A couple comments ago you said C19 deaths in Italy are 5% of the normal pneumonia rate. You have no credibility. You sound like @Dog backing up Trump saying he always knew it was a pandemic.That's about twice the number of deaths from flu and pneumonia that they would normally have in that same time frame. (About 14,000 flu/pneumonia deaths per year in Italy.)
Coronaviruses and rhinoviruses are super virile, so did it exacerbate the existing deaths from flu and pneumonia or replace them? It looks like now, with that number, that the COVID-19 virus seems to accelerate the total number of deaths from pneumonia and flu, but it isn't clear if it increased them yet, unless you've seen data that I haven't.
If it increased the deaths, then given the existing trajectory, we should see total flu/pneumonia/COVID-19 deaths hit about 30,000 by the end of the year. If it replaced them, then it could be as low as 15,000-some by the end of the year.