yes exactly that is what I think in this situation. The reason is that after tacking both boats can have almost same dtf....different twa...but almost same dtf.Hey, ateam ...
So your guy has a 50% chance from fifty miles back. That's cool.
Does that mean he'd have a 50% chance if he were 50 miles ahead?
I'm just kinda curious ...
That's great to hear the race is on the Beeb - Someone have a word with her please!Listening to the Today programme on Radio4 in the U.K. and they do a piece on the VG. This is big deal as its the biggest talk radio breakfast show in the country. Ellen McArthur comes on to talk about how she got 2nd and sort of made the interview all about herself rather than Alex, and then when she's steered back on subject Ellen tells us that AT negated the foil damage by carrying and fitting a spare. FOR FUCKS SAKE. How dare she repeat this nonsense. If you are going to represent our sport to the masses at least have the good grace to get your facts right.
Thanks for pointing to http://www.sailflow.com/map#46.219,-1.885,6,1,115610,1.They are just a little North West of the Brittany weather buoy and sailflo shows the observations laid over the forecasts, which indicates all the models are matching obs:
So we can continue to stare at the +2 by +2 projections on forss and try to pretend it is reality.
Edit: still a bit early to look, but the obs for the Brittany coast are all less than the models and more northerly: