My money's on artel in better windBig split early on. Someone will be right, someone will be wrong! I guess this could pan out as a 100 mile loss or lead in a day or two. I'm following Corum in the south and l'occitane in the west to see. Two boats if like to see do well.
In flat water the newer boats can hit speeds up to 30 in 17kts of wind. Some are also doing 16-18kts upwind but at around 60°T which is their vmg angle if on the foil. Top speeds are very much held back by foil design. In a rough sea state there is very little speed advantage between the new boats and the gen 1 foilers or the retrofitted boats.So what sort of speeds do the newer generation do?
3 or 4 hour updates would be very nice indeedBy the way if a petition was to be raised towards the VG for updates frequency/schedules, what would one choose here ?
For me there isn't much cost involved, although of course if the frequency was 5 or 2 mn or even less it could be, and such extremes would really change the race for the skippers.
But from 30mn, 1h, 2h , 3 or 4h don't think there is any additional cost involved.
For me clearly, that 7 hours hole is ridiculous, but I would hesitate between 2, 3 and 4h, leaning more between 3 or 4.
Already close to the limit? OTOH, better break it now than in the southern ocean...Speaking on the live this morning Alex Thomson said "The next big thing will be crossing this front. There is this light patch off Finisterre so I would prefer to be further West, but I am not and then we will be sailing towards the front which will be interesting. Last night I saw 2.5m waves average when we will be looking at 4.5 to 5m waves so my hull fibre optics were getting close to their limits last night. So, I am not sure I am going to belt into this too fast, if I can I will try and get a bit further south and avoid the worst of that."
The eastern part of the fleet has no option anymore to go due west now due to the TSS blocking that. They have to SW first and later west.I wish they had the Finisterre traffic separation system showing on the tracker - I can't tell if anyone is going to try to go inside it. That would be a fairly risky strategy with this forecast.