a screaming reach to the finish.

According to DTL, these two positions are tied.
 

dg_sailingfan

Super Anarchist
4,016
1,095
Augsburg
This is looking like it could easy come down to who finds wind in the last mile.
The last few Miles will be the hardest especially if it is a light wind arrival like it is forecasted because of the huge wind shadow Table Mountain creates or can create. That thing is 1000 Meters high and the Finish Line is more or less literally right under it.
 

pit monkey

New member
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For TM this is really all about closing down the North-South Leverage 11th Hour, Holcim and Biotherm have. Can they do it is the Question?
I'd rather be 11H than TM. Hotter TWA angle makes a big difference. 11H is still sailing basically VMG angle, but if they continue to get headed, they'll keep the bow pointed at the finish and heat up the TWA. TM will have to stay on the slower VMG mode for quite a while.
 

pit monkey

New member
8
0
Interesting math. DTL between TM and 11H is exactly 10% of the DTF. So 11H has to average 10% faster VMC from here to Cape Town in order to win. 10% is a lot, but they do have a better wind angle, so it's doable.
 



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