bucc5062
Super Anarchist
With respect I thin that is very optimistic. She is sailing a non-foiler and has been just outside the main first pack for a while and has had some great runs. What has become apparent is that the Southern Indian Ocean has not been favorable to foilers to the point where 3 non-foilers sit in the top 10 and the next is in 11th. Charal has a few systems to work through before considering the idea of touching the front pack. With a current speed difference of 2 kts average, it would take a long time to make up that difference...he put 500miles into the ones behind him in 4 days!
Maybe foiling is the future, but current indications seem to show that the advantage is minimal since much of the race is held in conditions that do not favor foils (at least the current style). Perhaps when they turn the corner and head north in potentially calmer waters they'll have their moment, but as other's have commented on, would it be worthwhile to try and design a IMOCA that didn't have foils, but could match performance (if not exceed) in the southern lataitudes? We're not halfway yet so we'll have to see how things go.
If Clarisse is sailing her boat full on to try and get up with the front pack I expect she will be hard to catch up to until the last third of the race. I'm hoping all three woman skippers make the top ten before the end, but the best one to stay there is Isabelle. Also hoping a few non-foils are also there in the end....but it is a long race,